Bahia Ba vs Corinthians Prediction 26 July 2026
Both sides arrive at this match close together in the table, with similar points and similar ambitions - both are pushing for a Copa Libertadores spot. Scoring rates are comparable, though recent form tells a slightly different story. Bahia have been less consistent than Corinthians, but the gap isn't dramatic enough to shift the balance significantly going into this one.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 28 January 2026 and ended 1-2. Here's how the stats looked that day (Corinthians were the home side):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Bahia and Corinthians:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins: 10, away wins: 14, draws: 7;
- goals: 30 vs 41;
- average first-half total: 1.29, second-half: 1;
- average match total: 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Corinthians
Bahia Team Overview
Their last official match was played in the Série A (Atlético Mineiro at home, Bahia away). The match ended 1-1.
Match stats (Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Bahia are having a rough mid-season stretch - just two wins from their last ten, with four defeats. The attack is still ticking over, averaging 1.5 goals per game both across the season and over that recent run. But the defence keeps letting them down: 1.7 goals conceded per game in the last ten points to persistent problems at the back. They can't afford to drop points if they want to push the gap over seventh-placed Corinthians to six. A win would also bring Rogério Ceni's side closer to the top three and keep their Copa Libertadores hopes alive.
Match Results: Bahia
Corinthians Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Série A (Corinthians at home, Remo Belém away). Final score: 3-0.
Match stats (Corinthians vs Remo Belém):
- Possession: 56% vs 44%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Fouls: 12 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 0.
Corinthians have been the more consistent side lately - five wins and three defeats in their last ten matches puts them ahead of most teams around them in the table. Over that same run, they've been reasonably balanced going forward, averaging 1.5 goals per game, though the defence has slipped a little: 1.2 conceded per match against a season average of 1.0. The table is tight in the middle, and that makes this match matter. Win and Fernando Lázaro's side draw level with Bahia on points. Drop points and they could slide several places - the gaps between the teams around them are that small.
Match Results: Corinthians
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 31;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 14, draws - 7.
Stats: Bahia vs Corinthians
- matches in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 8 vs 7;
- win rate: 42% vs 37%;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Bahia are unbeaten at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings (Série A).
- Corinthians have failed to win away in 7 of their last 8 matches (Série A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average totals):
- home team - 0.97, away team - 1.32;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: all time - 14 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.
Average total stats: Bahia vs Corinthians
- in the tournament: 2.74 vs 2.11;
- goals scored: 1.47 vs 1.11;
- 1st half: 0.74 vs 0.58;
- 2nd half: 0.74 vs 0.53;
- Bahia: at home in the tournament - 1.6;
- Corinthians: away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 1.5 (away - 1.4).
- Corinthians have scored under 1.5 goals away in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches (Série A).
- Corinthians have scored under 1.5 goals away in 11 of their last 12 matches (Série A).
- Corinthians have scored under 1.5 goals away in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 6; at home - 6.9;
- last 10 matches: average total - 7.6; at home - 8.
Corinthians: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.58, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; away - 5.
- Bahia have taken over 5.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Bahia have taken over 5.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 31;
- both teams scored all time - 14 times;
- at the home team's ground - 4 times.
Stats: Bahia vs Corinthians
- played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 13 vs 9;
- Bahia: BTTS at home - 7 (70%);
- Corinthians: BTTS away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 9 vs 6;
- Bahia: BTTS at home - 5 (83%);
- Corinthians: BTTS away - 5 (100%).
- Bahia have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Bahia have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches (Série A).
- Bahia have scored and conceded at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Corinthians have scored and conceded away in 5 consecutive matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines (current season):
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/189, 14.8%);
- Bahia at home most often finish: 1:1 (3/10, 30%);
- Corinthians away most often play: 0:0, 1:1, 3:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.28% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.62% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams arrive with plenty to play for, which raises the stakes and sets the stage for an open match. Bahia are fighting to hold their place near the top, while Corinthians can close the gap with a win.
Recent form backs up the case for goals: Bahia scored and conceded in nine of their last ten matches, and Corinthians have the same pattern across their last five away games. The scoring averages for both sides also point in the same direction - over the course of the season, both are averaging more than a goal per game.
Neither defence looks particularly solid right now, which only adds to the likelihood of chances at both ends. Given the current form and what's at stake, the most appealing bet is Both Teams To Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Corinthians
in 7 of last 8 home games against Corinthians (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 away games (Serie A).
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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