Bahia Ba vs Palmeiras Prediction 5 April 2026
🔊 The match between Bahia and Palmeiras promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Bahia have been consistent at home, as evidenced by their successful run in the last five matches. Meanwhile, Palmeiras boast a strong attack, particularly in away games. The league standings add another layer of significance: both teams are at the top of the table and are eager to maintain their positions.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 28 September 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Bahia were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Palmeiras:
- 24 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 11, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 19 for Bahia, 32 for Palmeiras;
- average goals in the 1st half - 0.96, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 2.13.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Palmeiras
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Bahia as the hosts and Atlético Paranaense as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Bahia vs Atlético Paranaense):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
🔵 Bahia are showing impressive form at home. In their last five league matches, they've secured three wins, suffered one defeat, and drawn once. The team averages 2 goals per game, while conceding 1.2 goals over the last ten matches. This balance allows them to confidently hold the third spot in the standings.
Match Results: Bahia
Palmeiras Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Palmeiras, visitors - Grêmio). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Grêmio):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
🟢 Palmeiras are leading the championship thanks to their formidable attack and solid defense. The team have won nine of their last ten matches, suffering only one defeat. On the road, they often deliver high-scoring performances, averaging 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.7 goals on average over the same period.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 24;
- first-half wins for the home team - 2; for the away team - 3; draws - 7;
- average first-half total: 0.96;
- today's home side scores an average of 0.25 goals, while the visitors net 0.71.
First-Half Statistics: Bahia (home) vs Palmeiras (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 2 (50%) vs 2 (50%);
- losses: 1 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 1 (25%) vs 2 (50%);
- average goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.5;
- average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 9;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 2 vs 1;
- average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.2).
- Bahia have drawn the first half at home in five consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 24;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 11, Draws - 9.
Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras
- Matches in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- Wins: 5 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 63% vs 78%;
- Losses: 1 vs 1;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 9;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 1 vs 0.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- Home team - 0.79, Away team - 1.33;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.13;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 10 times; at home field - 5 times.
Average Total Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras
- In the tournament: 2.38 vs 3.11;
- Goals scored: 1.5 vs 2.11;
- First half: 1.25 vs 1.33;
- Second half: 0.25 vs 0.78;
- Bahia: home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Palmeiras: away in the tournament - 1.75;
- Last 10 matches: 2 (home - 2.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1.33).
- Palmeiras score less than 1.5 goals away in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 24;
- Both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- At home field - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras
- Played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- Season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 7;
- Bahia: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Palmeiras: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- Bahia: BTTS at home - 4 (67%);
- Palmeiras: BTTS away - 2 (67%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (current season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (14/87, 16.1%);
- Bahia at home most often finishes matches: 1-1 (2/4, 50%);
- Palmeiras away most often plays: 0-1, 1-3, 2-1, 2-2 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 13.66% (odds 6)
0-1 - 8.87% (odds 7.5)
1-0 - 8.18% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering current trends and team form, betting on Palmeiras' individual total under 1.5 goals appears to be a well-founded choice. Despite the visitors' impressive overall scoring this season, historically, they struggle to score against Bahia away from home. In fact, they have netted fewer than 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight head-to-head encounters at the "Arena Fonte Nova."
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Palmeiras
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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