Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction

    🔊 The match between Southampton and Middlesbrough promises to be intriguing, considering the current form of both teams. Southampton are in dire need of points to improve their standings, while Middlesbrough are confidently leading the table. The home side are struggling with their scoring ability. Meanwhile, the visitors are in excellent form, having won five out of their last six matches. The outcome of this clash may hinge on whether the hosts can find their rhythm against such a confident opponent.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 March 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Southampton):

    • ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
    • fouls: 5 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Southampton and Middlesbrough:

    • played 11 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 17 against 15;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.36, in the 2nd half - 1.55;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.91.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    5 Wins
    33%
    5 Draws
    33%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    15
    Total Goals Avg
    2.73
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.33
    Total average
    1.4
    0.87
    Yellow cards
    1.73
    Last matches
    12.05.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    09.05.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    04.01.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.12
    1.03
    11
    5
    7
    12
    0
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2.12
    1.03
    11
    5
    7
    12
    0
    4
    27.09.25
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    0.79
    0.29
    6
    3
    11
    17
    2
    6
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.79
    0.29
    6
    3
    11
    17
    2
    6
    29.03.24
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    -
    -
    8
    5
    5
    13
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    5
    13
    2
    5
    Empty
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    Southampton Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the EFL Cup tournament (home team - Liverpool, away team - Southampton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Southampton vs Liverpool):

    • ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 12 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Southampton have been inconsistent throughout the season, languishing near the bottom of the standings. Their form is far from ideal, with just one win in their last six matches, alongside two losses and three draws. They average 1.17 goals per game, which falls short of what's needed to compete with the league's frontrunners.

    Match Results: Southampton

    Last matches
    12.05.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    W
    09.05.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    D
    02.05.26
    Championship
    Preston North End
    Preston North End
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.37
    2.52
    10
    5
    11
    6
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.37
    2.52
    10
    5
    11
    6
    3
    1
    W
    28.04.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    -
    -
    5
    9
    10
    19
    0
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    9
    10
    19
    0
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    FAC
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.9
    0.25
    10
    3
    9
    9
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.25
    10
    3
    9
    9
    0
    1
    L
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    Middlesbrough Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Middlesbrough, away - West Bromwich Albion). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion):

    • ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
    • fouls: 3 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    Middlesbrough currently top the league table, riding a wave of superb form: five wins and a draw in their last six matches speak volumes. The team capitalizes on their chances up front, averaging 1.83 goals per game while maintaining a stingy defense, conceding just 0.67 goals per match. This allows them to play with confidence even on the road, where Rob Edwards' squad matches their opponents in both quality of play and results.

    Match Results: Middlesbrough

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Championship
    Hull City
    Hull City
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    1.29
    0.81
    1
    3
    6
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.29
    0.81
    1
    3
    6
    2
    1
    0
    L
    12.05.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    D
    02.05.26
    Championship
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    1.91
    2.78
    6
    3
    11
    5
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1.91
    2.78
    6
    3
    11
    5
    0
    0
    D
    25.04.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Watford
    Watford
    2.51
    1.08
    6
    3
    8
    10
    1
    2
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    2.51
    1.08
    6
    3
    8
    10
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Southampton

    🎙 "We have no new injuries; everyone is 100% fit and available for the game. I think we'll be cautious with Wellington, who has just returned to training, but everything else is in perfect order," stated Will Still ahead of the match against Middlesbrough.

    ❌ There were concerns about Kaspar Jander, who picked up a knock in the cup match against Liverpool, but it turned out fine-the German is ready to play.

    Middlesbrough

    ❌ Middlesbrough are facing issues with their defensive line. Ahead of their trip to Southampton, there are concerns regarding three of their five central defenders. George Edmundson, who was substituted in the match against West Bromwich, avoided a concussion but is sporting a significant bruise around his eye. Dael Fry, who missed the last two games, has just started light training. As for Darragh Lenihan, the situation with his injury remains uncertain.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 11;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
    • Average first-half total: 1.36;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.82, while the visitors net 0.55.

    First-Half Stats: Southampton (home) vs Middlesbrough (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • losses: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • draws: 2 (66.67%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.33 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.33.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 3;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Southampton scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Middlesbrough.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Southampton to score goal(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 11;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 1 vs 5;
    • win percentage: 17% vs 83%;
    • losses: 2 vs 0;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 5;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Southampton have not won in 12 of last 13 home games.
    • Middlesbrough have not lost in last 6 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Middlesbrough will not lose(odds: 1.61)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.55, the guests - 1.36;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.91;
    • both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

    • average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.83;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 1.33;
    • Southampton: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Middlesbrough: average total away in the tournament - 2.33;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1.6).
    Trends
    • Southampton have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 13 home games.
    👉Prediction: Southampton Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on corners

    Southampton: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.17; at home field - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.5.

    Middlesbrough: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.17, away - 5.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 5.4.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (11.5)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 0.54 (0.27 for home team and 0.27 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.6 (0.4 for home team and 1.2 for away team).

    Southampton: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home - 2.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.

    Middlesbrough: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.17, away - 3.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 3.2.
    Trends
    • Under 4.5 yellow cards in 17 of last 19 Southampton home games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 11;
    • both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 2 (67%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Middlesbrough away - 2 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS matches for Middlesbrough away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.65)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Southampton are the bookmakers' favorites, a stance that raises some eyebrows. While the Saints possess a higher caliber, they have yet to find their rhythm, which explains their position in the lower half of the table. Middlesbrough, on the other hand, are brimming with confidence. Hence, we suggest betting on the visitors not to lose. We anticipate a 1-1 draw, a result that would likely satisfy both sides.

    Our choice
    Middlesbrough will not lose at odds of -164*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (25 September 2025, 14:24)

    Betting Tips: Southampton - Middlesbrough

    Southampton have not won
    southampton-fcin 12 of last 13 home games.
    Middlesbrough have not lost
    middlesbrough-fc-1in last 6 games (Championship).
    Middlesbrough will not lose
    Everygame
    -179
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    southampton-fcmiddlesbrough-fc-1in last 6 Southampton games against Middlesbrough.
    southampton-fcin 14 of last 16 Southampton games.
    southampton-fcin last 9 Southampton home games.
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 17 of last 19 Middlesbrough games.
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 8 of last 9 Middlesbrough away games (Championship).
    in 13 of last 15 Farai Hallam games (in the Championship).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Southampton have scored
    southampton-fcmiddlesbrough-fc-1in last 9 games against Middlesbrough.
    southampton-fcin 9 of last 10 games.
    Southampton will score goal
    Everygame
    -400
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    southampton-fcmiddlesbrough-fc-1in 8 of last 9 Southampton games against Middlesbrough.
    southampton-fcin 6 of last 7 Southampton games.
    middlesbrough-fc-1in last 5 Middlesbrough away games (Championship).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Southampton - Middlesbrough Table position

    Championship 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    462315880-4784
    3.
    Millwall
    Millwall
    4624111164-4983
    4.
    Southampton
    Southampton
    4622141082-5680
    5.
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    4622141072-4780
    6.
    Hull City
    Hull City
    4621101570-6673
    7.
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    4619141369-6571

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 22
    Conceded - 11
    +11
    +1
    14 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    4
    1
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    22
    Scored
    14
    11
    Conceded
    13
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.7
    2.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    42'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats