Atalanta vs Inter Prediction

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The main thing

    📢 How will the match between Atalanta and Inter conclude in the 17th round of Serie A, taking place at the Gewiss Stadium? This is the marquee clash of the round and one of the most anticipated encounters of the weekend. The "Queen of the Provincials" are in outstanding form following a managerial change, securing six wins in their last seven matches. Inter, on the other hand, have maintained high standards since the start of the season and were leading the table solo before this round began. The match in Bergamo promises to be a true test for both teams.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Inter spans 38 matches in recent years. The balance is clearly tilted in favor of the Milan club: 20 wins against 6 victories for Atalanta, with 12 draws. Recently, this fixture has become a stronghold for the "Nerazzurri." Inter have won eight consecutive head-to-head encounters, leaving their opponents with no chance. Last season, the Milan side first thrashed Atalanta at home with a 4-0 victory and then secured a comfortable 2-0 win in Bergamo. Between these matches, the teams also clashed in the Italian Super Cup, where Inter once again proved superior with a 2-0 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    15%
    6 Wins
    33%
    13 Draws
    53%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2.85
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.02
    Total average
    1.83
    2.42
    Yellow cards
    1.7
    Last matches
    14.03.26
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.86
    0.62
    2
    3
    11
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.86
    0.62
    2
    3
    11
    5
    2
    2
    28.12.25
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    0.75
    1.2
    4
    7
    8
    12
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.75
    1.2
    4
    7
    8
    12
    2
    1
    16.03.25
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    2
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1
    0.68
    2.28
    2
    6
    11
    14
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.68
    2.28
    2
    6
    11
    14
    2
    2
    02.01.25
    Italian Super Cup
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    2.89
    2.52
    7
    5
    5
    15
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.89
    2.52
    7
    5
    5
    15
    1
    1
    30.08.24
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    -
    -
    3
    4
    6
    15
    0
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    6
    15
    0
    2
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    Atalanta Team Overview

    🔵 This season, several Serie A teams have undergone changes in their coaching staff, and Atalanta, who stumbled at the start of the campaign, are no exception. After parting ways with Juric, the management entrusted the team to Palladino, and so far, this decision has been a resounding success. The "Queen of the Provincials" has blossomed before our eyes: the team seems to be clicking on all cylinders, as evidenced by their recent results-six wins in seven matches. Had they not underestimated Verona (1-3), we could be talking about a seven-game winning streak, but even without that, this run is more than impressive.

    ⚫ Last weekend, Atalanta had to dig deep to secure three points from Genoa (1-0). Genoa were reduced to ten men as early as the third minute following their goalkeeper's dismissal. Yet, despite dominating in all aspects, the "Queen of the Provincials" managed to score only in the 90+4th minute. The decisive goal came after a corner and a mishap by Daniele Sammariva-Genoa's backup goalkeeper who replaced Nicola Leali after his red card. Nevertheless, three points are three points, and they allowed Atalanta to climb to ninth in the standings, narrowing the gap to the top six to just three points.

    Match Results: Atalanta

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Bologna
    Bologna
    0.93
    0.77
    2
    5
    17
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.93
    0.77
    2
    5
    17
    6
    1
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    W
    02.05.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.69
    0.55
    6
    2
    14
    10
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.69
    0.55
    6
    2
    14
    10
    2
    1
    D
    27.04.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    L
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    Inter Milano Team Overview

    🔵 Inter approach the upcoming clash in less than high spirits. For the second consecutive year, they failed to secure the Italian Super Cup, this time bowing out at the semifinal stage after falling to Bologna (1-1, 2-3 on penalties). The "Nerazzurri" largely have themselves to blame for this outcome, as the coaching staff opted to field a semi-reserve squad, which ultimately cost them.

    ⚫ However, in Serie A, Inter are in excellent form. Ahead of the 17th round, they stood alone at the top of the table with 33 points. Just before the Super Cup, the "Nerazzurri" traveled to Genoa and secured a crucial away victory against Genoa (2-1). This result is particularly significant considering the "Griffins" were on a five-match unbeaten run in the league, and Inter hadn't won in Genoa since 2020.

    Match Results: Inter Milano

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1.31
    1.34
    1
    4
    15
    14
    0
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1.31
    1.34
    1
    4
    15
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    2.35
    0.92
    11
    2
    9
    12
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.35
    0.92
    11
    2
    9
    12
    0
    2
    D
    13.05.26
    Coppa Italia
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1.31
    1.09
    1
    3
    9
    11
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.31
    1.09
    1
    3
    9
    11
    3
    4
    W
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    0.71
    1.37
    5
    1
    10
    8
    2
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.71
    1.37
    5
    1
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Parma
    Parma
    1.98
    0.41
    8
    3
    9
    7
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.98
    0.41
    8
    3
    9
    7
    1
    0
    W
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    Latest news

    Atalanta

    📣 Atalanta's head coach Raffaele Palladino, following their 1-0 victory in Genoa, praised the resilience of their opponents and emphasized that such tough wins build character: "I want to commend Genoa; even with a man down, they didn't give an inch. We were a bit slow in our play and possession... It was a scrappy, gritty game, but today was all about getting the win. Winning, even when suffering, is what shapes character."

