Monza vs Udinese Prediction 29 August 2026
📢 Can Monza pick up their first points of the new Serie A season? The opening round gave them nothing to cheer about. The fixture list sent them straight to the defending champions, where they were beaten heavily, 1-4. A home match against Udinese looks a more suitable opportunity to get off the mark, at least on paper, but it won't be straightforward for the hosts either. The visitors are the higher-quality side and are considered favourites, so Monza will have to work hard to avoid a second consecutive defeat.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have a very short head-to-head history - just seven meetings in total, with the first taking place only in 2022. The record is perfectly balanced: two wins apiece and three draws. The last time Monza and Udinese met was in the 2024/25 season, when both teams won away from home by the same scoreline of 2-1. Udinese won first in Monza, and then the Brianzoli got their revenge on the road in the second leg.
Head-to-head statistics Monza - Udinese
Monza Team Overview
🔴 Monza were one of three clubs promoted to Serie A last season. Naturally, their goal heading into the new campaign was straightforward - stay up. The opening match, though, did not go to plan: Ivan Jurić's side were beaten heavily by Inter away from home. They held their own in the first half and went in level at the break, but the gap in quality made itself felt after the interval.
⚪ Looking purely at the numbers, Monza certainly did not deserve such a heavy defeat. Yes, they had only 30% of possession and managed almost half as many shots as Inter (7 against 13). But Inter's attempts were far from consistently dangerous: in terms of xG, the Brianzoli actually came out ahead of their opponents (1.07 against 1.00). On top of that, Monza also created more clear-cut chances (3 to 2). Inter simply took their opportunities almost perfectly on the night.
Match Results: Monza
Udinese Calcio Team Overview
⚫ Udinese also had a difficult start to the season. In the opening round they hosted Como at home - Como, who were the standout story of Serie A last season, finishing fourth and qualifying for the Champions League. The Piccole Zebre were understandably considered underdogs despite home advantage, but managed to take a point, drawing 1-1. They could even have taken more from the game: Udinese opened the scoring in the first half but were unable to hold on, conceding an equaliser on the 54th minute.
⚪ Statistically, Udinese looked no worse than their opponents either. Yes, they had less possession - 41% - but the shot count was roughly even (17 against 20). The xG figures told a similar story (1.59 against 1.86), and the big-chance count was perfectly balanced at 4-4. On that basis, the draw looks like a fair result.
Match Results: Udinese Calcio
Latest news
Monza
❌ Monza head into the second round with a number of injury concerns. Idrissa Touré is recovering from a knee injury, Leonardo Colombo is expected to be out for another week or two, and Matteo Pessina remains unavailable for a longer period. On top of that, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro has been ill and Patrick Ciurria is carrying a physical complaint, leaving both players doubtful.
Udinese Calcio
❌ Udinese also have a fairly lengthy injury list. Keinan Davis has returned to training after a physical issue, but his involvement is not yet guaranteed. Christian Kabasele will miss the match through suspension for a foul in the final round of last season. Matteo Palma is out with a muscle injury, Alessandro Zanoli continues to recover from a cruciate ligament injury, and Giorgi Chakvetadze from a foot fracture.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
It is worth noting that head-to-head meetings between these two sides rarely produce a low-scoring affair: in only one of their last seven matches have the teams scored fewer than two goals combined. In the opening round, both Monza and Udinese showed they are capable of creating chances and finding the net. On that basis, Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.45* looks a reasonable option.
🚩 Corners Prediction
For those who like betting on set-piece markets, Monza Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 2.03* is worth considering. This bet has come in in 6 of Monza's last 7 home matches. On top of that, in their first home game back in Serie A, the Brianzoli will surely look to push forward and put pressure on the opposition defence more frequently.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Both Monza and Udinese committed fouls at a fairly high rate in the opening round. Ivan Jurić's side made 14 fouls and picked up two yellow cards against Inter, while Kosta Runjaić's team fouled 13 times and received three bookings against Como. With that in mind, Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.79* is worth considering.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers fancy Udinese to take three points in this match, and their reasoning is understandable. Unlike Monza, the visitors did not go through the cleansing process of Serie B, and they look stronger in terms of squad quality. That said, the hosts scored in 18 of their last 19 home matches last season. On top of that, in the opening round they managed to find a way through the defence of a formidable Inter side away from home. Our main bet is therefore Both Teams to Score - Yes. Expected score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Monza - Udinese Calcio
in 18 of last 19 home games.
in 6 of last 7 Monza games against Udinese Calcio.in 14 of last 15 Monza home games.in 12 of last 13 Monza games.in last 6 Monza games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 games against Udinese Calcio.in last 5 games (Serie A).in 5 of last 6 away games (Serie A).in 18 of last 19 home games.in 12 of last 13 games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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