Bahia Ba vs Palmeiras Prediction

    🔊 The match between Bahia and Palmeiras promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Bahia have been consistent at home, as evidenced by their successful run in the last five matches. Meanwhile, Palmeiras boast a strong attack, particularly in away games. The league standings add another layer of significance: both teams are at the top of the table and are eager to maintain their positions.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 28 September 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Bahia were the home side):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corners: 1 vs 4;
    • fouls: 13 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Palmeiras:

    • 24 matches played;
    • home wins - 4, away wins - 11, draws - 9;
    • goals scored - 19 for Bahia, 32 for Palmeiras;
    • average goals in the 1st half - 0.96, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
    • average total goals per match - 2.13.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    16%
    4 Wins
    36%
    9 Draws
    48%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Total Goals Avg
    2.16
    Both teams scored
    44%
    0.8
    Total average
    1.36
    2.6
    Yellow cards
    2.32
    Last matches
    05.04.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.55
    0.35
    8
    5
    18
    17
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.55
    0.35
    8
    5
    18
    17
    2
    4
    28.09.25
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.51
    0.61
    1
    4
    13
    18
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.51
    0.61
    1
    4
    13
    18
    5
    2
    27.04.25
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.46
    0.58
    6
    4
    12
    16
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.46
    0.58
    6
    4
    12
    16
    1
    2
    20.11.24
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    -
    -
    4
    5
    15
    14
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    15
    14
    1
    1
    07.07.24
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    9
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    9
    1
    1
    Empty
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    Bahia Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Bahia as the hosts and Atlético Paranaense as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Bahia vs Atlético Paranaense):

    • possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
    • fouls: 15 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    🔵 Bahia are showing impressive form at home. In their last five league matches, they've secured three wins, suffered one defeat, and drawn once. The team averages 2 goals per game, while conceding 1.2 goals over the last ten matches. This balance allows them to confidently hold the third spot in the standings.

    Match Results: Bahia

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    W
    25.05.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.28
    1.21
    3
    6
    11
    17
    0
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1.28
    1.21
    3
    6
    11
    17
    0
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    D
    14.05.26
    Copa Brasil
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    7
    8
    12
    12
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    8
    12
    12
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1.16
    1.77
    6
    8
    14
    16
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.77
    6
    8
    14
    16
    3
    4
    L
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    Palmeiras Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Palmeiras, visitors - Grêmio). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Grêmio):

    • possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
    • fouls: 12 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    🟢 Palmeiras are leading the championship thanks to their formidable attack and solid defense. The team have won nine of their last ten matches, suffering only one defeat. On the road, they often deliver high-scoring performances, averaging 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.7 goals on average over the same period.

    Match Results: Palmeiras

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    0.77
    1.27
    3
    2
    9
    9
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.77
    1.27
    3
    2
    9
    9
    1
    1
    W
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    2.13
    1.33
    0
    7
    4
    12
    0
    3
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2.13
    1.33
    0
    7
    4
    12
    0
    3
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    0.7
    0.71
    6
    3
    17
    10
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.7
    0.71
    6
    3
    17
    10
    3
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    0.97
    0.62
    6
    5
    19
    14
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.97
    0.62
    6
    5
    19
    14
    2
    4
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • played - 24;
    • first-half wins for the home team - 2; for the away team - 3; draws - 7;
    • average first-half total: 0.96;
    • today's home side scores an average of 0.25 goals, while the visitors net 0.71.

    First-Half Statistics: Bahia (home) vs Palmeiras (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • wins: 2 (50%) vs 2 (50%);
    • losses: 1 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 1 (25%) vs 2 (50%);
    • average goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.5;
    • average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 6 vs 9;
    • losses: 2 vs 0;
    • draws: 2 vs 1;
    • average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.2).
    Trends
    • Bahia have drawn the first half at home in five consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.94)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 24;
    • Home wins - 4, Away wins - 11, Draws - 9.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras

    • Matches in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
    • Wins: 5 vs 7;
    • Win percentage: 63% vs 78%;
    • Losses: 1 vs 1;
    • Draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 6 vs 9;
    • Losses: 3 vs 1;
    • Draws: 1 vs 0.
    👉Prediction: Palmeiras Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.14)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (average total):

    • Home team - 0.79, Away team - 1.33;
    • Overall head-to-head - 2.13;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 10 times; at home field - 5 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras

    • In the tournament: 2.38 vs 3.11;
    • Goals scored: 1.5 vs 2.11;
    • First half: 1.25 vs 1.33;
    • Second half: 0.25 vs 0.78;
    • Bahia: home in the tournament - 1.75;
    • Palmeiras: away in the tournament - 1.75;
    • Last 10 matches: 2 (home - 2.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1.33).
    Trends
    • Palmeiras score less than 1.5 goals away in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
    👉Prediction: Palmeiras Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.53)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 24;
    • Both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
    • At home field - 5 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Palmeiras

    • Played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
    • Season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 7;
    • Bahia: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
    • Palmeiras: BTTS away - 3 (75%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • Bahia: BTTS at home - 4 (67%);
    • Palmeiras: BTTS away - 2 (67%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.67)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Frequent Results Statistics (current season):

    • The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (14/87, 16.1%);
    • Bahia at home most often finishes matches: 1-1 (2/4, 50%);
    • Palmeiras away most often plays: 0-1, 1-3, 2-1, 2-2 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:

    1-1 - 13.66% (odds 6)
    0-1 - 8.87% (odds 7.5)
    1-0 - 8.18% (odds 8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends and team form, betting on Palmeiras' individual total under 1.5 goals appears to be a well-founded choice. Despite the visitors' impressive overall scoring this season, historically, they struggle to score against Bahia away from home. In fact, they have netted fewer than 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight head-to-head encounters at the "Arena Fonte Nova."

    Our choice
    Palmeiras Total goals Under (1.5) at odds of -222*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 April 2026, 23:24)

    Betting Tips: Bahia - Palmeiras

    Bahia have drawn in the 1st half
    ec-bahia-bapalmeiras-sp-1in last 5 home games against Palmeiras (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +114
    Palmeiras have won the 1st half
    palmeiras-sp-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    palmeiras-sp-1in last 6 games (Serie A).
    1st Half Palmeiras Win
    Bovada
    +255
    Palmeiras have won
    palmeiras-sp-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    palmeiras-sp-1in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Palmeiras Win
    Bovada
    +190
    Palmeiras have not lost
    palmeiras-sp-1in 13 of last 14 games.
    palmeiras-sp-1in 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).
    Palmeiras will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    View more facts

    Bahia Ba - Palmeiras Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    18125130-1341
    2.
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    17104331-1634
    3.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1894528-2331
    5.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    1892725-1929
    6.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1775525-2326
    7.
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1875624-2426

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 19
    -5
    +11
    18 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    18
    19
    Conceded
    7
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    9
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats