Thun vs Luzern Prediction 28 February 2026
⚽️ In the upcoming match, Thun host Luzern, with both teams entering the game in contrasting form. Thun are on an impressive winning streak, solidifying their top position in the table. Meanwhile, Luzern sit in mid-table and have shown inconsistent results on the road. These elements make this clash an intriguing event, where differing styles of play and ambitions collide.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Thun):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 13 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 11 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Thun and Luzern:
- played 38 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 13, draws - 12;
- number of goals - 43 against 48;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.92, in the 2nd half - 1.47;
- average total goals in the match - 2.39.
Head-to-head statistics Thun - Luzern
Thun Team Overview
The last official match the team played was on in the Super League, with Winterthur hosting Thun. The game ended in a 0-3 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Thun vs Winterthur):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Thun sit at the top of the table and continue to impress with their consistency. The team have won all of their last eleven matches, averaging 2.9 goals scored per game while conceding just one on average during this run. Their attack is both efficient and productive, consistently converting their chances. Additionally, they play with confidence at home, making them a formidable opponent for any team in the league.
Match Results: Thun
Luzern Team Overview
The visitors last took to the field on in a Swiss Super League encounter between Luzern and Basel. The match concluded with a 4-2 scoreline.
Here are the key stats from the game (Luzern vs Basel):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 10 vs 5.
Luzern have been inconsistent this season, currently sitting in seventh place in the league standings. Over their last five matches, they have secured three wins, one draw, and suffered one defeat. The team shows promise in attack, averaging two goals per game throughout the season. However, their defensive reliability is questionable, conceding nearly two goals per game-an unfavorable statistic, especially for away matches.
Match Results: Luzern
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 13, draws - 12.
Statistics: Thun vs Luzern
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 19 vs 7;
- win percentage: 76% vs 29%;
- losses: 5 vs 9;
- draws: 1 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 9 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.26;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.39;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Thun vs Luzern
- average total in the tournament: 3.36 vs 3.92;
- average total goals scored: 2.28 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.96 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.32 vs 1.13;
- Thun: average total at home in the tournament - 2.31;
- Luzern: average total away in the tournament - 1.83;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.9 (home - 2.8) vs 2.3 (away - 2).
- Luzern have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 away games against Thun (Super League).
Prediction on corners
Thun: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.72; at home field - 6.54;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; at home field - 5.8.
Luzern: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.42, away - 4.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 5.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Thun vs Luzern
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Thun at home - 9 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Luzern away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Thun at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Luzern away - 3 (60%).
- Luzern have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- Luzern have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Super League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/149, 10.7%);
- Thun at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 4:1 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Luzern away most often play: 2:0 , 2:2 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.68% (odds 8)
2:1 - 9.47% (odds 8)
2:2 - 7.33% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current statistics, the hosts are expected to hold the advantage. Luzern traditionally struggles in away matches against Thun and rarely showcases high scoring in such encounters. Meanwhile, Thun consistently plays an aggressive attacking game on their home turf, regularly scoring over 1.5 goals. This combination of factors suggests a likely control of the game by the hosts and their advantage throughout the match. The most logical outcome appears to be a victory for Thun.
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Betting Tips: Thun - Luzern
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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