Nacional vs Juventud LP Prediction & H2H Stats 28 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 The match between Nacional Montevideo and Juventud de Las Piedras promises to be a central fixture in the Copa Uruguay. Both sides come into the game in good shape, and their recent results reflect a high level of consistency. The hosts' form is particularly impressive - a run of wins with very few goals conceded. The visitors rarely lose either, though they tend to operate more pragmatically in defence. This meeting between two committed rivals will settle the matter between them.

    Nacional Montevideo have historically been a tough opponent.

    Nacional Montevideo and Juventud de las Piedras drew 2-2 in the Primera on 06 September 2026. Both sides had nine shots each, though the visitors were more accurate, putting five on target to the hosts' three.

    In 25 official meetings, Nacional Montevideo have won 15, Juventud de las Piedras four, with six draws.

    Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Juventud LP

    60%
    15 Wins
    24%
    6 Draws
    16%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Avg. total goals
    2.64
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.76
    Average total
    0.88
    Last matches
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    0
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    0
    5
    06.06.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    08.03.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    -
    -
    5
    1
    28.09.25
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    10
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    10
    -
    -
    4
    2
    18.06.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    0
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    0
    2
    2
    Empty
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    Just one defeat in this stretch

    Nacional Montevideo come into this match having won four of their last five games, with just one defeat in that run. They have been consistent in attack, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their last ten matches, while their defence has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game over the same period. At home, they have been steady and unbeaten, with seven wins from their last ten home matches and no significant dips in either results or performance.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    6
    4
    8
    10
    4
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    8
    10
    4
    5
    L
    19.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    4
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    15.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Rentistas
    Rentistas
    -
    -
    9
    3
    3
    5
    0
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    3
    5
    0
    4
    W
    11.10.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    05.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    Empty
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    A pragmatic approach backed by solid defending

    Juventud de Las Piedras' last match was at home: in the Primera on 23 October 2026 they drew 0-0 with Peñarol. The hosts failed to register a single shot on target, losing the shots count 3-6 and the dangerous attacks count 50-81.

    Juventud de las Piedras have maintained a balance between attack and defence: three wins and one defeat in their last five matches, along with five draws over a longer run, point to a pragmatic approach to picking up points. Over their last ten games, the team have conceded just 0.6 goals per match, which underlines their defensive reliability even against stronger opposition. Their attack looks less impressive, though - they have averaged 1.2 goals per game.

    Match Results: Juventud de Las Piedras

    Last matches
    23.10.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    6
    4
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    6
    4
    4
    2
    D
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    L
    11.10.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    4
    5
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    4
    5
    W
    07.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Plaza Colonia
    Plaza Colonia
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    5
    12
    14
    10
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    12
    14
    10
    3
    4
    W
    04.10.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    In head-to-head meetings, Nacional have been consistently strong: they have not lost against the handicap (+2.5) in 25 consecutive matches between these two sides. There are no significant statistical or trend-based contradictions - the bet looks reliable for this fixture. The price on Nacional Handicap +2.5 is 1.37*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Juventud de las Piedras have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 matches, which points to a high level of defensive reliability recently. Nacional, meanwhile, average 1.5 goals per home match this season, and 2.17 in their last 10 at home, which creates a certain tension. However, given the visitors' recent trend of clean sheets, there is an argument for backing the hosts not to score. The price on Nacional Team Total - Under 0.5 is 1.80*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines for this match are 1-0 (13.48%), 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-1 (10.37%). A narrow home win comes out on top, though the gap between the three is small - reflecting the cautious nature of the expected encounter.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The trend data highlights the key scenario for this match: Nacional Montevideo have covered the handicap (+2.5) in 25 consecutive head-to-head meetings between these two sides. Their recent form also looks encouraging. The visitors are in good shape too, but in a cup match they are unlikely to push forward from the first minute and commit everything. Our prediction: Nacional Montevideo Handicap (+2).

    Club Nacional Montevideo Handicap (+2)
    Odds-175
    Published: 27/10/2026, 19:09
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    170
    8
    153
    331 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras

    Club Nacional Montevideo have won:
    nacional-montevideoin 7 of last 8 games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo to Win
    Thunderpick
    +770
    Juventud de Las Piedras have not lost:
    juventud-de-lpin 9 of last 10 games.
    Juventud de Las Piedras will not lose
    -
    Club Nacional Montevideo have not lost:
    nacional-montevideojuventud-de-lpin 15 of last 17 games against Juventud de Las Piedras.
    nacional-montevideojuventud-de-lpin 9 of last 10 home games against Juventud de Las Piedras.
    nacional-montevideoin 13 of last 14 games.
    nacional-montevideoin 7 of last 8 home games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Thunderpick
    +204
    Juventud de Las Piedras have not conceded:
    juventud-de-lpin 5 of last 6 games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not score goal
    -125

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 5
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 8
    +10
    +6
    12 - Scored
    6 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    5
    1
    Loss
    1
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    12
    8
    Conceded
    6
    2.6
    Average total per match
    1.8
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.6
    4
    Both teams scored
    3
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats