Nashville vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔉 Nashville SC have already secured top spot in the league and head into this fixture with little left to play for. NY Red Bulls, on the other hand, remain under pressure - they are just two points shy of the playoff zone with only two MLS rounds remaining. This head-to-head clash features two sides with very different end-of-season objectives: the hosts can afford to experiment, while the visitors are fighting for every point.
Both sides have struggled to deliver goals.
19 August 2026 Nashville SC edged NY Red Bulls 1-0 away in MLS action. The hosts registered more shots and led the xG battle (1.58 to 1.1), but managed just one shot on target, while Nashville SC tested the keeper three times.
📊 In ten official head-to-head clashes, NY Red Bulls have come out on top four times, while Nashville SC have claimed two wins; the remaining four matches ended in draws. Goals have been at a premium in these contests: NY Red Bulls have scored 8 times, with Nashville SC netting just 4 goals - and notably, Nashville SC failed to score in seven of those games. The average goals per match stands at just 1.2.
Head-to-head statistics Nashville - New York Red Bulls
The reigning champions gear up for the playoffs
29 October 2026 Nashville SC were held to a 0-0 draw at home against Philadelphia Union in their most recent MLS outing. Despite enjoying 63% possession, the hosts managed just one shot on target and posted an xG of only 0.82.
Nashville SC have enjoyed a consistent season, clinching the title ahead of schedule. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with 10 wins in their last 11 matches on home turf - a testament to their reliability at Geodis Park. Over the past ten games, Nashville SC have picked up five victories, four draws, and suffered just one defeat, averaging 1.9 goals scored and conceding only 0.6 per match. In the short term, the team look well-balanced both in attack and defense. However, with the league title already secured, a lack of competitive pressure could impact the leaders’ motivation going forward.
Match Results: Nashville
A win will keep their playoff hopes alive.
In their most recent MLS outing, NY Red Bulls suffered a 3-2 defeat away to New England Revolution - 28 October 2026. The loss stands in stark contrast to the visitors’ dominance in key stats: they outshot their opponents 20 to 9, registered 11 shots on target to New England’s 4, and posted a superior xG of 2.94 compared to 1.34.
NY Red Bulls currently sit in tenth place and are feeling the pressure, with just two points separating them from the playoff zone and only two matches left to play. Over their last five outings, they have picked up two wins but suffered three defeats; the broader ten-match stretch tells a similar story of inconsistency: four victories, one draw, and five losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game while conceding 1.3. With the playoff race heating up, the visitors will need to stay fully focused right up until the final whistle.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
Prediction for the 1st half
Nashville SC have found the net in the first half in seven of their last eight home matches. That’s a solid reason to back the hosts to score before the break, even though there’s no separate first-half stats available. The pick here is Nashville SC over 0.5 goals in the first half at odds of 1.48*.
Match Result Prediction
Nashville SC have won 10 of their last 11 home games. This season, they boast an impressive home record with 14 victories, two draws, and no defeats, while NY Red Bulls have suffered eight losses on the road. Given these stats, a win for Nashville SC at odds of 1.50* looks like a solid pick.
Total Goals Prediction
Nashville SC have scored over 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight home fixtures. Their season average at home stands at 2.81 goals per game, while NY Red Bulls are conceding an average of 1.88 goals on the road. More recently, the visitors have tightened up defensively away from home, allowing just 1.17 goals per match, which does introduce some uncertainty. Still, the pick is Nashville SC over 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.38*.
Safer Bet
Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last 17 home matches. This season, they have racked up 14 wins and two draws at home, without suffering a single defeat. These numbers back the Nashville SC double chance bet at odds of 1.14*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the top three most likely scorelines are: 2-0 (10.6%), 1-0 (10.59%), and 2-1 (9.84%). The 2-0 result holds the highest probability, edging out 1-0 by just 0.01 percentage points.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This match hinges on the contrasting motivations of the two sides: Nashville SC have already secured top spot and aren’t under pressure, while NY Red Bulls are forced to take risks as they chase a playoff berth. Although the visitors haven’t matched Nashville SC’s season-long form, their urgency gives them a strong chance to avoid a heavy defeat - even against the league leaders. Historically, NY Red Bulls have covered the +1.5 handicap in each of the last ten head-to-head meetings. The main prediction here is NY Red Bulls with a +1.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Nashville - NY Red Bulls
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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