Tigres vs Toluca Prediction

    🔥 The upcoming round of the Mexican championship features a clash between Tigres and Toluca. We're in for an intriguing showdown between the league's frontrunners. Both teams have been delivering consistent performances this season. The hosts, Tigres, excel on their home turf with a focus on attacking play. Meanwhile, Toluca match their opponents in terms of quality and have been in excellent form in recent outings. Adding to the intrigue is Tigres' recent 2-1 victory over Toluca, fueling the visitors' desire for revenge.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams ended with a score of 2-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Toluca as the home side):

    • possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corners: 9 vs 2;
    • fouls: 17 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Tigres and Toluca:

    • 54 matches played;
    • home wins - 15, away wins - 27, draws - 12;
    • goals scored - 64 for Tigres, 77 for Toluca;
    • average goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.61;
    • average total goals per match - 2.61.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    15 Wins
    23%
    13 Draws
    50%
    28 Wins
    Total games
    56
    Total Goals Avg
    2.55
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.16
    Total average
    1.39
    1.95
    Yellow cards
    1.77
    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    18.01.26
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.32
    0.67
    3
    3
    16
    26
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.32
    0.67
    3
    3
    16
    26
    2
    4
    15.12.25
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1
    11.83
    9.8
    9
    2
    17
    16
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    9
    8
    11.83
    9.8
    9
    2
    17
    16
    3
    2
    12.12.25
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    0.54
    0.38
    8
    0
    14
    13
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.54
    0.38
    8
    0
    14
    13
    2
    2
    27.07.25
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1.47
    1.46
    7
    0
    15
    8
    5
    3
    3
    4
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1.47
    1.46
    7
    0
    15
    8
    5
    3
    Empty
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    Tigres UANL Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Tigres as the home side and UNAM Pumas as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Tigres vs UNAM Pumas):

    • possession percentage: 69% vs 31%;
    • corner kicks: 18 vs 2;
    • fouls: 9 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    Tigres continue to impress with their performances at home. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins, suffered one loss, and drawn twice. Their playing style is characterized by aggressive attacking and high pressing. This season, the team has been highly productive, averaging 1.84 goals per match while maintaining a solid defensive balance, conceding just one goal per game. However, their inconsistency is evident through the frequent fluctuation in results in recent games.

    Match Results: Tigres UANL

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    1
    1.64
    0.46
    13
    1
    13
    19
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.64
    0.46
    13
    1
    13
    19
    1
    3
    L
    06.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Nashville
    Nashville
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    11
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    11
    1
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1.83
    0.69
    4
    4
    15
    7
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1.83
    0.69
    4
    4
    15
    7
    4
    1
    W
    29.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Nashville
    Nashville
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    12
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    12
    1
    3
    W
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    Toluca Team Overview

    The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament, featuring Toluca as the home side and Santos Laguna as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory for Toluca.

    The game statistics are as follows (Toluca vs Santos Laguna):

    • possession: 73% vs 27%;
    • corners: 5 vs 1;
    • fouls: 15 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 2.

    Toluca are impressive: four consecutive victories following a single defeat demonstrate the TEAM's serious intent. The "Red Devils" play with balance, skillfully combining ball control with swift counterattacks. They average 2.16 goals per match while maintaining a solid defense-conceding just 0.7 goals over the last ten games underscores their strength.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    L
    07.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    W
    04.05.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    L
    30.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 54;
    • Home wins - 15, Away wins - 27, Draws - 12.
    Trends
    • Toluca cover a +1.5 handicap in 10 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Liga MX).
    • Toluca cover a +1.5 handicap in 44 straight matches.
    • Toluca cover a +1.5 handicap in 38 consecutive Liga MX matches.
    • Toluca cover a +1.5 handicap in 19 straight away games.
    • Toluca cover a +1.5 handicap in 18 consecutive Liga MX away games.
    👉Prediction: Toluca Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.23)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team averages - 1.19 goals, away team - 1.43;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 27 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.

    Statistics: Tigres vs Toluca

    • Average tournament total: 2.84 vs 3.16;
    • Average goals scored: 1.84 vs 2.16;
    • First-half average total: 0.72 vs 1;
    • Second-half average total: 1.12 vs 1.16;
    • Tigres: home average total in the tournament - 2.23;
    • Toluca: away average total in the tournament - 1.58;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Tigres concede in 12 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings with this team (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Toluca will score goal (odds: 1.36)

    Corner Prediction

    Tigres: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.8; at home - 6.62;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 6.1; at home - 9.2.

    Toluca: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.28, away - 4.92;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.7; away - 5.6.
    Trends
    • Tigres deliver over 4.5 corners at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
    • Tigres deliver over 4.5 corners at home in 5 consecutive matches (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Tigres UANL Total Over (4.5) (odds: 1.6)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Frequent Results Statistics (current season):

    • Most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-0 (19/188, 10.1%), 1-1 (19/188, 10.1%);
    • Tigres most often finish home matches: 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 (2/13, 15.4%);
    • Toluca most frequently play away matches at: 1-0 (3/12, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:

    1-1 - 13.72% (odds: 6)
    1-0 - 10.09% (odds: 9)
    2-1 - 8.82% (odds: 9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The clash between Tigres and Toluca promises to be one of the most thrilling encounters of the Mexican tour, as it features two teams boasting formidable attacking prowess. The hosts at Estadio Universitario always aim to take the initiative, while the visitors advocate for open football and rank among the highest-scoring clubs in the league. The presence of star performers in the attacking lines of both squads, combined with their penchant for offensive ventures, virtually guarantees a wealth of scoring opportunities at both ends. Considering that both defensive lines often falter under intense pressure, betting on both teams to score seems quite reasonable. A 1-1 draw is a possible outcome.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -154*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 January 2026, 15:50)

    Betting Tips: Tigres UANL - Toluca

    Tigres UANL have not lost
    uanl-tigresdeportivo-toluca-1in last 7 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    uanl-tigresin 9 of last 10 home games (Liga MX).
    Tigres UANL will not lose
    Everygame
    -333
    Toluca have not lost
    deportivo-toluca-1in 18 of last 20 games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 17 of last 19 games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will not lose
    Everygame
    -147
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    uanl-tigresdeportivo-toluca-1in 13 of last 15 Tigres UANL games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    uanl-tigresdeportivo-toluca-1in 6 of last 7 Tigres UANL home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    uanl-tigresin 15 of last 17 Tigres UANL games (Liga MX).
    in last 5 Oscar Mejia Garcia games (in the Liga MX).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    MyBookie
    +125
    Tigres UANL have conceded
    uanl-tigresdeportivo-toluca-1in 12 of last 13 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    Toluca will score goal
    MyBookie
    -111
    View more facts

    Tigres - Toluca Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17114243-1837
    2.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17106135-1636
    3.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    17105232-2035
    4.
    CF America
    CF America
    17104333-1834
    5.
    CF Monterrey
    CF Monterrey
    1794433-2931
    6.
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1792629-2229

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 10
    +7
    +4
    18 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    18
    10
    Conceded
    14
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    55'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats