Lokomotiv vs Rostov Prediction 30 April 2025
🔊 How will the team line-ups and tactics evolve after last weekend's head-to-head clash? In the league, Lokomotiv and Rostov fielded nearly their full-strength squads. However, they didn't reveal all their strategies, settling for a draw that satisfied both sides. The stakes are much higher in the Regional Path semifinal of the Russian Cup, as the loser of this matchup will exit the tournament. Therefore, we will explore various scenarios to make a well-founded prediction. It's worth noting that the match will take place at the "RZD Arena."
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 April 2025 and ended with a score of 1:1. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 16.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Lokomotiv Moscow and Rostov:
- played 42 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 24, for the away team - 10, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 65 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.12, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv - Rostov

Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Rostov, away team - Lokomotiv Moscow). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
🔴 Lokomotiv are currently sixth in the RPL standings. They still have a chance to climb higher, as Dynamo Moscow are just two points ahead. However, any talk of competing for the top spots is off the table. Head coach Mikhail Galaktionov believes the issue lies with their young squad, which lacks experience. It's worth noting that in the spring part of the championship, the "Railwaymen" managed only two victories-against Dynamo Moscow and Pari NN. In the latter match, they were aided by an early sending-off for the opposition.
🔗 Lokomotiv began their Russian Cup playoff journey from the RPL Path. However, in a two-legged tie against Dynamo Moscow, they fell short in a penalty shootout. In the Regions Path, the "Red-Greens" overcame Dynamo Makhachkala (2-1) and Akhmat (2-1). In the quarterfinals, they conceded as early as the eighth minute. Yet, before halftime, they not only equalized but also took the lead.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow

Rostov Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on as part of the Premier League tournament (the hosts were Rostov, and the visitors were Lokomotiv Moscow). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
🟡 Rostov are navigating a transitional phase. Significant changes are expected within the club's structure come summer. For now, the team is essentially playing out the season. In the Russian Premier League, they find themselves stuck mid-table, sitting in eighth place. The only team that might shift their position is Rubin, but that's unlikely to be of major consequence. Notably, the team has secured three victories this spring, all of which came on the road.
🔗 Rostov began their Russian Cup playoff journey via the RPL Path, facing some of the top opponents. Under Karpin, they managed to overcome Spartak, winning both at home and away. In their two-legged encounter with Zenit, Jonathan Alba was at the helm. During his tenure, Rostov lost both matches without scoring a single goal.
Match Results: Rostov
Latest news
Lokomotiv Moscow
🔝 Alexey Batrakov converted a penalty in the last RPL round. He now boasts 13 goals and 7 assists in the league, marking the most prolific season for players aged 20 or younger since statistics have been recorded. He's surpassed the likes of Dzagoev, Zakharyan, and Tyukavin.
📣 Mikhail Galaktionov believes Lokomotiv have what it takes to win the Russian Cup: “We set our own goals for the Russian Cup. It's not because someone from above dictates it; within the team, we genuinely believe we can win.”
❌ Lokomotiv are preparing for the match with a full squad. However, Alexey Batrakov will be absent due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Rostov
📣 Rostov's head coach Jonathan Alba expressed his satisfaction with the team's performance against Lokomotiv: “We played excellently, and I'm very pleased with the guys. We tried to play on the counterattack, and it was a very effective style for us. Lokomotiv are a strong team, but we managed to play well.”
👨⚖️ Last week, the Court of Arbitration for Sport ruled on Mathias Normann's case. The court ordered him to pay Rostov approximately 3 million euros for breaching his contract obligations.
❌ In the upcoming match, Mohammad Mohebi will be absent as he has missed four matches due to injury. Rustam Yatimov is also not ready to play after suffering a concussion in the game against Fakel.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home team wins - 24, away team wins - 10, draws - 8.
Statistics: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of wins: 8 vs 5;
- win percentage: 89% vs 50%;
- number of losses: 1 vs 5;
- number of draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 3;
- number of losses: 2 vs 5;
- number of draws: 4 vs 2.
- Lokomotiv Moscow have not lost in 9 of last 10 games (Russian Cup).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.55, the guests - 0.95;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov
- average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 2.33 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.89 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.44 vs 0.7;
- Lokomotiv Moscow: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Rostov: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.8) vs 1 (away - 1.6).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Lokomotiv Moscow games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Rostov away games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Rostov games.
Prediction on corners
Lokomotiv Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22; at home field - 6.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.4.
Rostov: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.1, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 4.2.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.8 (1.9 for home team and 1.9 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.09 (1.9 for home team and 2.19 for away team).
Lokomotiv Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.67; at home - 0.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 1.8.
Rostov: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.9, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Lokomotiv Moscow at home - 1 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rostov away - 1 (20%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Lokomotiv Moscow at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Rostov away - 3 (60%).
- Lokomotiv Moscow have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Russian Cup).