Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction 11 January 2026
🔊 In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Moreirense will host Tondela. The teams find themselves in different parts of the league table, adding a layer of intrigue to their encounter. Moreirense have been solid at home, but they occasionally falter defensively, conceding goals in 10 of their last 11 matches on their own turf. Meanwhile, Tondela struggle with scoring and face defensive issues. Given both teams' motivation to improve their league standing, the match promises to be engaging with potential surprises.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 29 April 2023 and ended with a score of 2-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Moreirense were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Moreirense and Tondela:
- 18 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 6, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 21 each;
- average total in the first half - 1.28, in the second half - 1.06;
- average total goals per match - 2.33.
Head-to-head statistics Moreirense - Tondela
Moreirense Team Overview
The last official match was played on in the Primeira Liga, with ABC hosting Moreirense. The game ended in a 0-2 defeat for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs ABC):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Moreirense are firmly holding their mid-table position, sitting 7th. Over their last five matches, they have secured one win, drawn three times, and suffered one loss. Their most recent outing ended in a victory, highlighting the mixed results they've been experiencing. Despite this, the team continues to deliver solid performances at home, delighting fans with quality football. However, their defense remains a concern-Moreirense concede almost every home game. Their last encounter with Tondela ended in a 2-1 victory for the hosts, boosting their confidence ahead of the upcoming clash.
Match Results: Moreirense
Tondela Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Tondela hosting Arouca. The match ended with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Tondela vs Arouca):
- possession: 29% vs 71%;
- corners: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 12 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Tondela find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 17th in the standings. The team struggles both offensively and defensively. In their last five matches, they've managed just two wins alongside three losses, highlighting their inconsistent form. While recent success might boost their confidence, with an average of only 0.75 goals per game, victories won't come easily. The club attempts to play defensively and capitalize on counterattacks, but their vulnerabilities on the flanks often lead to conceding goals. In their previous encounter against Moreirense, they fell 1-2, adding pressure ahead of their next fixture.
Match Results: Tondela
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 6, draws - 5.
Statistics: Moreirense vs Tondela
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- win percentage: 44% vs 19%;
- losses: 6 vs 10;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 5 vs 7;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 1.17;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Moreirense vs Tondela
- average total in the tournament: 2.94 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.44 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 0.5;
- Moreirense: average total at home in the tournament - 1.71;
- Tondela: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
- Moreirense have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.13; at home field - 4.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 3.67.
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 4.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 4.5.
- Tondela have taken under 4.5 corners in last 6 games against Moreirense (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Moreirense vs Tondela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense at home - 5 (71%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela away - 3 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Moreirense at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Tondela away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/151, 11.3%);
- Moreirense at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Tondela away most often play: 3:0 (3/8, 37.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.12% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 9.33% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.12% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics, both teams are expected to aim for a high-scoring match. Moreirense, despite decent home results, struggles defensively. This opens up an opportunity for Tondela to net at least one goal. Furthermore, the visitors scored in their last encounter against Moreirense, boosting their confidence ahead of this fixture. Based on trends and statistics, a bet on over 0.5 goals for the visitors seems like a reasonable prediction.
No comments
Betting Tips: Moreirense - Tondela
in 17 of last 18 Moreirense games against Tondela.in 13 of last 14 Moreirense games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).in 8 of last 9 Moreirense home games against Tondela.in 6 of last 7 Moreirense home games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).
in 15 of last 16 Moreirense games against Tondela.in 13 of last 14 Moreirense games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).in last 8 Moreirense home games against Tondela.in last 7 Moreirense home games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).in 13 of last 14 Moreirense games (Primeira Liga).in 7 of last 8 Moreirense games.in 8 of last 9 games against Tondela.in 8 of last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).in 9 of last 10 away games.in last 5 Moreirense home games (Primeira Liga).in 6 of last 7 Tondela away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
