Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction 11 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming match promises to be intriguing, given the teams' contrasting approaches. Tondela are fighting for survival in the league, but their recent form is less than impressive, with just one win in their last five matches. Moreirense, on the other hand, have been more consistent, currently sitting in 7th place in the table. Their attacking style of play is reflected in their ability to create dangerous chances. Both squads have their strengths and weaknesses, making the upcoming match unpredictable.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 11 January 2026 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Moreirense as the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Tondela and Moreirense:
- 19 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 8, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 21 versus 22;
- average first-half total - 1.21, second-half - 1.05;
- average goals per match - 2.26.
Head-to-head statistics Tondela - Moreirense
Tondela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Casa Pia hosting Tondela. The match ended 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (Tondela vs Casa Pia):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 19 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Tondela are facing significant challenges this season. In their last five matches, they have secured just one victory and recorded two draws. Their average scoring rate stands at a mere 0.75 goals per game, which is far below what is needed for a successful campaign. Defensively, they are also struggling, conceding approximately 1.63 goals per match. The team's playing style is marked by caution and a focus on defense, but the lack of consistent results forces them to seek improvements in both attacking and defensive play.
Match Results: Tondela
Moreirense Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Moreirense away. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Estrela):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 18 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Moreirense have shown more consistent form this season compared to their opponents. Over the last five matches, they have secured two wins, drawn once, and suffered two defeats. They average 1.16 goals per game, which comfortably places them in seventh position in the league standings. Their defense also plays a crucial role, conceding about 1.47 goals per match-below the league average. Moreirense favor an attacking style of play, creating dangerous opportunities and effectively capitalizing on counter-attacks.
Match Results: Moreirense
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 8, draws - 5.
Statistics: Tondela vs Moreirense
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 5 vs 12;
- win percentage: 16% vs 38%;
- losses: 17 vs 14;
- draws: 10 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Tondela have not won in 16 of last 17 home games.
- Tondela have not won in 14 of last 15 home games (Primeira Liga).
- Tondela have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 1.16;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.26;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Tondela vs Moreirense
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.63;
- average total goals scored: 0.75 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.28 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.47 vs 0.69;
- Tondela: average total at home in the tournament - 0.73;
- Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.06;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 0.8 (away - 0.75).
- Tondela have conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Moreirense.
Prediction on corners
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4; at home field - 4.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 5.4.
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 2.5.
- Moreirense have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Tondela.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Tondela vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 6 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (29/288, 10.1%), 1:1 (29/288, 10.1%);
- Tondela at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 2:2 (3/15, 20%);
- Moreirense away most often play: 0:2 , 1:1 , 2:1 , 3:0 (2/16, 12.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.97% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 11.87% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.29% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
As we analyze the upcoming match, it's clear that Tondela find themselves in a challenging situation. Their game is largely defense-oriented, yet they continue to concede a significant number of goals. Moreirense, on the other hand, display a more confident style of play. The team favors an attacking approach and can create dangerous opportunities. Considering the trend where Tondela have conceded in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head encounters, betting on Moreirense's individual total over 0.5 seems to be the most reasonable prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Tondela - Moreirense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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