Bahia Ba vs Palmeiras Prediction
๐ On September 28th, the "Arena Fonte Nova" in Salvador will host a Brazilian Serie A matchday 25 clash between Bahia and Palmeiras. The hosts continue to struggle in the league, with Rogรฉrio Ceni's side winless in their last four matches. They'll aim to leverage their home advantage to solidify their position and remain in the upper half of the table. Palmeiras come into the game in excellent form, eager to secure more points in the title race. The match promises to be intense and tactically rich, focusing on midfield battles and controlling key attacking moments.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 April 2025 and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Palmeiras were the home side):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
๐ Statistical preview of the official encounters between Bahia and Palmeiras:
- 23 matches played;
- home victories - 3, away victories - 11, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 18 for Bahia, 32 for Palmeiras;
- average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 2.17.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, featuring Vasco da Gama as the home side and Bahia as the visitors. The final score was 3-1.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
๐ต In their latest outing, Bahia suffered a 1-3 away defeat to Vasco da Gama. This loss highlights the ongoing struggles the team faces in the league. After 24 rounds, the Tricolor sit in 6th place in Serie A, continuing their fight for a top-four finish. The team's prospects hinge on stabilizing their attacking play and improving defensive efficiency.
โช Special attention should be given to Bahia's home form: at Arena Fonte Nova, they have played 12 Serie A matches, securing 7 wins, drawing 3 times, and suffering just one defeat. It is on their home turf that Bahia hopes to solidify their position and collect crucial points in the upcoming match against Palmeiras.
Match Results: Bahia

Palmeiras Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, where they faced off against Palmeiras. The game ended with a 3-1 scoreline in favor of the hosts.
Here are the match stats (Palmeiras vs River Plate):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 10 vs 2.
๐ข In their latest league outing, Palmeiras thrashed Fortaleza 4-1 at Allianz Parque. Since returning from the Club World Cup, the team has played 11 matches in Serie A without a single defeat-securing 8 wins and 3 draws, showcasing consistent and confident performances. Currently, Palmeiras sit in 3rd place in the league, fiercely competing for the title under the guidance of Abel Ferreira. The team's prospects look promising, with impressive attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
๐ On the international stage, the "Green and Whites" have also achieved remarkable success in the Copa Libertadores, defeating Argentine giants River Plate in the quarterfinals with an aggregate score of 5-2. In the semifinals, Palmeiras will face Ecuador's LDU Quito, as they continue their quest for South America's premier club title.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- Home victories - 3, Away victories - 11, Draws - 9.
Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras
- Matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 22;
- Wins: 10 vs 15;
- Win percentage: 43% vs 68%;
- Losses: 6 vs 3;
- Draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 8;
- Losses: 4 vs 0;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- Bahia have covered the +1.5 spread at home in seven consecutive head-to-head matches against this team.
- Bahia have covered the +1.5 spread in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
- Bahia have covered the +1.5 spread at home in 24 of their last 25 matches.
- Bahia have covered the +1.5 spread in 17 of their last 19 matches (Serie A).
- Bahia have covered the +1.5 spread at home in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 0.78 goals, the visitors - 1.39;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.17;
- Both teams scored: overall - 10 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras
- Average tournament total: 2.57 vs 2.45;
- Average goals scored: 1.35 vs 1.64;
- Average first-half total: 0.61 vs 0.68;
- Average second-half total: 0.74 vs 0.95;
- Bahia's average home total in the tournament - 1.73;
- Palmeiras' average away total in the tournament - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 2.4 (away - 2).
- Palmeiras have scored fewer than 1.5 goals away in six of the last seven head-to-head encounters.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.35; at home - 4.36;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 6.6.
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 6, away - 6.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 5.25.
- Palmeiras have taken more than 3.5 corners in eight consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.96 (2.48 for the home team and 2.48 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.36 (2.27 for the home team and 2.09 for the visitors).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.04; at home - 2.09;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 1.8.
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.18, away - 2.3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.7; away - 2.75.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- Both teams scored overall - 10 times;
- On the home team's field - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras
- Total matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 22;
- Total season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 13 vs 12;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 7 (64%);
- BTTS for Palmeiras away - 7 (70%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS for Palmeiras away - 2 (50%).
- Bahia have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven matches (Serie A).
- Palmeiras have both scored and conceded in five consecutive matches.
โญ Editorial Prediction
Bahia will rely on their home advantage, but they are struggling both offensively and defensively. Palmeiras enter the match in excellent form, yet their away games often end in draws; their last four Serie A away matches have alternated between wins and draws. Despite this, considering Ferreira's team's stability and class, the visitors have a greater chance of success, though Bahia's home field could make it a tight contest. In the first round, the Tricolors defeated Palmeiras 1-0 in Sรฃo Paulo, adding an element of intrigue to the match. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes)-a bet that has hit in 6 of the last 7 home matches for Bahia and in five consecutive matches for the visitors.
