Fakel vs Akhmat Prediction 10 August 2026
🔊 In the final match of the third round of the RPL, Fakel will host Akhmat. Both teams are yet to pick up a win since the start of the season, but while that was somewhat expected for the Voronezh side, much more is anticipated from Stanislav Cherchesov's Akhmat - the squad's quality and the club's ambitions hint at a high finish in the table. On the other hand, the Grozny side have played against top teams - Krasnodar, Spartak and Lokomotiv.
Head-to-Head
📊 Interestingly, the head-to-head record favours the Premier League newcomer. In the previous five matches, Akhmat did not win once. However, it is worth noting that the last meeting took place in April 2025, and since then both squads and objectives have changed significantly.
Head-to-head statistics Fakel - Akhmat
Fakel Voronezh Team Overview
Fakel are at the bottom of the table, but the team's performances give grounds for cautious optimism. In the first round, the Voronezh side took the lead against Dynamo from Makhachkala and couldn't hold on to it, while in the second, trailing Krasnodar by three goals, they almost levelled, scoring twice late on (and had further chances). On Wednesday in a cup match, the "blue-and-whites" also nearly held out but conceded in the final minute, losing to Moscow Dynamo (0:1).
So across two RPL rounds, Oleg Vasilenko's side have scored three goals and certainly don't look helpless in attack. There is one more interesting detail. In the match against Krasnodar, Fakel had 10 shots and won 4 corners, despite losing the game. That shows the team have no intention of sitting back and defending even against higher-level opponents.
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
Akhmat are quite capable of becoming one of the revelations of the championship, but the schedule has been ruthless to them - the team has been fairly battered by matches against the big sides: a draw with Lokomotiv (1:1), as well as defeats to Spartak (1:2) and Krasnodar (on penalties in the Cup). Nevertheless, in each of these matches Cherchesov's side looked decent.
If you look at the defeat to Spartak in the previous round, the goal was conceded in the final minute, and by the expected goals metric xG, Akhmat actually had the edge over the "red-and-whites" - 0.87 against 0.72. In the match with Lokomotiv, this statistical parameter was also in favour of the Grozny side - 0.66 against 0.40. The conclusion is obvious - the team simply converts their chances less efficiently.
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Latest news
Fakel Voronezh
❌ Fakel have at least one confirmed injury concern: defender Stanislav Magkeev remains sidelined. The club have signed 26-year-old Moroccan full-back Hodeyfa El-Mhassani, but whether he will be involved in the upcoming match is yet to be known.
Akhmat Grozny
❌ First-team midfielder Egash Kasintura will miss the match due to a red card received in the second round. This is a big loss for the Grozny side.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The match will be refereed by Aleksei Sukhoy - he has already worked 109 matches in the Premier League and finished the 2025/26 season in 9th place in the RFS referee rankings. He is an experienced official who has not made any serious or controversial errors. In the previous edition he refereed 14 matches and averaged 4.93 bookings per game.
However, both teams play with a fair degree of discipline. The under 3.5 yellow cards market has come in in five consecutive home matches for Fakel and in seven of Akhmat's last matches (excluding friendlies). In the first two rounds, the Grozny side received just one booking, while the Voronezh side received none at all. Our prediction is total under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.92*.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Both teams scored in each of the first two RPL rounds. Fakel scored three and conceded five, while Akhmat scored two and conceded three. Both teams also shoot at goal quite frequently: Fakel had a combined 23 shots in the first two rounds, while Akhmat alone had as many as 22 shots on goal in the match against Lokomotiv. Given these numbers, total over 1.5 goals at 1.43* is worth backing - it has come in in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between the sides.
🚩 Corners Prediction
The teams do not often work their way into positions to deliver crosses. Fakel had a combined 12 corners in the first two rounds, while Akhmat had just six. In terms of trends, the total under 10.5 corners market at 1.43* has come in in ten consecutive official matches involving the Voronezh club.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Fakel are yet to pick up points, but in terms of play they look considerably more interesting than the table suggests. The Voronezh side have scored three times in two rounds, managed to claw back two goals against Krasnodar, and traditionally take points off Akhmat in head-to-head meetings.
The Grozny side are capable of getting a result, but the team comes into this match after two emotionally draining games in a row - a defeat to Spartak with a goal in the 91st minute and a cup draw with Krasnodar followed by a penalty shootout loss. There has been little time to recover, plus it is an away match, and there is an additional problem: the suspension of key defender Kassintura. The main pick is therefore Fakel not to lose. Predicted score: 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Fakel Voronezh - Akhmat Grozny
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