Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction

    🔊 Can Toulouse break their winless streak against an unmotivated opponent? In the 32nd round of Ligue 1, Rennes will visit the "Stadium de Toulouse," bringing their recent free-flowing and entertaining style. From a standings perspective, both teams are not chasing any particular goals and will remain mid-table. The aim now is to finish the season on a high note and head into the break with good spirits.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record between the teams is quite balanced (11-8-14), with a slight edge for Rennes. However, recent encounters have not been favorable for the "Red and Blacks" against Toulouse: 3 losses and 1 draw in their last 4 meetings. In the first leg of this season, Toulouse secured an away victory (2-0) with a significant xG advantage (1.39-0.5). Despite the recent struggles in direct matchups, Rennes consistently finds the net against Toulouse, both overall (in 10 of the last 12 matches) and away (in 8 of the last 10 matches). Therefore, it makes sense to bet on Rennes' individual total over (1).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    12 Wins
    25%
    9 Draws
    42%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.86
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.31
    Total average
    1.56
    1.75
    Yellow cards
    1.31
    Last matches
    28.02.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.75
    0.56
    6
    1
    9
    13
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.75
    0.56
    6
    1
    9
    13
    1
    3
    29.10.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    1.73
    1.16
    5
    8
    9
    12
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.73
    1.16
    5
    8
    9
    12
    2
    3
    03.05.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    1.01
    1.58
    6
    5
    7
    15
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.01
    1.58
    6
    5
    7
    15
    2
    2
    10.11.24
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.47
    1.25
    5
    3
    17
    16
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.47
    1.25
    5
    3
    17
    16
    3
    1
    13.04.24
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    8
    4
    20
    19
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    20
    19
    3
    3
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🔵 With three matches remaining in the season, Toulouse sit in 12th place, holding a seven-point cushion above the relegation playoff zone. This effectively means their battle for survival is over, allowing them to finish the season without added pressure. Besides Rennes, Toulouse are set to face Lens at home and Saint-Étienne away in their remaining fixtures.

    🔗 On one hand, Toulouse ended a five-match losing streak in the last round with a 0-0 draw against Nantes. On the other, Carlos Martinez's side haven't secured a win in seven matches. At home, the "Violets" last tasted victory in Ligue 1 last year, suffering six defeats and drawing twice since then. Clearly, Toulouse are determined to give their fans something to cheer about.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Stade Rennes Team Overview

    🔴 As the championship draws to a close, Rennes find themselves without specific objectives in the standings. The team faces no threat of relegation, nor is there much room for significant upward movement. Rennes are likely to finish between 10th and 12th place. The "Red and Blacks" have been inconsistent, losing by large margins three times and thrashing opponents twice in their last eight matches. Now, they face a challenging away game against Toulouse.

    🔗 Since Habib Beye took over as head coach, Rennes have averaged just 0.6 points per game against teams in the top half of the table (1 win and 4 losses). However, during this period, they have defeated teams from the bottom half six times, suffering only one defeat.

    Match Results: Stade Rennes

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris
    Paris
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.05
    0.9
    7
    5
    10
    14
    0
    3
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2.05
    0.9
    7
    5
    10
    14
    0
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    W
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    0.72
    3.19
    2
    9
    10
    12
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.72
    3.19
    2
    9
    10
    12
    0
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Toulouse

    ❌ Due to a suspension from a straight red card, backup right winger Noah Edjuma will miss the match. Additionally, first-choice center-back Mark McKenzie continues to serve his suspension for a straight red card. Right winger Zakaria Aboukhlal (7+2 in 24 matches) will be unavailable due to injury, alongside long-term absentees, midfielder Niklas Schmidt and center-back Rasmus Nicolaisen.

    Stade Rennes

    ❌ Two reserve players, attacking midfielder Ayanda Sishuba and central defender Mikayil Faye, will be unable to assist the team due to injuries, along with long-term injured central defender Alidu Seidu.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for this match is Benoît Millot, who has officiated 14 Ligue 1 matches this season. He has overseen games involving Toulouse (against Lyon away, with the yellow card count at 1-0 in favor of Lyon) and Rennes (against Lyon at home, with the yellow card count at 2-1 in favor of Rennes) once each this season.

    Millot's stats are quite intriguing. He tends to show more cards to the home team than the visitors. On average, he issues 3.8 yellow cards per match this season (2 to the home team and 1.8 to the away team). The disparity in red cards is even more pronounced, with 7 red cards shown to the home side and just 1 to the visitors.

    This season, matches involving Toulouse have seen 6 red cards, with 3 being shown to the "Violets" players. In Rennes' matches, there have been 8 red cards, but only 2 were for Rennes players.

    These patterns suggest a bet on a sending-off during the match might be worthwhile. For those willing to take a bigger risk, betting on a sending-off for Toulouse could be considered (although the likelihood of a red card in three consecutive matches is low).

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Considering the trends that Toulouse have scored at home in 13 of their last 14 Ligue 1 matches and Rennes have found the net in 7 of their last 8 away Ligue 1 games, placing a bet on both teams to score seems logical.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Toulouse have averaged 5.8 corners per match in their last 6 home games, while Rennes have conceded an average of 5.6 corners per match in their last 5 away games. Given these trends, we suggest a bet on Toulouse's individual total corners over (4.5).

    Editor's Prediction

    The match promises to be intriguing given the current league standings and the history of head-to-head encounters: both clubs are eager to improve their positions as the season nears its end. Considering Toulouse's shaky defense and Rennes' excellent attacking form, we're likely to see plenty of chances in front of both goals; the trend suggests goals from both sides (at least one each). Based on this analysis, the most logical bet would be both teams to score, as Toulouse have found the net at home in 13 of their last 14 Ligue 1 matches, while Rennes have scored on the road in 7 of their last 8 Ligue 1 games.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -135*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 May 2025, 11:10)

    Betting Tips: Toulouse - Stade Rennes

    Toulouse have not won
    toulouse-fcin last 7 games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Rennes will not lose
    Everygame
    -169
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    toulouse-fcin 14 of last 15 Toulouse home games.
    toulouse-fcin 12 of last 13 Toulouse home games (Ligue 1).
    in 7 of last 8 Benoit Millot games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    toulouse-fcstade-rennesin 11 of last 12 Toulouse games against Stade Rennes.
    toulouse-fcstade-rennesin 10 of last 11 Toulouse games against Stade Rennes (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcin 10 of last 11 Toulouse home games.
    toulouse-fcin 8 of last 9 Toulouse home games (Ligue 1).
    stade-rennesin 7 of last 8 Stade Rennes away games (Ligue 1).
    stade-rennesin 6 of last 7 Stade Rennes away games.
    in 6 of last 7 Benoit Millot games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Toulouse have conceded
    toulouse-fcin last 10 home games.
    toulouse-fcin last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Rennes have scored
    stade-rennesin 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Rennes will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Toulouse - Rennes Table position

    Ligue 1 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341551452-5950
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    341191444-4342
    11.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    341191448-5142
    12.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    341321951-5041
    13.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    348121439-5236

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    +6
    21 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draw
    1
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    21
    22
    Conceded
    15
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.6
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats