Chapecoense vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
๐ The hosts go into the match with little to play for in the table as the season draws to a close. Chapecoense are bottom, while Vasco da Gama sit in mid-table and are fighting for every point. Neither teamโs form is consistent: the hosts lose more often, while the visitors alternate between wins and defeats. In these circumstances, the match could be shaped by the teamsโ current goalscoring form and their head-to-head record.
Wins are hard to come by
05 February 2026 in Serie A, Vasco da Gama and Chapecoense drew 1-1. Vasco da Gama had 30 shots to Chapecoenseโs seven and created chances worth 4.69 xG, but could not secure the win.
In 11 official meetings, the teams have drawn seven times. They have won two matches each, and the goal tally is close: 11-10 in Vasco da Gama's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Vasco Da Gama
End-of-season clash with nothing to play for
Chapecoense lost 2-1 at home to Mirassol in their previous Serie A match on 3 November 2026. Despite the teams having the same number of shots on target (4-4), the difference in expected goals was significant: 0.64 to 2.33.
Chapecoense are enduring a difficult season and sit bottom of the table. They have won only 4 of their 33 matches, losing 20, while in their last five matches they have won just once and lost four times. They concede an average of 2.06 goals per game, pointing to a weak defence. They lack consistency in attack, scoring an average of just 0.9 goals over their last 10 matches. Having nothing left to play for in the league does little to lift their spirits, but home matches sometimes produce goalscoring moments even during poor runs.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Inconsistency hampers their ability to pick up points
Vasco da Gama beat Palmeiras 2-1 at home in their last Copa do Brasil match 8 November 2026. However, the visitors had more shots - 14 to 11 - and took nine shots from inside the penalty area to Vasco da Gamaโs three.
Vasco da Gama are having a mid-table season and have clear motivation to improve their league position. In their last ten matches, they have recorded 4 wins and 5 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their last five matches include two wins and three defeats, highlighting their inconsistent results. They can score, but they also frequently make defensive mistakes, creating the conditions for both teams to score.
Match Results: Vasco Da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Chapecoense have conceded in the first half in 9 of their last 10 home matches. This is a direct, relevant home trend for this fixture; separate statistics on Vasco da Gamaโs first-half goals are unavailable. We pick Vasco da Gama First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.53*.
Total Goals Prediction
Chapecoense have scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine matches. In their recent home matches, the sum of their average goals scored and conceded is 3.5, compared with 3.63 across the season. Meanwhile, Vasco da Gama have scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 0.8 in their recent away matches, which tempers expectations for the overall goal total. Taking Chapecoenseโs home statistics into account, we pick Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.63*.
Corners Prediction
Vasco da Gama have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in eight consecutive matches. This run directly relates to the teamโs individual corner total, although average corner figures are unavailable for an additional check. Weโre backing Vasco da Gama Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 at odds of 1.52*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams have scored in eight consecutive head-to-head matches, but this run should be treated as an additional argument. Chapecoense have averaged 1.25 goals in their recent home matches, while Vasco da Gama have averaged 1.2 in their recent away matches. However, Vasco da Gama have conceded only 0.8 goals on average in their recent away matches, which reduces confidence that the hosts will score. We pick Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.70*.
High-Risk Bet
In their recent home matches, Chapecoense have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded, while their home averages for the season are 1.38 and 2.25 respectively. Those figures leave room for a high-scoring match but do not guarantee more than 3.5 goals. Vasco da Gama have also averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in their recent away matches, making the higher line noticeably riskier. We pick Total Goals - Over 3.5 at odds of 2.47*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 8 of Chapecoenseโs last 9 matches. In their recent home matches, they have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 2.25; their home figures for the season are 1.38 and 2.25, respectively. These figures support a bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.19*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithmโs calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:2 (10.55%), 0:1 (9.85%) and 1:1 (9.7%). Of these, 1:2 is the most likely. The difference between the first and third options is 0.85 percentage points.
โญ Editorโs Prediction
Both teamsโ current form points to inconsistent defending and a tendency to concede. Chapecoense regularly make mistakes at the back, while Vasco da Gama are not particularly reliable in defence, though they retain some attacking potential. Their head-to-head meetings also point to goals: the last match ended 1:1, and a run of eight consecutive meetings in which both teams scored suggests a high likelihood of the Both Teams to Score - Yes bet winning. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Chapecoense - Vasco Da Gama
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