V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026

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Key points

    🔉 V-Varen Nagasaki and Tokyo Verdy head into this fixture with contrasting motivations and mixed recent form. The hosts sit mid-table in the J1 League, with little at stake at this stage of the season, while the visitors find themselves in the relegation zone and are fighting for every point. Both sides have struggled to find the back of the net in recent matches, which could shape the narrative of this upcoming clash.

    Tokyo Verdy have secured just one away win.

    V-Varen Nagasaki claimed a 2-1 away victory over Tokyo Verdy in their most recent head-to-head clash. The J2 League fixture took place on 05 July 2023: the visitors took a 1-0 lead into halftime and held on to their advantage until the final whistle.

    📊 In 23 official head-to-head clashes, V-Varen Nagasaki have come out on top more often, claiming 10 wins compared to Tokyo Verdy's seven, while six matches have ended in draws. The difference is even more pronounced when V-Varen Nagasaki play at home: out of ten matches on their own turf, the hosts have suffered just one defeat, with Tokyo Verdy managing only a single away victory.

    Head-to-head statistics V-Varen - Tokyo Verdy

    43%
    10 Wins
    26%
    6 Draws
    30%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    23
    Avg. total goals
    2.57
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.39
    Average total
    1.17
    Last matches
    05.07.23
    J2 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    07.05.23
    J2 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    -
    -
    06.08.22
    J.League 2
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    19.02.22
    J.League 2
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    07.11.21
    J.League 2
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    1
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    V-Varen Nagasaki Team Overview

    V-Varen Nagasaki suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Urawa Red Diamonds in their most recent J1 League fixture (25 October 2026). The visitors managed just six shots compared to their opponents’ 19, and only once tested the goalkeeper. The score remained level at halftime.

    V-Varen Nagasaki have struggled for consistency, recording just one win and four defeats in their last five outings. Over this stretch, they’ve averaged only 1.1 goals per game, with a season average of 1.25, highlighting their limited attacking threat. Notably, V-Varen Nagasaki have managed to score more than once in just one of their last seven matches-a clear indicator of their ongoing issues in front of goal. Defensively, they sit slightly above the league average, conceding between 1.2 and 1.58 goals per match.

    Match Results: V-Varen Nagasaki

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    J1 League
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.46
    1
    7
    4
    9
    8
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.46
    1
    7
    4
    9
    8
    0
    1
    L
    21.10.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    1
    2.36
    1.16
    0
    10
    14
    13
    2
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.36
    1.16
    0
    10
    14
    13
    2
    0
    W
    17.10.26
    J1 League
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.08
    1.04
    2
    6
    13
    19
    0
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.08
    1.04
    2
    6
    13
    19
    0
    3
    L
    11.10.26
    J1 League
    Chiba
    Chiba
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    1.71
    0.77
    9
    4
    13
    7
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.71
    0.77
    9
    4
    13
    7
    2
    1
    D
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
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    Tokyo Verdy Team Overview

    Tokyo Verdy’s most recent J1 League outing saw them claim a 3-1 home victory over Avispa Fukuoka (24 October 2026). Despite the expected goals being almost identical-1.37 for Verdy and 1.35 for Avispa-the hosts proved more clinical, registering six shots on target compared to just two from the visitors.

    Tokyo Verdy currently sit in one of the bottom three spots and are fighting to climb out of the relegation zone, which adds extra motivation at this stage of the season. Over their last five matches, the visitors have picked up two wins, suffered two defeats, and earned one draw, averaging less than a goal per game (0.9). Their attack has struggled all season, managing just 0.75 goals per match on average, while their defense remains vulnerable-conceding around 1.5 to 1.75 goals per game depending on the stretch.

    Match Results: Tokyo Verdy

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    1.37
    1.35
    4
    5
    10
    18
    0
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.37
    1.35
    4
    5
    10
    18
    0
    3
    W
    21.10.26
    J1 League
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    2.39
    1.93
    6
    6
    13
    18
    0
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    2.39
    1.93
    6
    6
    13
    18
    0
    2
    D
    17.10.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    1
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    0.1
    2.78
    1
    11
    11
    8
    2
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.1
    2.78
    1
    11
    11
    8
    2
    0
    L
    11.10.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.5
    1.05
    2
    4
    15
    10
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.5
    1.05
    2
    4
    15
    10
    3
    1
    L
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Gainare Tottori
    Gainare Tottori
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    -
    -
    3
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    3
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    V-Varen Nagasaki have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home head-to-head clashes against Tokyo Verdy. This season, the hosts have recorded three wins, two draws, and just one loss at home, while the visitors are still searching for their first away victory, with two draws and one defeat on the road. These stats back the V-Varen Nagasaki double chance (1X) bet at odds of 1.40*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    V-Varen Nagasaki have found the net in 11 of their last 12 home fixtures. They’re averaging 1.83 goals per home game this season, and that number climbs to 2.33 across their most recent matches on home turf. However, in six of their last seven outings, V-Varen Nagasaki have scored fewer than two goals, which tempers expectations for a higher line. The smart play here is V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 team goals at odds of 1.33*.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Tokyo Verdy have averaged just 0.33 goals per away match this season and 0.83 goals in their recent games on the road. V-Varen Nagasaki, meanwhile, have conceded only 0.33 goals on average in their latest home fixtures and have found the net in 11 of their last 12 home appearances. These stats suggest that the both teams to score (no) market at odds of 1.83* could be worth considering, although the averages don't fully reflect how often the visitors have failed to score.

