Paderborn vs Stuttgart Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 Heading into the fifth round of the Bundesliga, Paderborn have four points and are in good spirits following their win over Hoffenheim. Stuttgart have just three points, but their position is not quite as bleak as it might seem: they have already scored six goals, and all three of their defeats have come against serious opponents - Bayern, Hoffenheim and Dortmund. Stuttgart now have a more favourable opportunity to improve their league standing, though Paderborn, after their first win at the Home Deluxe Arena, will certainly not sit back.
History is currently on the visitors’ side
📊 The last meeting between the two sides took place in the DFB-Pokal in January 2023 and ended in a 2-1 win for Stuttgart.
Head-to-head statistics Paderborn - Stuttgart
Paderborn come back to life after their first win
Before the Hoffenheim match, Paderborn had looked fairly modest: a 0-0 draw with Mainz, a 0-1 defeat to Freiburg and a 0-3 loss to Dortmund. They had not scored a single goal across those three games. The 3-1 win over Hoffenheim changed that impression sharply, but it is still too early to draw conclusions about a sudden improvement in attack on the basis of one match.
The hosts are capable of causing problems for stronger opponents through intense pressing and duels. Right wing-back Laurin Сurda won 61 duels in the first four matchdays - the best figure in the entire Bundesliga. Paderborn do not need to hold possession to stay in the game; winning second balls and getting the ball forward quickly is enough.
Match Results: Paderborn 07
Stuttgart need to step up their attacking game
Stuttgart's main problem right now is not chance creation but finishing and defensive reliability. The team have scored six goals in four matchdays but conceded nine. A 4-1 win over Köln was followed by defeats to Hoffenheim and Dortmund, and in the most recent of those Stuttgart failed to score at all in response to their opponents' single goal.
Stuttgart have scored in each of their last 23 away Bundesliga matches, setting a new club record. The visitors also have enough players capable of deciding a game in a single moment. Deniz Undav can operate between the lines, Bilal El Khannouss adds pace to attacks, and Chris Führich is dangerous in one-on-one situations. Against Paderborn, who will almost certainly set up more compactly and cautiously than Hoffenheim did, individual quality could prove to be the deciding factor.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Latest news
Paderborn 07
❌ Defender Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant remains out with a ligament injury. Midfielder Timur Gayret is also recovering from a knee injury, though Felix Götze and a number of other players are available to head coach Ralf Kettemann.
Stuttgart
❌ Jarzinho Malanga and Dan-Axel Zagadou are injured. Goalkeeper Dennis Seimen has returned from a lengthy spell on the sidelines and played 70 minutes in a friendly against Greuther Fürth (5-0), but Sebastian Hoeneß has yet to decide whether he is ready to return to the starting XI for Saturday's match.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Paderborn will surely look to stop Stuttgart from playing freely through midfield, and the visitors will have to match the hosts' intensity in the physical battle. If the match is an even contest, the number of tactical fouls should gradually increase, with both sides keen not to lose the midfield battle or allow the opposition to get up to speed in quick attacks. Prediction: Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
There's no need to take risks with a high individual total here. Stuttgart have scored in each of their four league rounds, and their away scoring run now stretches to 23 matches. Paderborn, meanwhile, have conceded three times against Dortmund and once against Freiburg, so even if the visitors are kept quiet in the first half, they are capable of finding their moment. I'd go as far as to say more than one. I'm going with Stuttgart Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.45*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Stuttgart will need to take the initiative if they want to leave with three points. Paderborn are unlikely to hold a high block for long and will look to respond through quick attacks. This should give the visitors territorial dominance and more approaches to the penalty area. That said, a bet on Stuttgart winning the corners outright looks less reliable than the overall total, as Paderborn are capable of earning several set pieces even with less possession. Prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5. Odds - 1.44* This bet has come in in all of the hosts' previous Bundesliga matches.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Paderborn earned some respect with their win over Hoffenheim, but three goals scored in four matches is not enough to consider their attack reliable. Stuttgart are far from their best as well, but their away record looks considerably more convincing, and the head-to-head meetings have so far gone entirely in the visitors' favour. For that reason, I wouldn't go with too aggressive a handicap and would stick with a Stuttgart win. Prediction: Stuttgart to win. Likely score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Paderborn 07 - Stuttgart
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