Chapecoense vs Santos Prediction 28 January 2026
π The opening round clash between Chapecoense and Santos promises to be intriguing, given their storied history. The "Green" have made their return to Serie A after a four-year absence. Meanwhile, Santos managed to secure their top-flight status with a thrilling finish to the 2025 season. The teams haven't faced each other in a year, but back in 2024, when Santos were competing in Serie B, they suffered a 2-3 defeat at the Arena CondΓ‘. How will this fascinating encounter unfold in 2026?
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 16 October 2024 and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Here's the comparative statistics from that encounter (Chapecoense were the home team):
- possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 6 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
π Statistical preview of the official encounters between Chapecoense and Santos:
- 16 matches played;
- home victories - 4, away victories - 10, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 9 for Chapecoense, 21 for Santos;
- average first-half total - 0.81, second-half - 1.06;
- average total goals per match - 1.88.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Santos
Chapecoense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the Santa Catarina tournament, featuring Chapecoense as the home side and Joinville as the visitors. The match concluded with a 6-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Chapecoense vs Joinville):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 12 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 11 vs 1.
π’ Chapecoense secured third place in last year's Serie B, thanks to a crucial win in the final round against Atletico Goianiense (1-0). Without that victory, the "Greens" would have missed out not only on third place but also on promotion. Over 38 rounds, Chapecoense claimed 18 wins, drew 8 times, and suffered 12 defeats. Out of those 18 victories, 11 were achieved at the Arena CondΓ‘, which will be their fortress in the fight to secure as many points as possible, aiming to retain their spot in Serie A by the end of the 2026 season.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Santos Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Campeonato Paulista A1, with Santos hosting Bragantino. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Santos vs Bragantino):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 0 vs 2.
βͺ Since November 16 of last year, when Santos were still in the relegation zone and at risk of dropping back to Serie B, Juan Pablo Vojvoda's squad delivered a stunning final stretch of six matches: four wins and two draws. These results not only secured the "Peixe" a spot in Serie A but also lifted them to 12th place, granting them entry into the Copa Sudamericana. Neymar remains with the club, having returned at the start of last season and taken on the captain's role. His contributions have been significant: despite suffering a knee injury at the end of last season that required surgery, Ney chose to forgo the procedure to help the team maintain their top-flight status. Let's see how deep "the Fish" can swim this season.
Match Results: Santos
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 10, Draws - 2.
Statistics: Chapecoense vs Santos
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 5.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 0.56, away team - 1.31;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.88;
- Both teams scored: all time - 3 times; at home team's ground - 2 times.
- Santos score less than 1.5 goals away in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters.
Corners Prediction
Trends- Total over 9.5 corners hit in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches at the home ground.
- Total over 9.5 corners hit in 5 consecutive home matches for Chapecoense.
- Total over 9.5 corners hit in 6 consecutive matches for Santos.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- Both teams scored all time - 3 times;
- At home team's ground - 2 times.
β Editorial Prediction
As we kick off the first round, despite the celebration of Brazilian football, we anticipate a tense game with few goals. Chapecoense have shown strong form at home and consistently deliver in front of their fans. Their goal is to secure their place in Serie A, and there's no better place than the "Arena CondΓ‘" to expect their determination and focus on defending their goal. Considering the history of past meetings between these teams, we predict under 2.5 goals as the most likely outcome of the match. This result has occurred in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head encounters.
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Betting Tips: Chapecoense - Santos
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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