Lokomotiv vs Rostov Prediction 23 August 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Will Lokomotiv maintain their lead in the Russian Premier League after the sixth round? Bookmakers' odds suggest they might. The "Railroaders" have allowed Krasnodar to close the gap, making it crucial for them not to drop points. Moreover, Rostov are not currently in the form to challenge for a win in Moscow at the "RZD Arena." However, this is the RPL, where any team can beat another. Therefore, we will explore various scenarios to find the best option.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over a stretch of 43 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv hold the advantage with a 56 percent win rate. Last season, the teams clashed five times. In the summer, Lokomotiv edged out victories at home in both the Russian Premier League and the Russian Cup, each by a narrow margin. Meanwhile, both encounters at the “Rostov Arena” ended in draws. In April, the teams met in the semifinals of the Russian Cup's Regions Path, where Rostov emerged victorious with a 2-0 win.

    In a span of seven head-to-head games at the “RZD Arena,” Lokomotiv have managed to win by more than one goal only once. Despite the current standings placing the teams at opposite ends of the table, it's worth considering the option of the visitors winning with a handicap (+1.5).

    Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv - Rostov

    54%
    25 Wins
    20%
    9 Draws
    26%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    46
    Total Goals Avg
    2.57
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.54
    Total average
    1.02
    1.96
    Yellow cards
    1.91
    Last matches
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    24.01.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    -
    -
    5
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    30.11.25
    RPL
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    1.35
    2.19
    2
    4
    16
    13
    2
    1
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1.35
    2.19
    2
    4
    16
    13
    2
    1
    23.08.25
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1.58
    1.78
    3
    4
    13
    8
    1
    0
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1.58
    1.78
    3
    4
    13
    8
    1
    0
    30.04.25
    Russian Cup
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Rostov
    Rostov
    -
    -
    5
    2
    15
    14
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    15
    14
    4
    3
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    Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview

    🔴 Lokomotiv kicked off their RPL campaign with four straight wins. This was hardly expected, considering their clashes with Krasnodar (2-1) and Spartak (4-2). However, their Russian Cup performance has been less impressive, with a loss to CSKA (1-2), although they did secure a win against Baltika (2-0). In that match, the “Railwaymen” fielded what was essentially their first-choice lineup, which might have been a miscalculation.

    🟢 Just a few days later, Lokomotiv faced Baltika again in the league, this time in Kaliningrad. Here, they lacked freshness. The “Red-Greens” conceded first and only managed to equalize with 10 minutes left in regulation time (1-1). Fortune played a role in this draw. Despite dropping points for the first time, Lokomotiv remain at the top of the standings, but their lead over the closest challenger is now razor-thin.

    Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    0.35
    1.84
    1
    2
    13
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.35
    1.84
    1
    2
    13
    13
    3
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    RPL
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    1.84
    1.37
    5
    1
    14
    13
    2
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.84
    1.37
    5
    1
    14
    13
    2
    1
    L
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    L
    14.08.26
    RPL
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    2.60
    0.33
    6
    2
    12
    18
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.60
    0.33
    6
    2
    12
    18
    2
    1
    D
    08.08.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Akron Tolyatti
    Akron Tolyatti
    1.67
    1.31
    2
    6
    14
    17
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.67
    1.31
    2
    6
    14
    17
    4
    1
    D
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    Rostov Team Overview

    🟡 Rostov have stumbled out of the gate this season. The squad hasn't undergone enough changes to be fighting for survival, yet the "Yellow-Blues" occasionally display decent football, pressing high, but something is consistently missing. As a result, they have suffered six defeats in seven matches, including the Russian Cup. Their sole victory came against Paris NN (1-0), but they played with a numerical advantage for over an hour and still weren't convincing.

    🔵 In the last round, Rostov traveled to Kazan, where they managed just one shot on target in each half against Rubin. This was clearly insufficient to secure points against such opposition (0-1). On the flip side, it's not as if the visitors had numerous chances either. Consequently, Rostov remain in the playoff zone with three points to their name.

