Serrano vs Maldonado Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 GR Serrano PB come into the Copa Uruguay off a difficult run of defeats and defensive problems, while Deportivo Maldonado have been picking up points consistently and showing stable results. In their last ten matches, the hosts have won just once, while the visitors have won seven over the same period. The difference in reliability stands out: GR Serrano PB are conceding almost four goals per game, though Deportivo Maldonado tend to be more restrained away from home.
Match Remembered for Its Post-Match Aftermath
GR Serrano PB and Deportivo Maldonado met on 06 August 2025 in the Copa Uruguay, drawing 2-2. The first half also ended level at 1-1, with GR Serrano PB winning the tie.
The two sides have met just once in an official fixture: both teams scored two goals, but GR Serrano PB won on penalties.
Head-to-head statistics Serrano - Maldonado
Attack not converting chances
In their last Copa Uruguay match on 10 September 2025, GR Serrano PB lost away to Albion 0-4. They had 36% possession and managed four shots on target to their opponents' five, but failed to score.
GR Serrano PB's last five matches have gone poorly - one win and four defeats. Their defensive line remains the most vulnerable part of the team, with an average of 3.7 goals conceded per game over ten matches. Attack has also been a problem, with just 0.9 goals scored per game over the same period. Despite occasional attempts to turn things around, the hosts have so far been unable to find any consistency in picking up points.
Match Results: Gremio Recreativo Serrano
Team looking confident ahead of the match
Deportivo Maldonado 24 October 2026 beat Danubio 2-1 at home in the Primera División, despite trailing 0-1 at half-time. The hosts had fewer shots - 9 compared to 11 - but were more accurate, putting 6 on target against their opponents' 2.
Deportivo Maldonado are in good form: three wins and one draw from their last five matches reflects a high level of consistency. Over their last ten games, they have won seven and lost just twice, averaging 2.2 goals scored while conceding only 0.9 per match. Away from home they tend to be more cautious, with low-scoring outcomes a recurring pattern even against sides in the lower reaches of the table.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Match Result Prediction
GR Serrano PB have lost 6 of their last 7 matches and have suffered 7 defeats in 10 games this season. At home they have lost 2 of their 4 matches, while Deportivo Maldonado have won both of their away matches this season. The visitors' sample size is still small, but the results of both teams support a bet on Deportivo Maldonado to win at odds of 1.30*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 matches, GR Serrano PB have seen more than 3.5 goals. At home they concede an average of 3.5 goals per game, while Deportivo Maldonado score an average of 2 goals per away match this season. That said, in 7 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 8 away matches there have been fewer than 3.5 goals - which limits expectations of a higher total, but doesn't rule out three goals. We're going with Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.60*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
GR Serrano PB average 0.9 goals per match this season, while Deportivo Maldonado concede an average of 0.5 goals per away match this season. That gives some reason to consider the hosts failing to score. However, GR Serrano PB average 1.25 goals at home, and Deportivo Maldonado concede an average of 1.25 goals in their recent away matches - so confidence is limited. Both Teams to Score - No is priced at 1.72*.
High-Risk Bet
GR Serrano PB have lost 6 of their last 7 matches and concede an average of 3.5 goals per home game. Deportivo Maldonado have won both of their away matches this season, scoring an average of 2 goals per game. However, their average across recent away matches is 1.5 goals, which makes a win by the required margin a less certain outcome. As a riskier option, we are going with Deportivo Maldonado Handicap (-2) at odds of 2.40*.
Safer Bet
In 10 of GR Serrano PB's last 11 matches there have been more than 3.5 goals, which also supports the lower line. The hosts concede an average of 3.5 goals at home, while Deportivo Maldonado score an average of 1.5 goals per away match in recent fixtures. Deportivo Maldonado's away run of matches with under 3.5 goals does not rule out two goals in this game. Our selection is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.18*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the probability distribution provided, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (9.87%), 1-3 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The 1-2 scoreline has the highest probability among them. The probabilities for 1-3 and 0-2 are almost identical.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given the trend towards under 3.5 goals in matches involving Deportivo Maldonado away from home, the pattern points again towards a lower-scoring game - despite GR Serrano PB's defensive weaknesses and the visitors' attacking potential, their away strategy more often leads to a moderate number of goals. Recent form from both sides suggests the visitors' advantage comes through a balance between attack and defensive solidity on the road. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Gremio Recreativo Serrano - Deportivo Maldonado
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