Vitoria vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 16 July 2026
🔊 Vitória are set to host Vasco da Gama in Round 19 of the Brazilian Championship. Both sides remain in the hunt for a mid-table finish, but they come into this head-to-head clash in contrasting form. Vitória see this as a chance to pull further clear of the relegation zone, while Vasco are desperate to end their poor run of results on the road.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 05 October 2025 and ended in a 4-3 scoreline. Here’s a statistical breakdown of that encounter, with Vasco da Gama playing at home:
- Possession: 74% vs 26%;
- Corners: 5 vs 0;
- Fouls: 11 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊 A statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Vitória and Vasco da Gama:
- They have faced off 25 times;
- The hosts have claimed 12 wins, the visitors 10, with 3 draws;
- Total goals scored: 41 for Vitória, 34 for Vasco da Gama;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.16; in the second half: 1.84;
- The average total goals per match stands at 3.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Vasco Da Gama
Vitoria Team Overview
Their most recent official match took place on in the Copa do Nordeste, with Vitória hosting Fortaleza. The game ended 2-1.
Here are the key match stats (Vitória vs Fortaleza):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Fouls: 7 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Vitoria are having an inconsistent season and currently sit 13th in the table, with six wins, four draws, and seven defeats. However, they have been particularly strong at home, going unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all competitions at the Estádio Manoel Barradas, winning nine and drawing one, with an impressive goal difference of 26:6. In eight of those games, the hosts have scored at least twice. In league play, Vitoria have lost just once in their last eight home fixtures. After 17 rounds, the club have collected 22 points with a goal difference of 21:25, and it is their home form that remains the key factor keeping them clear of the relegation battle.
Match Results: Vitoria
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A, facing Vasco da Gama away from home. The match ended with a score of 0-1.
The key stats from the match (Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro) were as follows:
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 20 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 4.
Vasco continue to struggle on the road this season. They are yet to claim an away win in the current league campaign, recording four draws and four defeats, while each of their last four matches away from home across all competitions - including the Copa Sudamericana - have featured over 2.5 goals. After 18 rounds, the club sit on 20 points with a goal difference of 22:29, one of the worst records among the bottom half sides. In Serie A, Vasco concede an average of 1.61 goals per game, and have managed just two clean sheets in their last ten away fixtures in all competitions.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head meetings:
- Matches played - 25;
- First-half wins: home side - 5; away side - 3; draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.16 goals;
- Today's hosts average 0.64 goals in the opening half, while the visitors score 0.52.
First-half stats: Vitória (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- Matches played in the competition: 8 vs 8;
- Wins: 5 (62.5%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- Losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 4 (50%);
- Draws: 2 (25%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.25;
- Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 0.88.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7).
- Vasco da Gama have conceded in the first half in six of their last seven Série A fixtures.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Games played - 25;
- Home wins - 12, Away wins - 10, Draws - 3.
Stats: Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches in the competition: 17 vs 18;
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Win percentage: 35% vs 28%;
- Losses: 7 vs 8;
- Draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- Vitória have avoided defeat at home in 15 of their last 16 fixtures.
- Vitória are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 home games (Serie A).
- Vasco da Gama are winless on the road in their last 12 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.64, Away - 1.36;
- Average total goals in head-to-heads - 3;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 13 times; at Vitória’s ground - 5 times.
Average total stats: Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
- In this competition: 2.71 vs 2.83;
- Goals scored: 1.24 vs 1.22;
- First half: 0.47 vs 0.33;
- Second half: 0.76 vs 0.89;
- Vitória at home in this competition - 1.75;
- Vasco da Gama away in this competition - 1.25;
- Last 10 games: Vitória - 2.2 (home - 2.6) vs Vasco da Gama - 1.5 (away - 1.5).
- Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals away from home in six of their last seven head-to-head meetings.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Vitória: Statistics
- This season: average corners per game in the competition - 4; at home - 3.88;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.3; at home - 4.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- This season: average corners per game in the competition - 5.33, away - 4.75;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.9; away - 4.75.
- The under 9.5 corners market has hit in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these sides (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Games played - 25;
- Both teams have scored all-time - on 13 occasions;
- At Vitória’s ground - five times.
Stats: Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches played in this competition: 17 vs 18;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 8 vs 13;
- Vitória: BTTS at home - two matches (25%);
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS away - seven matches (88%).
Last ten matches:
- BTTS games: Vitória - six, Vasco da Gama - five;
- Vitória: BTTS at home - two matches (40%);
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS away - four matches (100%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (26 out of 177, or 14.7%);
- Vitória’s most frequent home result: 2-0 (4 out of 8, or 50%);
- Vasco da Gama’s most frequent away results: both 1-1 and 2-1 (2 out of 8, or 25%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three likely scorelines:
1-1 - probability: 11.78% (odds: 5.5)
2-1 - probability: 8.48% (odds: 8.5)
1-0 - probability: 8.15% (odds: 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Vitória’s impressive home record stands out as a major factor ahead of this clash: they are unbeaten in their last ten matches at home, with a commanding goal difference of 26:6. Vasco, on the other hand, are still searching for their first away win of the league campaign and continue to struggle defensively on the road. Given both sides’ current form and their respective home and away performances, the most reasonable prediction is Vasco da Gama under 1.5 goals, Vasco have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven head-to-head away games. Predicted scoreline: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Vasco da Gama
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