Nagoya vs Zelvia Prediction 30 May 2026

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The main thing

    πŸ”Š Two sides with remarkably similar seasons are set to face off: Nagoya Grampus, who secured third place in the West, and Machida Zelvia, who finished third in the East. The hosts are enjoying an extended unbeaten run at home, while the visitors arrive boasting a nine-match streak without defeat in regulation time. There’s no clear favourite heading into this contest.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Machida Zelvia):

    • ball possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 17 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    πŸ“ŠStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia:

    • played 7 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 5, draws - 0;
    • number of goals - 8 against 12;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.43, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.86.

    Head-to-head statistics Nagoya - Zelvia

    22%
    2 Wins
    11%
    1 Draw
    67%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.78
    1.11
    Yellow cards
    2.22
    Last matches
    06.06.26
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    8
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    8
    3
    1
    30.05.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    -
    -
    1
    2
    7
    13
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    7
    13
    0
    4
    30.11.25
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1.89
    2.09
    3
    4
    17
    4
    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.89
    2.09
    3
    4
    17
    4
    3
    1
    02.03.25
    J.League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    0.25
    0.97
    3
    2
    13
    16
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.25
    0.97
    3
    2
    13
    16
    0
    2
    06.07.24
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    -
    -
    1
    6
    15
    17
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    15
    17
    2
    2
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    Nagoya Grampus Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away team - Nagoya Grampus). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima):

    • ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
    • fouls: 7 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    Nagoya Grampus are enjoying a strong run at home, going unbeaten in six straight matches in regulation. However, they stumbled at the end of the regular season, suffering back-to-back defeats on the road, which ultimately cost them a shot at first place in the conference. Over their last ten outings, Nagoya have picked up six wins and four losses, averaging exactly two goals scored per game while conceding 1.8 on average.

    Match Results: Nagoya Grampus

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1.89
    0.88
    6
    9
    10
    17
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.89
    0.88
    6
    9
    10
    17
    2
    3
    W
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Gainare Tottori
    Gainare Tottori
    1
    -
    -
    3
    0
    8
    13
    1
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    -
    -
    3
    0
    8
    13
    1
    3
    L
    22.08.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1
    2.13
    1.46
    4
    3
    10
    19
    0
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.13
    1.46
    4
    3
    10
    19
    0
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1.46
    1.05
    3
    4
    14
    14
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.46
    1.05
    3
    4
    14
    14
    3
    1
    L
    08.08.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    1
    1.09
    1.13
    13
    7
    5
    14
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.09
    1.13
    13
    7
    5
    14
    0
    1
    L
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    Machida Zelvia Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Machida Zelvia, away - Urawa Red Diamonds). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here are the match stats (Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds):

    • ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 8 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    Machida Zelvia have adopted a more pragmatic approach, and it’s paying off: the team have suffered just one defeat in regulation time over their last ten matches, averaging only 1.1 goals scored but boasting an impressive defensive record-conceding just 0.5 goals per game. Zelvia finished third in the East, narrowly missing out on second place to Tokyo on tiebreakers. Under Go Kuroda, they also reached the final of the AFC Champions League, where they pushed star-studded Al-Ahli all the way before falling 0-1.

    Match Results: Machida Zelvia

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Mito Hollyhock
    Mito Hollyhock
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1.12
    2.71
    3
    2
    13
    9
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.12
    2.71
    3
    2
    13
    9
    0
    1
    D
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Grulla Morioka
    Grulla Morioka
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    23.08.26
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    1.22
    2.82
    1
    3
    10
    9
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1.22
    2.82
    1
    3
    10
    9
    0
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Chiba
    Chiba
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    0.58
    1.44
    2
    8
    16
    13
    3
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0.58
    1.44
    2
    8
    16
    13
    3
    0
    W
    08.08.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1.12
    2.36
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1.12
    2.36
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    1
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 1.43;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.71, while the visitors net 0.71.

    First-Half Stats: Nagoya Grampus (home) vs Machida Zelvia (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 6 (66.67%);
    • losses: 2 (22.22%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 4 (44.44%) vs 3 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.89 vs 1.11;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.11.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 6;
    • losses: 3 vs 0;
    • draws: 4 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0).
    Trends
    • Nagoya Grampus scored in the 1st half in last 5 games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Nagoya Grampus to score goal (odds: 2.2)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia

    • matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • wins: 10 vs 13;
    • win percentage: 56% vs 72%;
    • losses: 8 vs 5;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 7;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Machida Zelvia have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 3.25)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.71;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.86;
    • both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia

    • average total in the tournament: 3.28 vs 2.33;
    • average total goals scored: 1.72 vs 1.28;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.78 vs 0.78;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.94 vs 0.5;
    • Nagoya Grampus: average total at home in the tournament -  1.67;
    • Machida Zelvia: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.2) vs 1.1 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Nagoya Grampus have scored in last 12 games (J1 League).
    • Nagoya Grampus have scored in 9 of last 10 home games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Nagoya Grampus will score goal (odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 9;
    • number of BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus at home - 5 (56%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Machida Zelvia away - 6 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 3;
    • BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Machida Zelvia away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.83)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/180, 17.2%);
    • Nagoya Grampus at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:0 (2/9, 22.2%);
    • Machida Zelvia away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 (2/9, 22.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.18% (odds 6.5)
    0:1 - 9.43% (odds 7.5)
    1:0 - 8.75% (odds 7.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    The clash between Nagoya Grampus’ attacking threat and Machida Zelvia’s disciplined back line sets the stage for a tight affair with few clear-cut chances. The visitors’ recent trend of low-scoring games is backed up by both their latest head-to-head results and season-long stats. The main prediction is under 2.5 goals with a likely 1-1 draw.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-141
    Published: 28/05/2026, 23:20

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    Betting Tips: Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia

    Machida Zelvia have drawn:
    machida-zelviain 4 of last 5 away games (J1 League).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +215
    Nagoya Grampus have not lost:
    nagoya-grampusin last 6 home games (J1 League).
    Nagoya Grampus will not lose
    -200
    Machida Zelvia have not lost:
    machida-zelviain 11 of last 12 games.
    machida-zelviain last 9 games (J1 League).
    Machida Zelvia will not lose
    -400
    Nagoya Grampus have conceded:
    nagoya-grampusmachida-zelviain last 7 games against Machida Zelvia.
    Machida Zelvia have scored:
    machida-zelviain 8 of last 9 away games (J1 League).
    Machida Zelvia will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Nagoya - Zelvia Table position

    East
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    18134129-945
    2.
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1896328-1637
    3.
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1888223-1937
    4.
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Kawasaki Frontale
    1874723-2728
    5.
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    1874719-2528
    6.
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    1874725-1825

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 22
    -6
    +15
    22 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    22
    22
    Conceded
    7
    3.8
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    58'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    44'
    View all stats