Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction
🔅 The clash between Toluca and Guadalajara promises to be thrilling. Both teams are in commendable form, making the upcoming encounter intriguing. Toluca have been playing confidently with minimal losses in recent matches. Meanwhile, Guadalajara are also impressing with their scoring ability, particularly on the road. Both teams sit near the top of the standings, adding extra motivation in their battle for points. Read our prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 0-3. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Guadalajara as the home side):
- possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 17 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 11.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Guadalajara:
- 50 matches played;
- home victories - 17, away wins - 14, draws - 19;
- goals scored - 57 for Toluca, 51 for Guadalajara;
- average first-half total - 0.9, second-half - 1.26;
- average total goals per match - 2.16.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Toluca Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Necaxa as the home side and Toluca as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-3 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Toluca vs Necaxa):
- possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Toluca are currently sitting fourth in the league, thanks to their consistency and organized play. Over their last 10 matches, they have secured 6 victories with just one slip-up, showcasing a highly reliable defense that concedes an average of only 0.6 goals per game. They also perform strongly at home, where they almost always score more than one goal per match, solidifying their position as frontrunners.
Match Results: Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament (Cruz Azul as the home team, Guadalajara as the visitors). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the game stats (Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 7;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Guadalajara are in fine form, securing four wins in their last five outings. Their attacking line is notably efficient, averaging 1.8 goals per match over the last ten games. Despite a recent 0-3 loss to Toluca, Chivas remain competitive and currently top the standings, eager to strengthen their position.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 50;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 14, draws - 19.
- Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 away games against Toluca.
- Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in 31 of last 32 games.
- Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in 28 of last 29 games (Liga MX).
- Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 away games.
- Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 15 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.02;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.16;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 2.85;
- average total goals scored: 1.97 vs 1.65;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.96;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.07 vs 0.69;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.47;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total away in the tournament - 1.46;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 away games against Toluca.
Prediction on corners
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47; at home field - 5.53;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 5.6.
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.42, away - 5.15;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 3.4.
- Guadalajara Chivas have taken over 3.5 corners in 9 of last 10 away games against Toluca.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 50;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (25/232, 10.8%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (4/15, 26.7%);
- Guadalajara Chivas away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.92% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.08% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 8.72% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their scoring stats, an open game with plenty of chances at both ends is anticipated. The average goal-scoring record of Toluca and Guadalajara suggests a strong likelihood that each team will find the back of the net at least once in this match. Therefore, betting on both teams to score seems like a reasonable choice for this encounter. A 1-1 scoreline is possible.
Betting Tips: Toluca - Guadalajara Chivas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
