Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction

    🔅 The clash between Guadalajara and Toluca promises to be thrilling. Guadalajara are striving to regain their form after dropping points, yet they show consistency on home turf. The team aims to climb the standings and get back to winning ways. Toluca, on the other hand, are in fine form, having won five of their last eight matches and holding a strong position in the table. Both teams are eager to secure crucial points, making this match particularly intriguing. Read the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place in February, ending with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (with Toluca as the home side):

    • possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Guadalajara and Toluca:

    • 49 matches played;
    • home wins - 14, away wins - 16, draws - 19;
    • goals scored - 51 for Guadalajara, 54 for Toluca;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.88, second half - 1.27;
    • average total goals per match - 2.14.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    14 Wins
    37%
    19 Draws
    35%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    51
    Total Goals Avg
    2.16
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1
    Total average
    1.16
    1.41
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    28.02.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1.7
    0.97
    2
    4
    10
    6
    4
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.7
    0.97
    2
    4
    10
    6
    4
    3
    21.09.25
    Primera Division
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    1
    2.47
    7
    6
    17
    9
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.47
    7
    6
    17
    9
    2
    3
    16.02.25
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    0.87
    0.34
    5
    5
    14
    8
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.87
    0.34
    5
    5
    14
    8
    1
    0
    07.07.24
    Primera Division
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    4
    6
    5
    7
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    5
    7
    1
    2
    12.05.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    -
    -
    7
    5
    10
    10
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    10
    10
    4
    3
    Empty
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    Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview

    The team's latest official match took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara as the hosts and Tigres as the visitors. The game concluded in a 0-0 draw.

    Here is the match statistics (Guadalajara vs Tigres):

    • possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 9 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Guadalajara are navigating a challenging spell, having secured just two wins in their last eight matches and currently on a two-game losing streak. Within this stretch, they have also recorded two draws. The team are eager to bolster their attacking prowess but consistently score fewer than 1.5 goals per game, a trend evident in their previous encounters with Toluca. Despite this, Guadalajara rarely suffer defeats at home, losing only once in their last 16 meetings with Toluca on their own turf.

    Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Primera Division
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    0.58
    1.07
    8
    7
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.58
    1.07
    8
    7
    11
    12
    2
    3
    L
    14.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1.92
    1.34
    6
    1
    14
    14
    5
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.92
    1.34
    6
    1
    14
    14
    5
    3
    D
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1
    1.64
    0.46
    13
    1
    13
    19
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.64
    0.46
    13
    1
    13
    19
    1
    3
    W
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1.83
    0.69
    4
    4
    15
    7
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1.83
    0.69
    4
    4
    15
    7
    4
    1
    L
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Tijuana
    Tijuana
    2.13
    1.25
    8
    2
    8
    8
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.13
    1.25
    8
    2
    8
    8
    3
    1
    D
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    Toluca Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Toluca playing host to Puebla. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory for Toluca.

    Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Puebla):

    • possession: 63% vs 37%;
    • corners: 5 vs 5;
    • fouls: 13 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    Toluca are firmly positioned among the frontrunners in the league, having secured five wins and one draw in their last eight matches. Their most recent game ended in a draw following two consecutive victories, highlighting the team's ability to adapt to various opponents. Toluca's strength lies in their attack, as they average over two goals per game this season.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    L
    07.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    W
    04.05.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    L
    30.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Guadalajara Chivas

    The hosts might be without Juan Liseaga, Alan Pulido, Daniel Aguirre, Roberto Alvarado, Erick Gutierrez, Alan Mozo Rodriguez, and Leonardo Sepulveda for the upcoming match.

    Toluca

    The visitors might be without Paulinho, Helinho, Luan, Gonzalez Duran, and Everardo Lopez for the game.

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 49;
    • Home victories - 14, Away victories - 16, Draws - 19.

