16.02.25

03:10

Ended

Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction

🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 03:10. The tournament match Primera Division, Clausura will take place in the city of Toluca at the Estadio Nemesio Diez stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Toluca being the favorite of the match.

Head-to-Head

📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas:

played 48 matches;
number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 14, draws - 19;
number of goals - 52 against 50;
average total in the 1st half - 0.88, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
average total goals in the match - 2.13.

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

35%

18 Wins

37%

19 Draws

27%

14 Wins

Total games

Total Goals Avg

2.16

Both teams scored

53%

1.16

Total average

Yellow cards

1.41

Last matches

28.02.26

Primera Division

Toluca

Guadalajara Chivas

1.7

0.97

1.7

0.97

21.09.25

Primera Division

Guadalajara Chivas

Toluca

2.47

16.02.25

Primera Division

Toluca

Guadalajara Chivas

0.87

0.34

0.87

0.34

07.07.24

Primera Division

Guadalajara Chivas

Toluca

12.05.24

Primera Division

Toluca

Guadalajara Chivas

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Toluca Team Overview

🏆Throughout the Primera Division, Clausura season, the team Toluca has engaged in 17 fixtures, resulting in:

10 wins,
2 losses,
5 draws.

📈Currently, Toluca stands at a mid-tier position within the Primera Division, Clausura standings, with a win percentage of 33% and a loss percentage of 17%.

⚽️Toluca has scored a total of 38 goals. On the defensive end, Toluca has allowed 9 goals over the season.

Match Results: Toluca

Last matches

31.05.26

CONCACAF CL

Toluca

Tigres UANL

10.05.26

Primera Division

Pachuca

Toluca

1.83

0.81

1.83

0.81

07.05.26

CONCACAF CL

Toluca

Los Angeles

04.05.26

Primera Division

Toluca

Pachuca

0.72

1.45

0.72

1.45

30.04.26

CONCACAF CL

Los Angeles

Toluca

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Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview

🏆Throughout the Primera Division, Clausura season, the team Guadalajara Chivas has engaged in 17 fixtures, resulting in:

7 wins,
6 losses,
4 draws.

📈Currently, Guadalajara Chivas stands at a mid-tier position within the Primera Division, Clausura standings, with a win percentage of 33% and a loss percentage of 33%.

⚽Guadalajara Chivas has scored a total of 24 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 8 goals over the season.

Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas

Last matches

17.05.26

Primera Division

Guadalajara Chivas

Cruz Azul

0.58

1.07

0.58

1.07

14.05.26

Primera Division

Cruz Azul

Guadalajara Chivas

1.92

1.34

1.92

1.34

10.05.26

Primera Division

Guadalajara Chivas

Tigres UANL

1.64

0.46

1.64

0.46

03.05.26

Primera Division

Tigres UANL

Guadalajara Chivas

1.83

0.69

1.83

0.69

26.04.26

Primera Division

Guadalajara Chivas

Tijuana

2.13

1.25

2.13

1.25

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Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

number of encounters - 48;
home team wins - 15, away team wins - 14, draws - 19.

Statistics: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas

matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
wins: 2 vs 2;
win percentage: 33% vs 33%;
losses: 1 vs 2;
draws: 3 vs 2.

Last 10 matches:

wins: 3 vs 3;
losses: 4 vs 4;
draws: 3 vs 3.

Trends

Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 away games against Toluca.
Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in 39 of last 40 games.
Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 games (Primera Division).
Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 away games.
Guadalajara Chivas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Primera Division).

👉Prediction: Guadalajara Chivas Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.42)

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

today's home team scores on average - 1.08, the guests - 1.04;
average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 14.

Statistics: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas

average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 2.67;
average total goals scored: 1.83 vs 1.33;
average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.83;
average total in the 2nd half: 1.33 vs 0.5;
Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
Guadalajara Chivas: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.5) vs 1.3 (away - 1.33).

Trends

Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Toluca games against Guadalajara Chivas.
Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Toluca home games (Primera Division).
Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Guadalajara Chivas games (Primera Division).
Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Guadalajara Chivas away games.
Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Guadalajara Chivas away games (Primera Division).

👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5) (odds: 1.45)

Prediction on corners

Toluca: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33; at home field - 4;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.

Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.83, away - 5.5;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 5.33.

Trends

Guadalajara Chivas have taken over 3.5 corners in 8 of last 9 away games against Toluca.
Guadalajara Chivas have taken over 3.5 corners in last 8 away games.

👉Prediction: Corners - Guadalajara Chivas Total Over (3.5) (odds: 1.55)

Yellow Cards Bet

H2H

average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.92 (1.96 for home team and 1.96 for away team);
average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.56 (2.13 for home team and 1.43 for away team).

Toluca: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 2.5;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 2.

Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.17, away - 2.5;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.

Trends

Over 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Toluca games (Primera Division).

👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (3.5) (odds: 1.52)

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

number of encounters - 48;
both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
on the home team’s field - 14 times.

Statistics: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas

number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 5;
number of BTTS matches for Toluca at home - 1 (50%);
number of BTTS matches for Guadalajara Chivas away - 2 (100%).

Last 10 matches:

number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
BTTS matches for Toluca at home - 1 (25%);
BTTS matches for Guadalajara Chivas away - 3 (100%).

Trends

Guadalajara Chivas have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Guadalajara Chivas have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Primera Division).

👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.68)

Editorial Prediction

Key statistics: 
Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Toluca games against Guadalajara Chivas.
Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Toluca home games (Primera Division).
Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Guadalajara Chivas games (Primera Division).
Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Guadalajara Chivas away games.
Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Guadalajara Chivas away games (Primera Division).