Atalanta vs Inter Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 December 2025
📢 How will the match between Atalanta and Inter conclude in the 17th round of Serie A, taking place at the Gewiss Stadium? This is the marquee clash of the round and one of the most anticipated encounters of the weekend. The "Queen of the Provincials" are in outstanding form following a managerial change, securing six wins in their last seven matches. Inter, on the other hand, have maintained high standards since the start of the season and were leading the table solo before this round began. The match in Bergamo promises to be a true test for both teams.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Inter spans 38 matches in recent years. The balance is clearly tilted in favor of the Milan club: 20 wins against 6 victories for Atalanta, with 12 draws. Recently, this fixture has become a stronghold for the "Nerazzurri." Inter have won eight consecutive head-to-head encounters, leaving their opponents with no chance. Last season, the Milan side first thrashed Atalanta at home with a 4-0 victory and then secured a comfortable 2-0 win in Bergamo. Between these matches, the teams also clashed in the Italian Super Cup, where Inter once again proved superior with a 2-0 win.
Head-to-head statistics Atalanta - Inter
Atalanta Team Overview
🔵 This season, several Serie A teams have undergone changes in their coaching staff, and Atalanta, who stumbled at the start of the campaign, are no exception. After parting ways with Juric, the management entrusted the team to Palladino, and so far, this decision has been a resounding success. The "Queen of the Provincials" has blossomed before our eyes: the team seems to be clicking on all cylinders, as evidenced by their recent results-six wins in seven matches. Had they not underestimated Verona (1-3), we could be talking about a seven-game winning streak, but even without that, this run is more than impressive.
⚫ Last weekend, Atalanta had to dig deep to secure three points from Genoa (1-0). Genoa were reduced to ten men as early as the third minute following their goalkeeper's dismissal. Yet, despite dominating in all aspects, the "Queen of the Provincials" managed to score only in the 90+4th minute. The decisive goal came after a corner and a mishap by Daniele Sammariva-Genoa's backup goalkeeper who replaced Nicola Leali after his red card. Nevertheless, three points are three points, and they allowed Atalanta to climb to ninth in the standings, narrowing the gap to the top six to just three points.
Match Results: Atalanta
Inter Milan Team Overview
🔵 Inter approach the upcoming clash in less than high spirits. For the second consecutive year, they failed to secure the Italian Super Cup, this time bowing out at the semifinal stage after falling to Bologna (1-1, 2-3 on penalties). The "Nerazzurri" largely have themselves to blame for this outcome, as the coaching staff opted to field a semi-reserve squad, which ultimately cost them.
⚫ However, in Serie A, Inter are in excellent form. Ahead of the 17th round, they stood alone at the top of the table with 33 points. Just before the Super Cup, the "Nerazzurri" traveled to Genoa and secured a crucial away victory against Genoa (2-1). This result is particularly significant considering the "Griffins" were on a five-match unbeaten run in the league, and Inter hadn't won in Genoa since 2020.
Match Results: Inter Milan
Latest news
Atalanta
📣 Atalanta's head coach Raffaele Palladino, following their 1-0 victory in Genoa, praised the resilience of their opponents and emphasized that such tough wins build character: "I want to commend Genoa; even with a man down, they didn't give an inch. We were a bit slow in our play and possession... It was a scrappy, gritty game, but today was all about getting the win. Winning, even when suffering, is what shapes character."
🚫 Atalanta face their next match with several squad limitations. Ademola Lookman and Odilon Kossounou are away on international duty and unavailable for the club. The team also has multiple defensive players sidelined due to injuries: Berat Djimsiti is out with a hamstring injury until mid-January, while Raoul Bellanova is not expected back until at least early January. The situation with Mitchel Bakker is particularly concerning; an ACL tear rules him out until March, meaning he won't be able to aid the team in the coming months.
Inter Milan
📣 Following their Super Cup semifinal exit, Inter's coach Cristian Chivu stood by his players: "For me, a penalty shootout is a lottery, but I'm proud of the courage and character these guys showed. They played a great match today, especially in the second half... My only concern is what we need to learn and how to continue growing. In both good times and bad, we always move forward with our heads held high."
🚫 Inter are also dealing with significant personnel issues. The main concerns lie in defense and on the flanks: Denzel Dumfries is sidelined long-term with an ankle injury and isn't expected back until mid-March. Matteo Darmian, Francesco Acerbi, and Thomas Palacios are still recovering and are tentatively set to return in early January. Backup goalkeeper Raffaele Di Gennaro is out with a broken wrist, and Ange-Yoan Bonny is sidelined with a knee injury until mid-January.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Atalanta have been firing on all cylinders recently, experiencing no issues in front of goal. The Bergamo side have found the net in each of their last eight matches, often scoring more than once, regularly putting up 2-3 goals per game. They consistently create chances and convert them confidently. Inter’s attacking line has been in top form throughout the season. The Milan side have scored at least once in 21 of their last 23 matches, cementing their status as the league's most consistent attacking team (34 goals in 15 Serie A matches). Given these stats, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems like a reasonable choice.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Atalanta and Inter rank among the Serie A leaders in corner kicks. The "Queen of the Provinces" sits second in the league, averaging 5.9 corners per match, while the "Nerazzurri" confidently hold the top spot with an average of 7.2 corners. Both teams enjoy playing an attacking style, constantly putting pressure on their opponents' defenses, making a bet on over 9.5 corners a logical selection.
Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Inter are clear favorites in the upcoming clash. However, it would be a mistake to underestimate Atalanta, considering they are in peak form and will have the support of their home crowd. In this scenario, betting on the outright result seems too risky, so our editorial team leans towards the option both teams to score (yes): both sides are strong in attack and often leave spaces at the back. Moreover, this bet has won in three of Atalanta's last four matches-the streak was broken in the game against Genoa (1-0), where the "Grifoni" played most of the match with ten men. A likely scoreline is 1-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Atalanta - Inter Milan
in 6 of last 7 games.
in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).in 5 of last 6 away games (Serie A).
in 11 of last 12 home games.in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).in 11 of last 12 Atalanta home games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 Atalanta games.in last 6 Atalanta home games.in 14 of last 15 Inter Milan away games.in 8 of last 9 Inter Milan away games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 Inter Milan games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Inter Milan games.
in 8 of last 9 Federico La Penna games (in the Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