    Statistics: Guadalajara vs Toluca

    • Matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • Wins: 2 vs 5;
    • Win percentage: 25% vs 63%;
    • Losses: 4 vs 2;
    • Draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 4 vs 6;
    • Losses: 4 vs 3;
    • Draws: 2 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Toluca will not lose(Odds: 1.46)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team scores on average - 1.04, away team - 1.1;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.14;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 27 times; at the home team's venue - 12 times.

    Statistics: Guadalajara vs Toluca

    • Average tournament total: 3 vs 3.75;
    • Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 2.38;
    • Average first-half total: 0.38 vs 1;
    • Average second-half total: 1 vs 1.38;
    • Guadalajara: average home total in the tournament - 1.5;
    • Toluca: average away total in the tournament - 2.25;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1.67).
    Trends
    • Guadalajara scores less than 1.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
    • Guadalajara scores less than 1.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Liga MX).
    • Guadalajara scores less than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of the last 7 matches (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Guadalajara Chivas Total goals Under (1.5)(Odds: 1.57)

    Corners Prediction

    Guadalajara: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 6.63; at home - 6.25;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 6.4; at home - 6.33.

    Toluca: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.25, away - 4.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; away - 4.67.
    Trends
    • Guadalajara delivers fewer than 5.5 corners in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
    • Guadalajara delivers fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Liga MX).
    • Guadalajara delivers fewer than 5.5 corners at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Guadalajara Chivas Total Under (5.5)(Odds: 1.64)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.74 (1.37 for the home team and 1.37 for the away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 3.16 (1.36 for the home team and 1.8 for the away team).

    Guadalajara: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.38; at home - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.83.

    Toluca: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.88, away - 3.25;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 49;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 27 times;
    • At the home team's venue - 12 times.

    Statistics: Guadalajara vs Toluca

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
    • Guadalajara's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
    • Toluca's BTTS away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
    • Guadalajara's BTTS at home - 4 (67%);
    • Toluca's BTTS away - 1 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(Odds: 1.62)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the current form of the teams, we can anticipate a hard-fought match with cautious play from Guadalajara and an aggressive offensive from Toluca. Considering past head-to-head statistics and current performance metrics, a bet on under 3.5 total goals seems the most reasonable-it has been successful in 17 out of the last 19 home games between these teams. The predicted scoreline is 1-2.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (3.5) at odds of -250*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 September 2025, 01:24)

    Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Toluca

    Guadalajara Chivas have drawn in the 2nd half
    guadalajara-chivasin 8 of last 9 home games (Liga MX).
    2nd Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +165
    Guadalajara Chivas have not won
    guadalajara-chivasin last 5 home games.
    Toluca have not lost
    deportivo-toluca-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Toluca will not lose
    MyBookie
    -250
    Guadalajara Chivas have not lost
    guadalajara-chivasdeportivo-toluca-1in 15 of last 16 home games against Toluca.
    guadalajara-chivasdeportivo-toluca-1in 14 of last 15 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    Guadalajara Chivas will not lose
    Everygame
    -172
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    guadalajara-chivasdeportivo-toluca-1in 17 of last 19 Guadalajara Chivas home games against Toluca.
    guadalajara-chivasdeportivo-toluca-1in 16 of last 18 Guadalajara Chivas home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    guadalajara-chivasdeportivo-toluca-1in 11 of last 12 Guadalajara Chivas games against Toluca.
    guadalajara-chivasdeportivo-toluca-1in 10 of last 11 Guadalajara Chivas games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    guadalajara-chivasin 17 of last 19 Guadalajara Chivas home games.
    guadalajara-chivasin 14 of last 15 Guadalajara Chivas home games (Liga MX).
    guadalajara-chivasin 6 of last 7 Guadalajara Chivas games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Guadalajara - Toluca Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17114243-1837
    2.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17106135-1636
    3.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    17105232-2035
    5.
    CF Monterrey
    CF Monterrey
    1794433-2931
    6.
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1792629-2229
    7.
    Tijuana
    Tijuana
    1766529-2324

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 15
    +2
    +4
    18 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    18
    15
    Conceded
    14
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats