Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction
🔅 The clash between Guadalajara and Toluca promises to be thrilling. Guadalajara are striving to regain their form after dropping points, yet they show consistency on home turf. The team aims to climb the standings and get back to winning ways. Toluca, on the other hand, are in fine form, having won five of their last eight matches and holding a strong position in the table. Both teams are eager to secure crucial points, making this match particularly intriguing. Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place in February, ending with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (with Toluca as the home side):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Guadalajara and Toluca:
- 49 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 16, draws - 19;
- goals scored - 51 for Guadalajara, 54 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 0.88, second half - 1.27;
- average total goals per match - 2.14.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara as the hosts and Tigres as the visitors. The game concluded in a 0-0 draw.
Here is the match statistics (Guadalajara vs Tigres):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Guadalajara are navigating a challenging spell, having secured just two wins in their last eight matches and currently on a two-game losing streak. Within this stretch, they have also recorded two draws. The team are eager to bolster their attacking prowess but consistently score fewer than 1.5 goals per game, a trend evident in their previous encounters with Toluca. Despite this, Guadalajara rarely suffer defeats at home, losing only once in their last 16 meetings with Toluca on their own turf.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas

Toluca Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Toluca playing host to Puebla. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory for Toluca.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Puebla):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Toluca are firmly positioned among the frontrunners in the league, having secured five wins and one draw in their last eight matches. Their most recent game ended in a draw following two consecutive victories, highlighting the team's ability to adapt to various opponents. Toluca's strength lies in their attack, as they average over two goals per game this season.
Match Results: Toluca
Latest news
Guadalajara Chivas
The hosts might be without Juan Liseaga, Alan Pulido, Daniel Aguirre, Roberto Alvarado, Erick Gutierrez, Alan Mozo Rodriguez, and Leonardo Sepulveda for the upcoming match.
Toluca
The visitors might be without Paulinho, Helinho, Luan, Gonzalez Duran, and Everardo Lopez for the game.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- Home victories - 14, Away victories - 16, Draws - 19.
Statistics: Guadalajara vs Toluca
- Matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Win percentage: 25% vs 63%;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 6;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team scores on average - 1.04, away team - 1.1;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.14;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 27 times; at the home team's venue - 12 times.
Statistics: Guadalajara vs Toluca
- Average tournament total: 3 vs 3.75;
- Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 2.38;
- Average first-half total: 0.38 vs 1;
- Average second-half total: 1 vs 1.38;
- Guadalajara: average home total in the tournament - 1.5;
- Toluca: average away total in the tournament - 2.25;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1.67).
- Guadalajara scores less than 1.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Guadalajara scores less than 1.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Liga MX).
- Guadalajara scores less than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of the last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Guadalajara: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 6.63; at home - 6.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.4; at home - 6.33.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.25, away - 4.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; away - 4.67.
- Guadalajara delivers fewer than 5.5 corners in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Guadalajara delivers fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Liga MX).
- Guadalajara delivers fewer than 5.5 corners at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams (Liga MX).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.74 (1.37 for the home team and 1.37 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 3.16 (1.36 for the home team and 1.8 for the away team).
Guadalajara: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.38; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.83.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.88, away - 3.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- Both teams have scored overall - 27 times;
- At the home team's venue - 12 times.
Statistics: Guadalajara vs Toluca
- Total matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- Guadalajara's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Toluca's BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- Guadalajara's BTTS at home - 4 (67%);
- Toluca's BTTS away - 1 (33%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the current form of the teams, we can anticipate a hard-fought match with cautious play from Guadalajara and an aggressive offensive from Toluca. Considering past head-to-head statistics and current performance metrics, a bet on under 3.5 total goals seems the most reasonable-it has been successful in 17 out of the last 19 home games between these teams. The predicted scoreline is 1-2.