    Match Results: Rostov

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    RPL
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1.00
    0.74
    4
    6
    16
    15
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.00
    0.74
    4
    6
    16
    15
    3
    3
    L
    22.08.26
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Rostov
    Rostov
    0.42
    0.26
    5
    0
    13
    17
    0
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    0.42
    0.26
    5
    0
    13
    17
    0
    2
    L
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    14
    12
    1
    3
    W
    15.08.26
    RPL
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    0.68
    1.27
    5
    3
    14
    11
    3
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    1.27
    5
    3
    14
    11
    3
    0
    D
    08.08.26
    RPL
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    Rostov
    Rostov
    0.62
    0.55
    1
    3
    6
    9
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.62
    0.55
    1
    3
    6
    9
    1
    2
    D
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    Latest news

    Lokomotiv Moscow

    🎙 Lokomotiv's head coach Mikhail Galaktionov praised his players for not giving up in their match against Baltika: “The opponent is combative, they apply pressure, run, fight, and play aggressively. We had to be ready for that. We conceded early in the match, which gave them a certain advantage, but we took control afterward. We lacked sharpness in the final third. Credit to the guys for not giving up.”

    ✅ Lokomotiv are preparing for the match with a full squad.

    Rostov

    🎙 Rostov's head coach Jonathan Alba reflected on the defeat to Rubin: "There weren't many chances today. The first half didn't go our way at all, but in the second half, we changed our attacking formation and created more opportunities. We need to improve our attack. We understand what needs to be done. We have to work on it, both in theory and on the field. We're not focusing on what went wrong in past games; we're concentrating on what we did today."

    ❌ Dmitry Chistyakov will miss the upcoming match due to an injury that has sidelined him for three weeks.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for the match is Sergey Cheban. Last season, he officiated eight RPL matches, handing out an average of 3.38 yellow cards per game. This season, he has already overseen the Krylia Sovetov vs. Pari NN game, issuing four cautions, which aligns closely with his usual statistics.

    Rostov hold the edge in yellow cards this season (3.6 compared to 2.2). On average, their matches see six cautions. Lokomotiv's figure is slightly lower but still significant at 4.6. Thus, it's worth considering a bet on total yellow cards over 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In the upcoming match, Dmitry Vorobyov is expected to return to the starting lineup. However, Nikolay Komlichenko is likely to make an appearance during the game and pose a threat against his former team. Despite this, the "Railwaymen" have found the net in the second half of eight consecutive matches. Therefore, consider betting on the hosts to score in the 2nd half.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    This season, neither team ranks highly in corners. Nonetheless, Lokomotiv have the advantage (3.8 compared to 3.4). Rostov's matches average only 7.8 corners, while the "Red-Greens" have a higher average of 9.2. This suggests a potential bet on total corners under 9.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    Lokomotiv are favored in the upcoming clash, but Rostov are far from an easy opponent. Just look at last season's head-to-head results-Rostov avoided losing by more than one goal in 17 of their last 18 away games. It's unlikely the hosts will secure a significant advantage here, making a potential scoreline of 2-1 a reasonable prediction.

    Lokomotiv's defense doesn't seem impenetrable; they've only kept clean sheets in two matches this season, including the Russian Cup, yet they've consistently found the net themselves. Rostov aren't without hope; they can force errors from their opponents through pressing. Thus, our key bet is on both teams to score (yes).

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 22/08/2025, 08:58

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    Betting Tips: Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov

    Rostov have lost:
    fc-rostov-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Lokomotiv Moscow Win
    -115
    Lokomotiv Moscow have not lost:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 12 of last 13 home games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 11 games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 10 of last 11 games.
    Rostov have not won:
    fc-rostov-1in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    fc-rostov-1in last 6 away games (Premier League).
    Lokomotiv Moscow will not lose
    -417
    Lokomotiv Moscow have scored:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 13 home games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 11 games (Premier League).
    Rostov have conceded:
    fc-rostov-1in 16 of last 17 away games (Premier League).
    fc-rostov-1in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    fc-rostov-1in last 7 away games.
    Lokomotiv Moscow will score goal
    -714
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 14 of last 15 Lokomotiv Moscow games.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 12 Lokomotiv Moscow home games.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 10 Lokomotiv Moscow home games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 7 Lokomotiv Moscow games (Premier League).
    in last 7 Sergey Cheban games.
    in last 6 Sergey Cheban games (in the Premier League).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Lokomotiv - Rostov Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    30206460-2366
    3.
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    301411554-3953
    4.
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    30157847-3952
    9.
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    309101135-3937
    10.
    Rostov
    Rostov
    30891325-3233
    11.
    Krylya Sovetov
    Krylya Sovetov
    30881435-5032

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 13
    -5
    +3
    15 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    15
    13
    Conceded
    12
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.7
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats