Corinthians vs Bahia Ba Prediction 28 January 2026

    🔊 The match between Corinthians and Bahia promises to be intriguing, especially considering that last season the hosts suffered a 1-2 defeat at the Neo Química Arena. However, the end of 2025 was successful for the São Paulo club, while the team from Salvador stumbled somewhat. Our editorial team predicts that both sides will find the net in the upcoming game.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1-2. Here's a comparison of the statistics from that encounter (Corinthians were the home side):

    • possession: 66% vs 34%;
    • corners: 9 vs 1;
    • fouls: 15 vs 21;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Corinthians and Bahia:

    • 30 matches played;
    • home team victories - 14, away team - 9, draws - 7;
    • goals scored - 40 for the hosts, 28 for the visitors;
    • average first-half total - 1.23, second-half - 1.03;
    • average total goals per match - 2.27.

    Head-to-head statistics Corinthians - Bahia Ba

    44%
    14 Wins
    25%
    8 Draws
    31%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    32
    Total Goals Avg
    2.28
    Both teams scored
    47%
    1.31
    Total average
    0.97
    1.78
    Yellow cards
    2.16
    Last matches
    26.07.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.67
    0.34
    7
    2
    17
    18
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.67
    0.34
    7
    2
    17
    18
    2
    5
    28.01.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1
    1.3
    1.83
    4
    6
    14
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.3
    1.83
    4
    6
    14
    14
    3
    3
    17.08.25
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Bahia
    Bahia
    2.28
    1.04
    9
    1
    15
    21
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    2.28
    1.04
    9
    1
    15
    21
    2
    3
    30.03.25
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1.37
    0.76
    3
    5
    16
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.37
    0.76
    3
    5
    16
    15
    3
    2
    03.12.24
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.75
    0.37
    7
    4
    11
    11
    2
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.75
    0.37
    7
    4
    11
    11
    2
    4
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    Corinthians Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Campeonato Paulista A1, with Velo Clube hosting Corinthians. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Corinthians vs Velo Clube):

    • possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • corners: 9 vs 5;
    • fouls: 16 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    ⚪ Corinthians finished the championship in 13th place, leaving no one within the club's structure satisfied with the outcome. However, after the conclusion of Serie A, the "Timão" battled for the Copa do Brasil. In a two-legged semifinal clash, Corinthians edged past Cruzeiro only after a penalty shootout. In the final, Dorival Júnior's squad faced Vasco da Gama, who had previously knocked out Fluminense. Following a home draw in the first leg, it seemed Corinthians' chances at the trophy had diminished significantly. However, at the Maracanã, goals from Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay secured Corinthians their fourth Copa do Brasil title with a 2-1 victory. This triumph means the São Paulo club will compete in the Copa Libertadores next season instead of the Copa Sudamericana.

    Match Results: Corinthians

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.38
    0.65
    4
    14
    8
    9
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.38
    0.65
    4
    14
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    21.08.26
    libertadores
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    0.53
    0.5
    3
    8
    15
    14
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.53
    0.5
    3
    8
    15
    14
    1
    0
    W
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1.43
    1.18
    3
    8
    16
    14
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.43
    1.18
    3
    8
    16
    14
    1
    4
    L
    14.08.26
    libertadores
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1
    0.63
    0.37
    12
    0
    16
    11
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.63
    0.37
    12
    0
    16
    11
    3
    3
    D
    09.08.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.59
    0.85
    3
    2
    12
    14
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.59
    0.85
    3
    2
    12
    14
    1
    3
    W
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    Bahia Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Baiano League, with Vitória hosting Bahia. The match ended with a score of 0-1.

    Here's the match statistics (Bahia vs Vitória):

    • possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    🔵 Last season, the "Tricolors" spent a significant amount of time in the top five, vying for a direct berth in the Copa Libertadores group stage. However, they faltered at the end and dropped to seventh place. Now, under Rogério Ceni's guidance, they face a playoff battle for qualification against the Chilean club O'Higgins. One of the reasons for this was Bahia's away performance in Serie A: out of 19 away games, they secured only three victories and suffered 10 defeats. Let's see what improvements Bahia have made in their first round of the playoffs.

    Match Results: Bahia

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    W
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.42
    2.69
    3
    5
    16
    9
    1
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.42
    2.69
    3
    5
    16
    9
    1
    2
    D
    09.08.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    0.75
    0.86
    4
    6
    13
    10
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.75
    0.86
    4
    6
    13
    10
    1
    2
    D
    30.07.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Bahia
    Bahia
    2.07
    0.57
    8
    1
    7
    9
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.07
    0.57
    8
    1
    7
    9
    1
    1
    D
    26.07.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.67
    0.34
    7
    2
    17
    18
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.67
    0.34
    7
    2
    17
    18
    2
    5
    D
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 30;
    • Home victories - 14, away wins - 9, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Corinthians vs Bahia

    Last 10 Matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 7;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Bahia Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.28)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • average goals scored by the home team - 1.33, by the away team - 0.93;
    • average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.27;
    • both teams scored: overall - 13 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
    Trends
    • Bahia score fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Bahia Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.31)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 30;
    • both teams scored overall - 13 times;
    • at the home team's ground - 9 times.
    Trends
    • Corinthians both score and concede at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with Bahia (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.82)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given that both teams boast strong attacking players, fans can expect an entertaining match with plenty of chances at both ends. History suggests a high-scoring affair in their head-to-heads: the total has exceeded 2.5 goals in 9 of the last 10 clashes at the "Neo Química Arena." Our main prediction is a bet on both teams to score (yes), a scenario that has occurred in 6 of their last 7 encounters in São Paulo.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 26/01/2026, 23:24

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    Betting Tips: Corinthians - Bahia

    Bahia have won:
    ec-bahia-bain last 5 games.
    Bahia Win
    Bovada
    +220
    Bahia have not won:
    ec-bahia-bain last 10 away games (Serie A).
    Corinthians will not lose
    -270
    Bahia have not lost:
    ec-bahia-bain 8 of last 9 games.
    Bahia will not lose
    -152
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    corinthians-sp-2in 6 of last 7 Corinthians home games.
    corinthians-sp-2in last 5 Corinthians games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 14 of last 15 Bahia away games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 11 Bahia away games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 8 of last 9 Bahia games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 7 of last 8 Bahia games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Corinthians - Bahia Ba Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    24116734-3339
    6.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    24910534-2837
    7.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    23105828-2335
    9.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    2396830-2733
    10.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    2488826-2432
    11.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    2386937-3730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 6
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 8
    +3
    +4
    14 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    6
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    14
    8
    Conceded
    10
    1.9
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats