Maassluis vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
📢 Excelsior Maassluis go into this cup tie against Heerenveen in excellent form. The hosts have gone ten matches without defeat, winning each of the last five. Heerenveen have also been in decent shape, picking up four wins and three draws over the same period. The two clubs come from very different levels of Dutch football, however: Excelsior Maassluis compete in the fourth tier, while Heerenveen play in the top flight. It is a serious test for the hosts off the back of a strong run.
Head-to-Head
Excelsior Maassluis and Heerenveen met on 30 October 2019 in the KNVB Cup. Heerenveen won 3-0 away, scoring twice before half-time, and dominated corners 12-2.
The two sides have met just once in an official fixture, with Heerenveen winning 3-0 away while Excelsior Maassluis failed to score.
Head-to-head statistics Maassluis - Heerenveen
Excelsior Maassluis rack up nine wins in their last ten matches
Exelsior Maassluis won their last Third Division match 1-0 at home 24 October 2026. The score was 0-0 at half-time, but the hosts finished the game with a shots advantage of 16-6, with their opponents failing to register a single shot on target.
Excelsior Maassluis are performing well in the fourth tier of Dutch football, currently sitting third in the table. They are in excellent form, having won five matches in a row, and over their last ten matches the record looks even more impressive - nine wins and a single draw. The hosts are scoring at an average of 2.1 goals per game, while their defence has been particularly solid, conceding just 0.5 goals per match. Excelsior Maassluis have also scored in eight of their previous nine matches.
Match Results: Excelsior Maassluis
Heerenveen have picked up three wins in their last five matches
In their last Eredivisie match on 24 October 2026, Heerenveen won 3-2 away at Den Haag, despite being outshot 15-23 and losing the corners 2-8. Expected goals were almost level, at 2.5 against 2.58.
Heerenveen sit seventh in the Eredivisie table and come into this cup match in decent form. They have won three and lost one of their last five matches, showing a clear improvement in results. Over a longer stretch the numbers are more modest - four wins, three draws and three defeats in ten matches. Going forward they are reasonably effective, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while defensively they look solid enough, though not without the occasional lapse, conceding 1.3 goals per match.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Total Goals Prediction
Excelsior Maassluis have scored in eight consecutive matches, which reflects their current form. The team have also been finding the net regularly across their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals per game overall and 2 goals per home match. Against this backdrop, the Excelsior Maassluis Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at odds of 1.67* looks justified.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9.35%), 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.26%). Our predicted scoreline is 1-4.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Heerenveen are clear favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment from the bookmakers. The gap in class between the two sides is enormous, so even Excelsior Maassluis's impressive unbeaten run should not be misleading. The hosts perform well at their own level, but they will find things considerably harder against an Eredivisie side. Our main prediction is a Heerenveen win with a handicap of -1.5.
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Betting Tips: Excelsior Maassluis - Heerenveen
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