Vasco Da Gama vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 October 2026
🔊 The final stage of the season adds extra intrigue to this match: Flamengo are fighting for the title and feeling the pressure from those chasing them, while Vasco da Gama sit in mid-table and are pushing for a play-off place. The hosts have been putting together consistent results over their last ten matches, but the visitors have looked more assured across the season as a whole and are maintaining a high level of focus given the need to hold onto top spot. With such a difference in objectives, the two sides come into this fixture in very different states of mind.
Flamengo have historically been a tough opponent for Vasco da Gama.
Flamengo and Vasco da Gama drew 2-2 in the Série A 03 May 2026. The hosts led 1-0 at half-time, but the visitors levelled, having had 20 shots in the match compared to Flamengo's 12.
Across 68 official meetings, Flamengo have won considerably more often: 30 times compared to 13 wins for Vasco da Gama. The remaining 25 matches ended in draws.
Head-to-head statistics Vasco Da Gama - Flamengo
What’s Behind Vasco da Gama’s Steady Season
Vasco da Gama beat Corinthians 3-2 at home in their last Série A match on 24 October 2026. The hosts had a commanding 25-12 advantage in shots, though their opponents scored twice from just four shots on target.
Vasco da Gama are having a steady season without major swings - the side sit closer to the bottom of the table and need every point they can get. Over their last ten matches they have six wins and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game. Within their last five matches there are two consecutive defeats, which points to a minor dip, though that run is broken up by wins and a draw. The league situation sharpens the motivation on both sides and suggests a tight contest where mistakes will be costly.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Flamengo: Intense Battle for Top Spot
Flamengo beat Atlético Mineiro 3-2 at home in their last Serie A match 26 October 2026. The game was far less even in terms of shots than the scoreline suggested: 29-5 in Flamengo's favour, yet their opponents needed only four shots on target to score twice.
Flamengo are sitting at the top of the table and remain firmly in the title race, with the tight competition for first place keeping motivation high. Over the course of the season they have been noticeably stronger than most of their opponents, averaging 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.84. In their last ten matches they have lost only once, and a current run of three consecutive wins points to good recent form. In each of their last five away matches they produced above-average corner numbers - a trend that could continue given their activity on the road.
Match Results: Flamengo
Match Result Prediction
Flamengo have been in very strong form this season: 21 wins and just 4 defeats in the league, with 9 wins from 16 away matches. The recent trend reinforces this - Flamengo have won 7 of their last 8 Série A matches. Vasco da Gama, by contrast, have had a noticeably weaker season, with only 10 wins and 13 defeats. On that basis, we're backing a Flamengo win at 1.87*.
Corners Prediction
The trend shows that Total Corners - Over 9.5 has landed in five consecutive Flamengo away matches. Vasco da Gama, meanwhile, have delivered over 4.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches, while also staying under 6.5 corners in five matches in a row, which points to a moderate level of activity from both sides. A relatively high number of set pieces is expected, so the pick is Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.80*.
High-Risk Bet
Flamengo have been consistently winning and look stronger on the stats and trends: 21 wins this season against just 4 defeats, and 7 wins from their last 8 matches. However, Vasco da Gama tend to put up more of a fight at home, which creates a degree of risk. That said, given the gap in class between the two sides, Flamengo Handicap -1 at 2.45* is worth considering.
Safer Bet
Flamengo have gone unbeaten in 21 of their last 22 matches, which supports the corresponding trend. They have also lost just four times all season, while Vasco da Gama have won only 10 times against 13 defeats. Against that backdrop, the double chance in favour of the visitors looks reliable - Flamengo not to lose at 1.25*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely exact scorelines are: 1-1 (11.3%), 0-1 (10.68%) and 1-2 (10.15%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the gap between the three is fairly small. This suggests that both the bookmakers and the model are anticipating a closely contested match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The match scenario revolves around Flamengo's high tempo: the league leaders are forced to attack in numbers to protect top spot, which leads to frequent chance creation around the opposition goal and a higher corner count regardless of the result. Against a motivated favourite, the emphasis will be on the visitors' attacking initiative - which directly increases the likelihood of a large number of corner situations across both halves. The main bet is Total Corners - Over 8.5.
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Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Flamengo
in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
in 21 of last 22 games.in 14 of last 15 games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 away games (Serie A).
in 21 of last 23 games (Serie A).in 20 of last 22 games.in last 15 games (Serie A).in last 11 away games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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