Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction
🔊 The match between Middlesbrough and Southampton promises to be thrilling, given the current standings in the table. Middlesbrough are eager to hold onto their top-three spot despite a dip in form, while Southampton are aiming to break into the top ten. Both teams have been inconsistent, and their playing styles suggest an attacking approach. Can we expect goals?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Southampton):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Middlesbrough and Southampton:
- played 12 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 16 against 18;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.25, in the 2nd half - 1.58;
- average total goals in the match - 2.83.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Middlesbrough Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Middlesbrough). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Middlesbrough vs Derby ):
- ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Middlesbrough are having an intriguing season, currently sitting in third place in the league. The team boasts 12 wins and six losses across 25 matches, averaging 1.32 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.04 goals. The last five games have been challenging for the Boro, with three losses and just one victory, highlighting some issues under new manager Kim Hellberg.
Match Results: Middlesbrough

Southampton Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Southampton, away - Millwall). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Southampton vs Millwall):
- ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
- fouls: 6 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Southampton are having a mixed season, currently sitting 14th and falling short of their fans' expectations. Their record shows eight wins, nine draws, and eight losses over 25 matches. In their last five games, the Saints have been far from convincing, failing to secure a single victory and suffering two defeats. That form certainly won't help them climb to the top of the table.
Match Results: Southampton
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 4.
Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 12 vs 8;
- win percentage: 48% vs 32%;
- losses: 6 vs 8;
- draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Southampton won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games against Middlesbrough.
- Southampton won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 games (Championship).
- Southampton won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
- average total in the tournament: 2.36 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.52;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.84;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.68;
- Middlesbrough: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Southampton: average total away in the tournament - 1.62;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.4) vs 2 (away - 2).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Middlesbrough home games against Southampton.
Prediction on corners
Middlesbrough: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.28; at home field - 5.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8; at home field - 8.
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.56, away - 4.77;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 5.4.
- Middlesbrough have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.66 (1.83 for home team and 1.83 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.67 (1.5 for home team and 0.17 for away team).
Middlesbrough: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.76; at home - 1.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.92, away - 2.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 20;
- number of BTTS matches for Middlesbrough at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Southampton away - 13 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Middlesbrough at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Southampton away - 5 (100%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (49/298, 16.4%);
- Middlesbrough at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (4/12, 33.3%);
- Southampton away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.92% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.02% (odds 9)
1:0 - 8.53% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the current form of the teams and their standings, a tense battle with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities is expected. The inconsistent defensive play from both the hosts and the visitors suggests we could witness an exciting match. With this in mind, we recommend considering over 2.5 goals.