Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 What will be the outcome of the clash between the Ligue 1 table neighbors? Toulouse and Rennes are set to face off in the 10th round of the French football championship. Both teams are solid mid-table contenders with aspirations of breaking into the European competition spots, aiming to compete not only in the domestic league but also on the international stage next season. We have prepared a detailed analysis of this match and a prediction on its outcome for you.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Rennes have proven to be a favorable opponent for Toulouse: in four of the last five head-to-head clashes between these teams, the "Violets" have celebrated victory, with one match ending in a draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    12 Wins
    25%
    9 Draws
    42%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.86
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.31
    Total average
    1.56
    1.75
    Yellow cards
    1.31
    Last matches
    28.02.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.75
    0.56
    6
    1
    9
    13
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.75
    0.56
    6
    1
    9
    13
    1
    3
    29.10.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    1.73
    1.16
    5
    8
    9
    12
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.73
    1.16
    5
    8
    9
    12
    2
    3
    03.05.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    1.01
    1.58
    6
    5
    7
    15
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.01
    1.58
    6
    5
    7
    15
    2
    2
    10.11.24
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.47
    1.25
    5
    3
    17
    16
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.47
    1.25
    5
    3
    17
    16
    3
    1
    13.04.24
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    8
    4
    20
    19
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    20
    19
    3
    3
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse are having a solid season, occasionally delivering remarkable performances in the league. Take their October matches against Lyon and Metz, for instance, where the "Violets" secured victories with scores of 2-1 and 4-0, respectively. Under Carles Martinez, the team plays an attacking style and scores well-netting 15 goals in nine matches while conceding 13.

    🔴 In their latest fixture, Toulouse traveled to face Monaco, where they narrowly lost 0-1. The match was highly intense, but it was clear that the "Monegasques" had the upper hand. Monaco outperformed their opponents in expected goals-2.6 to 1.12-in shots on target-5 to 2-and in possession-54% to 46%. With such stats, avoiding defeat was a tall order!

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
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    Stade Rennes Team Overview

    ⚫ Rennes have emerged as one of the most draw-prone teams this season, with five of their matches ending in a stalemate, which is more than half of their games played. Their streak of four consecutive draws was snapped in the ninth round when the "Red and Blacks" fell at home to Nice. Despite having every chance to claim at least a point, Rennes dominated possession with 58% and posted an xG of 1.51 compared to their opponent's 0.52, but they couldn't convert that into a result!

    🔴 Currently, Habib Beye's side sits in 10th place in the league standings, trailing the coveted European competition spots by six points. Notably, Rennes have only suffered two defeats in this Ligue 1 campaign, the latest being the recent clash with Nice.

    Match Results: Stade Rennes

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris
    Paris
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.05
    0.9
    7
    5
    10
    14
    0
    3
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2.05
    0.9
    7
    5
    10
    14
    0
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    W
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    0.72
    3.19
    2
    9
    10
    12
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.72
    3.19
    2
    9
    10
    12
    0
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Toulouse

    ❌ Niklas Schmidt (knee injury), Rafik Messali (ankle injury), and Ilyas Azizi (knee injury) will be unavailable for Toulouse in their upcoming match against Rennes, as they are sidelined and will be undergoing rehabilitation in the coming weeks.

    Stade Rennes

    🎙 Rennes head coach Habib Beye shared his thoughts on the upcoming match: “The most important thing is to maintain focus. We have a chance to quickly climb back among the league leaders with the match in Toulouse, which we must win. In my view, the players are committed and have shown that, as evidenced by the second half against Nice. I'm delighted to be the coach of Rennes, a fantastic club with an outstanding owner, who once again demonstrated their support this morning. This backing has been unwavering since I arrived. We must strive for the best results. It's my duty to ensure our team secures victory in Toulouse.”

    ❌ Rennes have no injury concerns ahead of the match against Toulouse. All key players are fit and ready to take the field.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Clément Turpin. Over the span of 100 matches, he averages 3.19 yellow cards per game, with 23 fouls. In Ligue 1, across 9 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Toulouse average 2.7 per game, while Rennes average 2.1. Both teams have been receiving quite a few warnings this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 3.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Toulouse's individual total in the league averages 1.7 goals per match, while Rennes average 1.3. The overall scoring in their matches is as follows: the hosts average 3.1, and the visitors average 2.9. Considering these stats, we recommend looking at a bet on total match goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Over the last nine Ligue 1 matches, Toulouse have averaged 4.2 corners per game, while Rennes have averaged 4.9 in the same period. Both teams favor attacking play and frequently utilize the wings, leading to corner opportunities. Therefore, we suggest betting on total corners over 8.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are currently showcasing nearly identical performances in terms of points earned and sit next to each other in the standings. Therefore, it's worth turning to head-to-head statistics, which strongly favor Toulouse with four wins in their last five encounters. We suggest betting on a home victory, expecting them to secure a win with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Our choice
    Toulouse Win at odds of +112*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 October 2025, 18:21)

    Betting Tips: Toulouse - Stade Rennes

    Stade Rennes have drawn
    stade-rennesin last 3 away games (Ligue 1).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +250
    Stade Rennes have not won
    stade-rennesin 7 of last 8 games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Toulouse have scored under 2.5 goals
    toulouse-fcstade-rennesin 11 of last 12 games against Stade Rennes.
    toulouse-fcstade-rennesin 10 of last 11 games against Stade Rennes (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcin 23 of last 25 home games.
    toulouse-fcin 21 of last 23 home games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Toulouse have scored
    toulouse-fcin 19 of last 20 home games (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcin last 9 home games.
    Stade Rennes have conceded
    stade-rennesin last 8 away games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    View more facts

    Toulouse - Rennes Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    7.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    341661260-5454
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    +6
    21 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draw
    1
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    21
    22
    Conceded
    15
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.6
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats