Nacional vs Juventud LP Prediction
⭐️ Matchday four of the Torneo Intermedio brings an intriguing clash as Nacional Montevideo host Juventud de Las Piedras. The home side, currently sitting third in Group B with six points, will be eager to solidify their position in the standings. Meanwhile, Juventud de Las Piedras, who occupy fifth place with three points, are looking to spring an upset and take points off their more illustrious opponents. Check out our prediction for this encounter below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended in a 3-1 scoreline. Here’s a statistical comparison from that fixture, with Juventud de Las Piedras playing at home:
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 5 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Nacional Montevideo and Juventud de Las Piedras:
- 23 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 14 wins, the visitors 4, with 5 draws;
- Goals scored: 40 for Nacional, 19 for Juventud;
- Average first-half goals: 0.74, second-half goals: 1.83;
- Average total goals per match: 2.57.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview
Their most recent official match took place in the Primera, with Deportivo Maldonado hosting Nacional Montevideo. The visitors came away with a commanding 3-0 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match statistics (Nacional Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 7 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Nacional Montevideo currently sit third in the league table. Their recent form, however, paints a mixed picture. Over 17 matches, Nacional have picked up nine wins but also suffered seven defeats. On the attacking front, they’ve shown decent productivity, averaging 1.65 goals per game. Defensively, though, they’ve looked vulnerable at times, conceding an average of 1.35 goals per match. Looking at their last 10 outings, the stats become even more unpredictable: four wins, five losses, and just one draw. During this stretch, Nacional have averaged 1.3 goals scored but have allowed 1.6 per game-meaning they’ve been conceding even more than they’ve managed to score. One trend stands out above all: their matches have featured plenty of goals, with the over 2.5 goals bet hitting in seven of Nacional’s last eight fixtures.
Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

Juventud de Las Piedras Team Overview
The visitors played their most recent official match in the Primera tournament, taking on Juventud de Las Piedras away from home. Montevideo Wanderers came out on top with a 5-2 victory.
Here’s how the key stats from the Juventud de Las Piedras vs Montevideo Wanderers clash break down:
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 0 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Although Juventud de Las Piedras currently sit below their opponents in the league standings, the team have shown clear signs of progress. Over their last 10 matches, they have suffered just one defeat, picking up four wins and drawing five times. This run highlights their growing consistency, even when facing stronger sides. On average, they score 1.24 goals per game while conceding 1.59. However, their recent performances over the past ten fixtures indicate a marked improvement.
Match Results: Juventud de Las Piedras
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 4, draws - 5.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 9 vs 5;
- win percentage: 53% vs 29%;
- losses: 7 vs 9;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 5.
- Juventud de Las Piedras won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 away games.
- Juventud de Las Piedras won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games.
- Juventud de Las Piedras won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 away games (Primera Division).
- Juventud de Las Piedras won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.74, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.82;
- average total goals scored: 1.65 vs 1.24;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.76 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 0.53;
- Club Nacional Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Juventud de Las Piedras: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 1.9 (away - 1.5).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Club Nacional Montevideo games (Primera Division).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Juventud de Las Piedras away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Club Nacional Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.06; at home field - 6.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 7.4.
Juventud de Las Piedras: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.24, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 4.5.
- Club Nacional Montevideo have taken under 6.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Juventud de Las Piedras (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Juventud de Las Piedras away - 6 (86%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Juventud de Las Piedras away - 4 (100%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (21/136, 15.4%);
- Club Nacional Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/8, 25%);
- Juventud de Las Piedras away most often play: 2:1 , 2:2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.43% (odds 6)
1:1 - 10.81% (odds 6)
2:1 - 10.37% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides play an expansive, attacking brand of football, making a bet on a high-scoring affair particularly enticing. Nacional have been relentless up front lately, consistently racking up goals and surpassing the over in their recent fixtures. Their aggressive approach creates plenty of chances, but also leaves gaps at the back-something opponents have capitalized on. Juventude are keeping pace. They regularly find the net, even on the road, and have scored in each of their last 15 outings. Remarkably, 12 of their previous 13 away matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet, often turning into real shootouts. With that in mind, backing over 2.5 goals looks like a smart play here. A 2-1 scoreline is certainly on the cards.