    High-Risk Bet

    V-Varen Nagasaki have picked up three wins in six home matches this season, while Tokyo Verdy are still searching for their first away victory. The hosts are also unbeaten at home in nine of their last ten head-to-head encounters. However, with two home draws for V-Varen Nagasaki and two away draws for the visitors, there’s a notable risk in backing a straight home win. For those willing to take a bolder approach, V-Varen Nagasaki to win at odds of 2.38* stands out as an intriguing option.

    Safer Bet

    Tokyo Verdy have scored fewer than two goals in nine of their last ten head-to-head away games. This season, their average away scoring rate stands at just 0.33 goals per match, while in recent away fixtures they've averaged 0.83 goals. V-Varen Nagasaki have conceded an average of only 0.33 goals per game in their latest home outings. Given these numbers, the Tokyo Verdy individual total under 1.5 goals at odds of 1.36* looks like a solid pick.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm’s projections, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14.37%), 0-0 (13.37%), and 1-1 (11.55%). The 1-0 result tops the list, with just a one percentage point difference compared to the 0-0 outcome.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given V-Varen Nagasaki's recent trend of low-scoring matches-they’ve managed to score more than once in just one of their last seven games-the focus shifts to the hosts’ limited attacking threat. Their average goals scored, just 1.25 per game across the season and only 1.1 in their last ten outings, further suggest we shouldn't expect a goal fest here. Tokyo Verdy have struggled in attack themselves and concede fairly often, but considering the hosts' current form, it’s hard to see them scoring more than two goals. The recommended bet is on under 2.5 total goals.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-143
    Published: 30/10/2026, 20:47
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    195
    4
    174
    373 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy

    V-Varen Nagasaki have not lost:
    v-varen-nagasakitokyo-verdyin 9 of last 10 home games against Tokyo Verdy.
    v-varen-nagasakiin 9 of last 10 home games.
    v-varen-nagasakiin 8 of last 9 home games (J1 League).
    Tokyo Verdy have not won:
    tokyo-verdyin 14 of last 15 games (J1 League).
    tokyo-verdyin 11 of last 12 away games (J1 League).
    tokyo-verdyin last 7 games.
    V-Varen Nagasaki will not lose
    Thunderpick
    -256
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    v-varen-nagasakitokyo-verdyin last 18 V-Varen Nagasaki games against Tokyo Verdy.
    v-varen-nagasakitokyo-verdyin last 10 V-Varen Nagasaki home games against Tokyo Verdy.
    v-varen-nagasakiin 8 of last 9 V-Varen Nagasaki games.
    tokyo-verdyin 11 of last 12 Tokyo Verdy away games.
    tokyo-verdyin 8 of last 9 Tokyo Verdy away games (J1 League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    v-varen-nagasakitokyo-verdyin 6 of last 7 V-Varen Nagasaki games against Tokyo Verdy.
    v-varen-nagasakiin 13 of last 14 V-Varen Nagasaki home games.
    v-varen-nagasakiin 12 of last 13 V-Varen Nagasaki home games (J1 League).
    v-varen-nagasakiin last 9 V-Varen Nagasaki games (J1 League).
    v-varen-nagasakiin 7 of last 8 V-Varen Nagasaki games.
    tokyo-verdyin last 6 Tokyo Verdy games (J1 League).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Thunderpick
    -278
    Tokyo Verdy have scored under 1.5 goals:
    v-varen-nagasakitokyo-verdyin 9 of last 10 away games against V-Varen Nagasaki.
    tokyo-verdyin last 12 away games.
    tokyo-verdyin 10 of last 11 games.
    tokyo-verdyin last 9 away games (J1 League).
    Tokyo Verdy Total goals Under (1,5)
    -278
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Losses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 12
    -1
    -6
    9 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    3
    5
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    9
    12
    Conceded
    15
    2.3
    Average total per match
    2.4
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    85'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    107'
    View all stats