    🚫 Atalanta face their next match with several squad limitations. Ademola Lookman and Odilon Kossounou are away on international duty and unavailable for the club. The team also has multiple defensive players sidelined due to injuries: Berat Djimsiti is out with a hamstring injury until mid-January, while Raoul Bellanova is not expected back until at least early January. The situation with Mitchel Bakker is particularly concerning; an ACL tear rules him out until March, meaning he won't be able to aid the team in the coming months.

    Inter Milano

    📣 Following their Super Cup semifinal exit, Inter's coach Cristian Chivu stood by his players: "For me, a penalty shootout is a lottery, but I'm proud of the courage and character these guys showed. They played a great match today, especially in the second half... My only concern is what we need to learn and how to continue growing. In both good times and bad, we always move forward with our heads held high."

    🚫 Inter are also dealing with significant personnel issues. The main concerns lie in defense and on the flanks: Denzel Dumfries is sidelined long-term with an ankle injury and isn't expected back until mid-March. Matteo Darmian, Francesco Acerbi, and Thomas Palacios are still recovering and are tentatively set to return in early January. Backup goalkeeper Raffaele Di Gennaro is out with a broken wrist, and Ange-Yoan Bonny is sidelined with a knee injury until mid-January.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Atalanta have been firing on all cylinders recently, experiencing no issues in front of goal. The Bergamo side have found the net in each of their last eight matches, often scoring more than once, regularly putting up 2-3 goals per game. They consistently create chances and convert them confidently. Inter’s attacking line has been in top form throughout the season. The Milan side have scored at least once in 21 of their last 23 matches, cementing their status as the league's most consistent attacking team (34 goals in 15 Serie A matches). Given these stats, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems like a reasonable choice.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Atalanta and Inter rank among the Serie A leaders in corner kicks. The "Queen of the Provinces" sits second in the league, averaging 5.9 corners per match, while the "Nerazzurri" confidently hold the top spot with an average of 7.2 corners. Both teams enjoy playing an attacking style, constantly putting pressure on their opponents' defenses, making a bet on over 9.5 corners a logical selection.

    Editorial Prediction

    According to the bookmakers, Inter are clear favorites in the upcoming clash. However, it would be a mistake to underestimate Atalanta, considering they are in peak form and will have the support of their home crowd. In this scenario, betting on the outright result seems too risky, so our editorial team leans towards the option both teams to score (yes): both sides are strong in attack and often leave spaces at the back. Moreover, this bet has won in three of Atalanta's last four matches-the streak was broken in the game against Genoa (1-0), where the "Grifoni" played most of the match with ten men. A likely scoreline is 1-1.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -159*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 December 2025, 13:14)

    Betting Tips: Atalanta - Inter Milano

    Atalanta have won
    atalanta-bergamascain 6 of last 7 games.
    Atalanta Win
    MyBookie
    +280
    Inter Milano have won
    inter-milan-2in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2in 5 of last 6 away games (Serie A).
    Inter Milano Win
    Everygame
    +110
    Atalanta have not lost
    atalanta-bergamascain 11 of last 12 home games.
    atalanta-bergamascain 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Atalanta will not lose
    MyBookie
    -118
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    atalanta-bergamascain 11 of last 12 Atalanta home games (Serie A).
    atalanta-bergamascain 8 of last 9 Atalanta games.
    atalanta-bergamascain last 6 Atalanta home games.
    inter-milan-2in 14 of last 15 Inter Milano away games.
    inter-milan-2in 8 of last 9 Inter Milano away games (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2in 7 of last 8 Inter Milano games (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2in 6 of last 7 Inter Milano games.
    in 8 of last 9 Federico La Penna games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Atalanta - Inter Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    38276589-3587
    2.
    Napoli
    Napoli
    38237858-3676
    3.
    Roma
    Roma
    382341159-3173
    6.
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    381912761-3469
    7.
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    381514951-3659
    8.
    Bologna
    Bologna
    381681449-4656

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 10
    +2
    +15
    28 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    0
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    28
    10
    Conceded
    13
    2.2
    Match goals average
    4.1
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.8
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    78'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    32'
    View all stats