Manacor vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
🔊 For Manacor, this match is an occasion significant enough to warrant modifications to their ground. Na Capellera has had additional stands and new floodlights installed ahead of a visit from a Champions League club. Villarreal, though, are in no mood for a celebration. Íñigo Pérez's side have been struggling in the league, and they still have two important fixtures to come against Espanyol and PSG. A cup trip to an artificial pitch could turn into an uncomfortable trap, particularly given that the Yellow Submarine have been knocked out by lower-division sides in each of the last three editions of the competition.
The teams are set to face each other for the first time.
📊 Manacor and Villarreal have never previously met in official competition.

Manacor: strong start gives way to setbacks
Manacor's last Tercera match ended in a 1-1 draw away to UD Arenal. Trailing at half-time, they equalised and significantly outshot their opponents 19-8, including 11-4 on target.
Manacor made a bright start to the season in the Tercera Federación, Spain's fifth tier. They won each of their first five matches, scoring 15 goals in the process. However, they were unable to maintain that pace. Manacor lost to Formentera (0-2) and then drew with Arenal (1-1). After seven matches, the hosts have 16 points, with five wins, one draw and one defeat. Their overall goal difference stands at 16-8.
Manacor have been solid at home, winning all three of their opening league matches on their own ground. That said, the attacking side have not always been clinical enough in the final third. Against Arenal, for instance, they had 64% possession, registered 19 shots, 11 of which were on target, yet scored only once. They are unlikely to have as many opportunities against Villarreal. The coaching staff are already preparing a more compact defensive setup to deal with opponents accustomed to a completely different level.
Match Results: Manacor

Villarreal: Are European competitions a bigger priority than the Cup?
Villarreal's previous La Liga match ended with a 2-1 away win over Valencia. They were trailing at half-time but came back to win, having had 19 shots to Valencia's nine, though Valencia had the better record for shots on target at 5-3.
After finishing third in La Liga last season, Villarreal were expected to continue challenging near the top of the table. Instead, they have taken just 12 points from their opening ten matches and sit tenth. Three wins, three draws and four defeats is a modest return for a Champions League side. The defence is a particular concern: 14 goals conceded against 15 scored. That said, in the most recent round the Yellow Submarine did claim an important win over Valencia (2-1), scoring the decisive goal late on.
In terms of chance creation, Villarreal are in considerably better shape than their conversion rate suggests. Against Elche they had 20 shots but could not find the net, drawing 0-0. Iñigo Pérez acknowledges that his players need to improve against sides that sit deep. The task in Manacor will be similar, though the difference in individual quality should help. Rotation is another factor. With a congested fixture schedule, some first-team regulars are likely to be rested, giving fringe players and members of the youth squad a chance to feature.
Match Results: Villarreal
Latest news
Manacor
❓ There are no official reports of any specific personnel losses for Manacor.
Villarreal
❌ Ilyas Akhomach will miss the match due to muscular discomfort. Carlos Romero and Nathan Saliba have returned to full training after their respective injuries, but the coaching staff decided not to take them to Mallorca. Nicolás Pépé has recovered from eye surgery, though any decision on his involvement will be made in line with medical advice.
Match Result Prediction
Manacor have been strong at home this season, winning all three of their matches on their own ground, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 3. That record matters particularly ahead of a meeting with a Primera División side they are clearly outclassed by in terms of quality. Villarreal, though, have been inconsistent with their results and a packed fixture schedule means they are having to manage their resources across three competitions. On an artificial pitch, the Mallorcans may be capable of making life difficult for the favourites and avoiding a heavy defeat. Bet: Manacor - Handicap +3.5 at 1.88*.
Total Goals Prediction
Manacor are an attacking side, but high-scoring matches are far from the norm for them. In seven games in the current championship, the combined total has reached five or more goals only twice, and the average total stands at 3.43. Villarreal's figure is more modest - 2.9 goals across ten La Liga rounds. The difference in class gives the visitors good reason to expect a comfortable win, though not necessarily a heavy one. On top of that, the hosts will almost certainly pay more attention to defending than they do in their own division's matches. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.53*.
Safer Bet
Manacor rarely feature in matches with an exceptionally high number of goals. In seven rounds of the Tercera Federación, only one of their matches ended with six goals scored, while the other six were less productive. Even with an active attack, the hosts average 2.29 goals per game. Villarreal are significantly superior in class, but a congested schedule and possible rotation could affect their attacking output. Even a few goals from the favourites won't necessarily turn the match into a rout. We're backing Total Goals - Under 5.5 at 1.22*.
Correct Score Prediction
The analysis points to three most likely scorelines: 1-2 (7.47%), 2-1 (6.83%) and 1-1 (6.56%). A Villarreal win by 2-1 is considered the most probable outcome, but the gap between the three leading results is very small, suggesting the match could be closely contested.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Villarreal remain the clear favourites, but there is no reason to expect a goal fest from the visitors. Manacor are solid at home and will look to make life as difficult as possible for the opposition. The Yellow Submarine, meanwhile, are far from consistently high-scoring even against lower-profile sides. A demanding schedule could also lead the visitors to manage their efforts more carefully, particularly once they take the lead. The difference in class should tell in the end, but a heavy win looks unnecessary. Predicted score: 0-2. Main bet: Villarreal Team Total - Under 3.5 Goals.