Flamengo vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 September 2025
🔊 On Sunday, Flamengo host Vasco da Gama at the Maracanã in the 24th round of Serie A. The league leaders come into the match in excellent form: they are dominant at home, consistently finding the back of the net while rarely conceding. Vasco da Gama, hovering near the relegation zone, are still searching for stability and struggle on the road, although they occasionally create dangerous chances. The head-to-head history also favors Flamengo, with three wins and a draw in their last four meetings. All of this makes the hosts clear favorites, and their attacking prowess promises an exciting and high-scoring game.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 19 April 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a breakdown of the comparative statistics from that encounter (with Vasco da Gama as the home side):
- possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 11;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Flamengo and Vasco da Gama:
- 65 matches played;
- home team victories - 29, away team wins - 13, draws - 23;
- goals scored - 82 to 55;
- average total in the first half - 1.02, second half - 1.09;
- average total goals per match - 2.11.
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Vasco Da Gama
Flamengo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, where Flamengo hosted Club Estudiantes de La Plata. The match ended with a 2-1 victory for Flamengo.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Club Estudiantes de La Plata):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
🔴 In the last round, Flamengo convincingly defeated Juventude away with a 2-0 scoreline. Goals from De Arrascaeta and Emerson Royal solidified their position at the top of Serie A, showcasing just how effectively the "Red and Blacks" control the game.
🏆 Midweek, the "Red and Blacks" played the first leg of the Copa Libertadores quarterfinal against Argentina's Estudiantes and secured a 2-1 victory, thanks to goals by Pedro and Guillermo Varela. Despite conceding a late goal, the team maintained an advantage heading into the second leg.
⚫ Felipe Luis' side continues to display consistency both in the league and on the international stage, reaffirming their status as one of South America's strongest clubs. At the Maracanã, Flamengo remain unbeaten this Serie A season: 12 home matches have resulted in 9 wins and 3 draws, with no losses.
Match Results: Flamengo
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, where Vasco da Gama hosted Ceara. The contest ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Ceara):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
⚫ In the latest Serie A round, Vasco da Gama drew 2-2 at home against Ceará. The team took the lead twice during the match-once again in the second half, capitalizing on an opponent's red card-but conceded an equalizer in the dying moments, with a goal in the 94th minute. Currently, they sit 15th in the league and are unbeaten in four consecutive matches-two draws in the league and two in the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil. However, the relegation zone is perilously close, with just a one-point cushion. Given Flamengo's formidable home form, Vasco could find themselves as relegation contenders to Serie B in the upcoming round.
⚪ Their away form remains a concern: this season, Vasco have managed just 3 wins in 11 away matches, suffering 7 losses, with a negative goal difference of 18:19. In their upcoming clash against Flamengo, Fernando Diniz's squad faces a significant challenge but will aim to extend their unbeaten run and improve their away record.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 65;
- First-half wins for the home team - 10; for the away team - 3; draws - 17;
- Average first-half total: 1.02;
- Today's home side averages 0.6 goals, while the visitors average 0.42.
First-Half Stats: Flamengo (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 11;
- Wins: 6 (50%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Losses: 1 (8.33%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Draws: 5 (41.67%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Average goals scored: 1.08 vs 1.36;
- Average goals conceded: 0.08 vs 0.64.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 9 vs 3;
- Losses: 0 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0) vs 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8).
- Flamengo have scored in the first half in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Vasco da Gama have conceded in the first half for six consecutive matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 65;
- Home wins - 29, Away wins - 13, Draws - 23.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Victories: 15 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 68% vs 27%;
- Losses: 2 vs 11;
- Draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
- Vasco da Gama cover a +1.5 spread in 13 of their last 14 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The current home team averages - 1.26 goals, the visitors - 0.85;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.11;
- Both teams scored: overall - 33 times; at the home team's venue - 13 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama
- Average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 2.95;
- Average goals scored: 2.14 vs 1.45;
- Average first-half total: 0.82 vs 0.59;
- Average second-half total: 1.32 vs 0.86;
- Flamengo's average home total in the tournament - 2.67;
- Vasco da Gama's average away total in the tournament - 1.64;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.8) vs 2.1 (away - 2.4).
- The total under 3.5 goals hit in 14 of Flamengo's last 16 matches.
- The total under 3.5 goals hit in 8 of Flamengo's last 9 home matches.
Corners Prediction
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 6.73; at home - 7.42;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 6.9; at home - 8.4.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 4.36, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 3.5; away - 3.4.
- The total under 10.5 corners hit in 6 of Vasco da Gama's last 7 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.78 (1.89 for the home team and 1.89 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home venue - 4.67 (2 for the home team and 2.67 for the visitors).
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 1.68; at home - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.3; at home - 1.4.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 2.23, away - 2.27;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.1; away - 1.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 65;
- Both teams scored overall - 33 times;
- At the home team's venue - 13 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 13;
- Flamengo's BTTS at home - 3 (25%);
- Vasco da Gama's BTTS away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- Flamengo's BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Vasco da Gama's BTTS away - 3 (60%).
- Vasco da Gama both scores and concedes in their last five matches consecutively.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Taking into account the teams' form, league standings, and head-to-head history, Flamengo emerge as the favorites for the upcoming match. The "Red and Blacks" consistently win at home, showcase a confident attacking style, and concede rarely. Meanwhile, Vasco da Gama struggle on the road and hover near the relegation zone. The head-to-head record further supports the hosts' advantage: despite a goalless draw in the first round at Vasco's ground, Flamengo appear stronger. Our prediction: Flamengo to win with a -1 handicap. This choice reflects the hosts' dominance and their high-scoring performances in recent matches.
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Betting Tips: Flamengo - Vasco da Gama
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