Inter vs Atalanta Prediction 2 January 2025

🔊 Who deserves to play in the Supercoppa Italiana final more? At this moment, it is Inter and Atalanta who are the strongest teams in their country, as evidenced by their standings and recent match successes. However, circumstances have arranged for these teams to face each other in the semifinals. We recommend checking out our prediction before placing a bet on the game, which will take place at the "Al-Awal Park".

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head encounters, Inter has a significant advantage in results. Over a stretch of 36 matches, the "Nerazzurri" achieved a positive result in 18 cases, while Atalanta won only 6 times. The match that took place in the first round of the current Serie A season ended in a humiliating defeat for Gian Piero Gasperini's team (0-4).

⚫️ Inter

This season, Inter is almost unbeatable. Over 5.5 months, the "Nerazzurri" suffered defeat only twice. On September 22, despite full control over the game, they unexpectedly lost to Milan (1-2), and in mid-December, they were narrowly defeated by Bayer (0-1), conceding a goal in the 90th minute. Ahead of the upcoming match, Simone Inzaghi's team is in excellent spirits. Inter achieved four consecutive clean-sheet victories and reduced their gap to the first place to a minimum (with one game in hand). In the previous round, they thrashed Cagliari away (3-0), showcasing phenomenal attacking play - 20 shots (5 on target) and an xG of 3.50. For the upcoming match, the team should field a strong lineup, considering there are no serious losses. In the infirmary are Francesco Acerbi, Matteo Darmian, Benjamin Pavard, and Raffaele Di Gennaro.

🔵 Atalanta

Despite finishing 2024 as the leader of Serie A standings, Atalanta is unlikely to be satisfied with the final result of their last match. On December 28, the "Queen of the Provincials" faced Lazio away, achieved an xG of 2.82 but still couldn't secure 3 points (1-1). Moreover, Gian Piero Gasperini's team could have lost if not for Marco Brescianini's saving goal in the 88th minute. However, this draw is unlikely to unsettle Atalanta players, unlike Fiorentina, who haven't won in four consecutive matches. Furthermore, the team from Bergamo last dropped points in Serie A back in late September. Regarding the upcoming match, Gian Piero Gasperini will not be able to count on Matteo Ruggeri and two central forwards, Gianluca Scamacca and Mateo Retegui.

⚽️ Goals Prediction

Despite both teams having no room for error in the upcoming match, it should be a very exciting game. Firstly, Inter and Atalanta are the most productive teams in the current Serie A season. If the "Queen of the Provincials" scores an average of 2.4 goals per game, then the "Nerazzurri" scores 2.6 times on average. Secondly, in the last 4 head-to-head meetings, both teams scored at least 3 goals combined. In such a situation, the most logical bet seems to be total goals over (2.5).

🚩 Corners Prediction

Inter is the best team in Italy's championship across almost all statistical metrics. Naturally, corners are no exception. The "Nerazzurri" earn an average of 6.4 set pieces at opponents' goals and approached the corner flag 7 times in their last game against Cagliari (3-0). Despite Atalanta's high level, Simone Inzaghi's team should also play actively in attack. Therefore, we bet on Inter's total corners over (4.5).

📝 Editorial Prediction

Bookmakers do not see a clear favorite in the upcoming match, giving only slight preference to Inter. Their concerns are quite understandable. Yes, one can endlessly talk about Simone Inzaghi's team's lack of weaknesses and their excellent results, but Atalanta has also maintained a very high standard for several months now. After such an unsuccessful start, which included a humiliating defeat by Inter (0-4), Gian Piero Gasperini quickly brought his team to peak form. Currently, the "Queen of the Provincials" is playing excellently and confidently defeating all their opponents. Therefore, in the upcoming important match where a spot in the Supercoppa Italiana final is at stake, we expect to see spectacular and attacking football from both sides. Our main betting option is total over (2.5) goals. It is quite possible that regular time will end with a score of 2-2, and the winner will be determined by a penalty shootout.