Toluca vs Tigres Prediction
🔥 Toluca, one of the frontrunners in the Mexican football championship, are set to face Tigres on their home turf. This upcoming clash is part of the third round of Liga MX. It promises to be an exciting encounter, as the visitors have a chance to overtake the "Red Devils" with a win. But can they pull it off? Or will the home favorites live up to their status? Check out our editorial's prediction for this matchup!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in May and ended with Toluca securing a 3-0 victory. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Toluca were the home side):
- possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Toluca and Tigres:
- 51 matches played;
- home wins: 26, away wins: 13, draws: 12;
- goals scored: 72 for the hosts, 58 for the visitors;
- average goals in the first half: 0.94, in the second half: 1.61;
- average total goals per match: 2.55.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Toluca Team Overview
Toluca's last match was against Club América in the Mexican Super Cup, where they secured a 3-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Club América):
- possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Toluca are confidently sitting atop the Liga MX standings, having secured the maximum points (six out of six) in the first two rounds. This success is driven by their powerful attacking line and solid performances at home. Over the last ten matches, the team have claimed six victories, showcasing an average scoring rate of 2.2 goals per game. It's important to highlight that Toluca consistently generate dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal, thanks to their aggressive tactics and effective midfield control.
Match Results: Toluca

Tigres UANL Team Overview
Tigres faced Juarez in the last round of Liga MX and secured a 1-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Tigres vs Juarez):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
Tigres sit seventh in the Liga MX standings. The team employs a cautious strategy, focusing on counterattacks and solid defense, which enables them to perform well even against strong opponents. This is evidenced by just one loss in their last nine matches, showcasing the resilience of the Monterrey-based squad.
Match Results: Tigres UANL
Latest news
Toluca
In the upcoming match, the hosts will be without Hugo Gonzalez, Helinho, and Marcel Alejandro Ruiz due to injuries.
Notably, during the current transfer window, Toluca have strengthened their squad with the additions of Nicolas Castro, Pau Lopez, Mauricio Isaís, and Fernando Arce.
Tigres UANL
The visitors will be without Jesus Alberto Angulo and Raphael Guerreiro due to injuries in the upcoming match.
It's worth noting that Tigres have bolstered their squad this summer with the additions of Angel Correa, Antonio Carrera, Fernando Tapia, and Ivan Lopez.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 51;
- First-half wins for the home team - 8; for the away team - 3; draws - 13;
- Average first-half total: 0.94;
- Today's home team averages 0.49 goals, while the visitors average 0.45.
First-Half Stats: Toluca (home) vs Tigres (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 0;
- Wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 3 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 1;
- Losses: 1 vs 1;
- Draws: 5 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.4 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.2).
- Toluca scores in the first half in 14 of their last 16 matches.
- Toluca finds the net in the first half in 13 of their last 15 matches (Liga MX).
- Toluca scores in the first half at home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Liga MX).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Number of encounters - 51;
- Home wins - 26, Away wins - 13, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Toluca vs Tigres
- Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 100% vs 100%;
- Losses: 0 vs 0;
- Draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 5.
- Tigres have covered a +1.5 handicap in 12 of their last 14 away games.
- Tigres have covered a +1.5 handicap in 8 of their last 9 matches (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 1.41, away team - 1.14;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.55;
- Both teams scored: overall - 25 times; at home team's ground - 13 times.
- The total has gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.5; at home - 7;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; at home - 4.2.
Tigres: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 4.5.
- Tigres have taken more than 4.5 corners in 13 of their last 14 matches (Liga MX).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.22 (1.61 for the home team and 1.61 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.59 (1.42 for the home team and 2.17 for the away team).
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.5; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.6.
Tigres: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.75.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 51;
- Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
- At the home team's ground - 13 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Tigres
- Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
- Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Toluca - 2, Tigres - 0;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Tigres' BTTS away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Toluca - 7, Tigres - 5;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Tigres' BTTS away - 0 (0%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering Toluca's attacking style and Tigres' ability to capitalize on counterattacks, we anticipate a dynamic and eventful match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities for both sides. Based on their head-to-head statistics, the most reasonable bet appears to be on over 2.5 goals. This outcome occurred in six of the last seven encounters between these teams at Toluca's ground.