Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 October 2026
🔊 The tenth round of La Liga concludes in Seville, where Osasuna arrive with a new-old manager. Jagoba Arrasate has returned to Pamplona after more than two years away and will now take charge of his first away match since coming back. The two sides are separated by just three points in the table: Sevilla sit sixth, while Osasuna are tenth. A win for the visitors would eliminate that gap entirely, while the hosts need to consolidate their position in the European places. For both clubs, this match is an important test of their ambitions.
Osasuna have become a tough opponent.
📊 The two sides have met 21 times. Sevilla have won 10, Osasuna six, with five draws. The average total is 2.57 goals. The historical advantage lies with the hosts, but in recent years the visitors have notably improved their record in this fixture.
In the last five meetings, Sevilla have won just once, drawing twice and losing twice. Last season the teams split home honours: a 1-0 win for Sevilla in Andalusia and a 2-1 win for Osasuna in Pamplona.
Head-to-head statistics Sevilla - Osasuna

Sevilla have squandered their lead
After nine rounds, Luis García Plaza's side have 14 points, with four wins, two draws and three defeats. The last few weeks have been difficult, though. In three matches against Barcelona, Levante and Real Madrid, the Andalusians picked up just one point and conceded 10 goals.
The poor run is largely down to the fixture list. Sevilla faced two of the main title contenders and now return to the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán after two consecutive away matches. Despite personnel changes up front, the team have scored in all nine league rounds. García Plaza is gradually gaining more options in attack, and the match against Osasuna will show how much they have managed to correct the mistakes of recent weeks.
Match Results: Sevilla

Osasuna have started a new chapter
Osasuna have 11 points from nine matches, but those numbers mask a difficult start. Three wins, two draws and four defeats, with a goal difference of minus eight, have left the club in mid-table. A run of five matches without a win, which ended with a heavy defeat to Betis (2-5), prompted the club to part ways with Luis Miguel Ramis and bring back Jagoba Arrasate.
His first match back brought a win over Racing (2-0), but a sterner test now awaits. Three defeats in four away matches and 14 goals conceded in those games point to defensive problems. In attack, Osasuna are heavily reliant on Ante Budimir, who has scored 7 of the team's 10 La Liga goals. Arrasate has managed to lift the mood, but fixing all the problems will take more time.
Match Results: Osasuna
Latest news
Sevilla
❌ Marcao, Jon Guridi and Miguel Ángel Sierra are injured. Lucas Stassin is still working on an individual programme. Giorgi Kochorashvili has rejoined the group after his injury, but his availability is in doubt.
Osasuna
🚑 Aimar Oros, Jorge Herrando, Romain Del Castillo and Asier Benali are not yet fit to return.
Total Goals Prediction
Sevilla have yet to find a balance between attack and defence. Through nine league rounds, the Andalusians have scored 14 goals and conceded 16 - an average of 3.33 goals per match. At least three goals have been scored in 6 of their 9 matches, including each of the last three rounds. Sevilla themselves have scored in every league match, finding ways forward even against Barcelona and Real Madrid.
Osasuna's defensive record is worse - 18 goals conceded in nine rounds, with 14 of those coming in four away matches. Every one of Osasuna's away fixtures has featured at least three goals. Arrasate's return should help bring some order, but an immediate improvement is hard to count on. Sevilla create good opportunities at home, while the visitors have Budimir, who is capable of punishing any mistake. Pick: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 2.17*.
Corners Prediction
Sevilla are one of La Liga's more modest teams when it comes to corners. Over nine matchdays, the Andalusians have earned 27 corners - an average of 3 per match - while the combined total across their games stands at just 6.44. Osasuna average 4 corners of their own and around 8.5 combined with their opponents. The head-to-head record is also telling - across the last 15 meetings between the sides, the average number of corners was 8.2, and a total of 10 was only reached on four occasions. Our pick: Total Corners - Under 9.5 at 1.56*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Over nine rounds, Sevilla and Osasuna players have committed 132 fouls each - an average of 14.67 per match. The booking counts tell a similar story: the hosts have collected 25 yellow cards, the visitors 24, which works out to 5.44 cards between the two sides per round.
Head-to-head meetings have rarely been short of cards either. Across 21 matches, the two sides have received 95 yellows - an average of 4.52 per game. The wider context adds to that. Sevilla need to consolidate their position among the European contenders, while Osasuna are looking to build on their momentum following a managerial change. We expect a physical, combative contest and are backing Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Sevilla are going through a difficult spell, but their last three fixtures shouldn't be judged without considering the quality of the opposition. Barcelona and Real Madrid are on a different level right now, while Osasuna are vulnerable away from home. The visitors concede a lot on the road, and their defence struggled badly under pressure against Betis and Atlético. The hosts have enough to exploit those weaknesses.
That said, a heavy defeat isn't to be expected either. Osasuna have received an emotional boost since Arrasate's return, and Sevilla themselves make frequent defensive errors, so the visitors are capable of scoring. But home support and the return of several attacking players should help García Plaza's side end their poor run. Predicted score: 2-1. Main bet: Sevilla to win.