Zelvia vs Nagoya Prediction
🔊 Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus played out a draw in their first encounter, and now both sides are determined to edge past each other in the battle for fifth place in the J.League standings. But there’s a twist: Machida rarely struggles against Nagoya. Five wins in eight head-to-head clashes speak volumes. Can Machida reinforce their reputation as Nagoya’s bogey team, or will the visitors finally put an end to their dismal run?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nagoya Grampus):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 2, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 14 against 10;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Machida Zelvia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Nagoya Grampus, away team - Machida Zelvia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 8 vs 7.
One of the most consistent sides of the season head into the second leg as clear favourites. Matida finished third in the regular season standings, collecting 37 points from 18 rounds. The team are unbeaten in their last ten league fixtures and have not conceded a single goal in their past four home matches. Their main strength lies in a modern, high-intensity style, pressing aggressively in the opposition half and stifling any attempts by opponents to build from the back.
Match Results: Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Nagoya Grampus, away - Machida Zelvia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 8.
Nagoya head into the second leg as underdogs. Mihailo Petrović’s side collected 31 points during the regular season and boast the league’s most potent attack, having scored 31 goals in 18 rounds. However, their issues lie at the back: Grampus have failed to win in their last three outings, conceding a staggering 12 goals over that stretch. Their season finale now hangs in the balance. The visitors favour a pragmatic, counter-attacking approach, relying on rapid transitions down the flanks. Will this strategy pay dividends in Machida?
Match Results: Nagoya Grampus
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.75, while the visitors net 0.75.
First-Half Stats: Machida Zelvia (home) vs Nagoya Grampus (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- losses: 2 (22.22%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 4 (44.44%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 1.11 vs 1.78;
- Average goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.78.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.1) vs 2 (scored - 1, conceded - 1).
- Machida Zelvia scored in the 1st half in last 6 games against Nagoya Grampus.
- Machida Zelvia scored in the 1st half in last 5 games against Nagoya Grampus (J1 League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 13 vs 10;
- win percentage: 68% vs 53%;
- losses: 5 vs 8;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Machida Zelvia have not lost in 12 of last 13 games.
- Machida Zelvia have not lost in last 10 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.75, the guests - 1.25;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
- average total in the tournament: 2.42 vs 3.32;
- average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.74;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.79 vs 0.79;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.53 vs 0.95;
- Machida Zelvia: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Nagoya Grampus: average total away in the tournament - 1.78;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.9 (away - 1.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Nagoya Grampus away games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Machida Zelvia at home - 3 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus away - 7 (78%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Machida Zelvia at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/190, 17.9%);
- Machida Zelvia at home most often finish matches: 0:3 , 1:0 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Nagoya Grampus away most often play: 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.13% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.93% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.68% (odds 8.5)
Editors' Prediction
This match comes down to a single burning question: can Nagoya finally break through the Machida barrier? History, current form, and squad issues all point in the same direction: “no.” Zelvia transform into a powerhouse on home turf, while Nagoya tend to unravel away from their own ground. Machida are used to dictating the tempo and dominating matches, and that edge should see them claim victory in regulation time. Our score prediction: 2-1.
