Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction

    🔊 The match between Middlesbrough and Southampton promises to be thrilling, given the current standings in the table. Middlesbrough are eager to hold onto their top-three spot despite a dip in form, while Southampton are aiming to break into the top ten. Both teams have been inconsistent, and their playing styles suggest an attacking approach. Can we expect goals?

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Southampton):

    • ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 1.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Middlesbrough and Southampton:

    • played 12 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 4;
    • number of goals - 16 against 18;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.25, in the 2nd half - 1.58;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.83.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    5 Wins
    33%
    5 Draws
    33%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    15
    Total Goals Avg
    2.73
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.4
    Total average
    1.33
    1.73
    Yellow cards
    0.87
    Last matches
    12.05.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    09.05.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    04.01.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.12
    1.03
    11
    5
    7
    12
    0
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2.12
    1.03
    11
    5
    7
    12
    0
    4
    27.09.25
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    0.79
    0.29
    6
    3
    11
    17
    2
    6
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.79
    0.29
    6
    3
    11
    17
    2
    6
    29.03.24
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    -
    -
    8
    5
    5
    13
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    5
    13
    2
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Middlesbrough Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Middlesbrough). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Middlesbrough vs Derby ):

    • ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
    • fouls: 9 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    Middlesbrough are having an intriguing season, currently sitting in third place in the league. The team boasts 12 wins and six losses across 25 matches, averaging 1.32 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.04 goals. The last five games have been challenging for the Boro, with three losses and just one victory, highlighting some issues under new manager Kim Hellberg.

    Match Results: Middlesbrough

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Championship
    Hull City
    Hull City
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    1.29
    0.81
    1
    3
    6
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.29
    0.81
    1
    3
    6
    2
    1
    0
    L
    12.05.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    D
    02.05.26
    Championship
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    1.91
    2.78
    6
    3
    11
    5
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1.91
    2.78
    6
    3
    11
    5
    0
    0
    D
    25.04.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Watford
    Watford
    2.51
    1.08
    6
    3
    8
    10
    1
    2
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    2.51
    1.08
    6
    3
    8
    10
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Southampton Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Southampton, away - Millwall). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.

    Here are the match stats (Southampton vs Millwall):

    • ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
    • fouls: 6 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    Southampton are having a mixed season, currently sitting 14th and falling short of their fans' expectations. Their record shows eight wins, nine draws, and eight losses over 25 matches. In their last five games, the Saints have been far from convincing, failing to secure a single victory and suffering two defeats. That form certainly won't help them climb to the top of the table.

    Match Results: Southampton

    Last matches
    12.05.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.6
    10
    4
    12
    16
    2
    4
    W
    09.05.26
    Championship
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    Southampton
    Southampton
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    0.68
    11
    1
    7
    12
    0
    2
    D
    02.05.26
    Championship
    Preston North End
    Preston North End
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.37
    2.52
    10
    5
    11
    6
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.37
    2.52
    10
    5
    11
    6
    3
    1
    W
    28.04.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    -
    -
    5
    9
    10
    19
    0
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    9
    10
    19
    0
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    FAC
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.9
    0.25
    10
    3
    9
    9
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.25
    10
    3
    9
    9
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 4.

    Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Southampton

    • matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • wins: 12 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 48% vs 32%;
    • losses: 6 vs 8;
    • draws: 7 vs 9.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Southampton won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games against Middlesbrough.
    • Southampton won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 games (Championship).
    • Southampton won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Southampton Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.25)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.5;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.83;
    • both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Southampton

    • average total in the tournament: 2.36 vs 2.88;
    • average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.52;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.84;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.68;
    • Middlesbrough: average total at home in the tournament -  1.33;
    • Southampton: average total away in the tournament - 1.62;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.4) vs 2 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Middlesbrough home games against Southampton.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.73)

    Prediction on corners

    Middlesbrough: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.28; at home field - 5.92;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8; at home field - 8.

    Southampton: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.56, away - 4.77;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 5.4.
    Trends
    • Middlesbrough have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Middlesbrough Total Over (4.5)(odds: 1.41)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.66 (1.83 for home team and 1.83 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.67 (1.5 for home team and 0.17 for away team).

    Middlesbrough: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.76; at home - 1.08;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.

    Southampton: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.92, away - 2.23;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.4.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3.5)(odds: 2)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.

    Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Southampton

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 20;
    • number of BTTS matches for Middlesbrough at home - 7 (58%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Southampton away - 13 (100%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
    • BTTS matches for Middlesbrough at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Southampton away - 5 (100%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.57)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (49/298, 16.4%);
    • Middlesbrough at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (4/12, 33.3%);
    • Southampton away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 (3/13, 23.1%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.92% (odds 6.5)
    2:1 - 9.02% (odds 9)
    1:0 - 8.53% (odds 9.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Based on the current form of the teams and their standings, a tense battle with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities is expected. The inconsistent defensive play from both the hosts and the visitors suggests we could witness an exciting match. With this in mind, we recommend considering over 2.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -154*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 January 2026, 15:24)

    Betting Tips: Middlesbrough - Southampton

    Middlesbrough have scored under 2.5 goals
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 9 games against Southampton.
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 5 games against Southampton (Championship).
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 24 of last 25 home games.
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 22 of last 23 home games (Championship).
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 21 of last 23 games (Championship).
    Middlesbrough Total goals Under (2.5)
    -455
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 7 Middlesbrough games against Southampton.
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 5 Middlesbrough games against Southampton (Championship).
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 17 of last 19 Middlesbrough home games (Championship).
    southampton-fcin last 5 Southampton games (Championship).
    in 15 of last 16 Oliver Langford games (in the Championship).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Middlesbrough have conceded
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 10 games against Southampton.
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 6 home games against Southampton.
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 13 of last 14 games (Championship).
    middlesbrough-fc-1in 7 of last 8 home games (Championship).
    Southampton have scored
    southampton-fcin last 16 away games.
    southampton-fcin last 13 away games (Championship).
    southampton-fcin 11 of last 12 games (Championship).
    Southampton will score goal
    -333
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin 9 of last 10 Middlesbrough games against Southampton.
    middlesbrough-fc-1southampton-fcin last 5 Middlesbrough games against Southampton (Championship).
    southampton-fcin last 15 Southampton away games.
    southampton-fcin 14 of last 15 Southampton games (Championship).
    southampton-fcin last 13 Southampton away games (Championship).
    in 8 of last 9 Oliver Langford games.
    in 6 of last 7 Oliver Langford games (in the Championship).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Middlesbrough - Southampton Table position

    Championship 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    462315880-4784
    3.
    Millwall
    Millwall
    4624111164-4983
    4.
    Southampton
    Southampton
    4622141082-5680
    5.
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    4622141072-4780
    6.
    Hull City
    Hull City
    4621101570-6673
    7.
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    4619141369-6571

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 3
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 13
    +1
    +11
    22 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    22
    13
    Conceded
    11
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3.3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    42'
    View all stats