Luzern vs Thun Prediction 25 July 2026
🔊 Luzern, under Mario Frick, open the new Super League season at home against Thun. For the hosts, it's a chance to set the tone from matchday one - and put an end to some uncomfortable recent head-to-head results. Thun, managed by Mauro Lustrinelli, arrive in good spirits and ready to make things difficult for the favourites.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Thun):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Luzern and Thun:
- played 39 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 14, draws - 12;
- number of goals - 49 against 45;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.97, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
- average total goals in the match - 2.41.
Head-to-head statistics Luzern - Thun
Luzern Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in a friendly - Luzern at home, Sint-Truiden as the visitors. The final score was 1-2.
Match stats (Luzern vs Sint-Truiden):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 11 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
At home, Luzern typically try to impose themselves - controlling the ball and working the flanks. Over their last ten matches, they've been consistent: 2.2 goals scored per game, 1.3 conceded. That balance has kept them firmly in the mix for the championship group even at this early stage of the season. Up front, Oscar Chicombo and Matteo Di Giusto are the key figures. That said, Luzern's defence has repeatedly struggled against quick transitions, and Thun have made a habit of exploiting exactly that.
Match Results: Luzern
Thun Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Champions League - Thun at home, Dinamo Zagreb the visitors. It finished 1-1.
Stats from that game (Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 19 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Thun arrive at the start of the league season as defending champions, but with a brutal schedule. Mauro Lustrinelli's side just played a gruelling Champions League qualifying match against Dinamo Zagreb (1-1), and next week they travel to Croatia for the decisive second leg. Rotation or not, the key players may not be at full throttle. That said, the championship-level quality and attacking cohesion are still there - enough for Thun to create chances even when running on empty.
Match Results: Thun
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 14, draws - 12.
Statistics: Luzern vs Thun
- matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 0;
- wins: 0 vs 0;
- win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Thun won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 15 away games (Super League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.26, the guests - 1.15;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.41;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 7.
- Luzern have scored under 2.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Thun (Super League).
Prediction on corners
- Thun have taken under 5.5 corners in last 5 away games against Luzern.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
- Luzern have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Thun.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
For Thun, this away trip is sandwiched between two big Champions League qualifying matches against Dinamo Zagreb. The visitors will almost certainly sit deep, conserve energy, stay compact and give Luzern no space to work with. Luzern will try to take control at home, but the first matchday of the season always brings a degree of caution. Both sides are still finding their rhythm, so don't expect a high-scoring affair. Thun are happy to defend, and Luzern won't throw everyone forward. This one should stay pragmatic, with few clear-cut errors at the back. Prediction: total goals under 3.5 (Under 3.5)
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Betting Tips: Luzern - Thun
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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