Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction 27 July 2025
🔊 Palmeiras are set to host Grêmio in the 17th round of the Brazilian Championship. The São Paulo side are on an upward trajectory, currently sitting third in the league, showcasing consistent form with 7 points from their last three matches since returning from the Club World Cup. Grêmio find themselves in the bottom half of the table, struggling through a rough patch, having gone four matches without a win across all competitions and recently exiting the Copa Sudamericana. In the upcoming clash, the hosts are clear contenders for all three points as they aim to maintain their push for top positions.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 November 2024 and ended with a score of 1-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Palmeiras were the home side):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 14 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 15 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Palmeiras and Grêmio:
- 42 matches played;
- home victories - 18, away wins - 10, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 57 for Palmeiras, 39 for Grêmio;
- average goals in the first half - 0.88, in the second half - 1.4;
- average total goals per match - 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Gremio
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 16th round of the Brazilian Serie A, where Fluminense hosted Palmeiras. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Fluminense):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
🟢 In the latest round, Palmeiras secured a comeback victory away against Fluminense, courtesy of precise strikes from Mauricio and Vitor Roque (2-1). This crucial win not only solidified their third-place standing but also maintained their two-game advantage, providing an extra edge in the title race.
⚪ In the upcoming match against Gremio, Palmeiras are set to approach the game with utmost seriousness, as the result will significantly influence their pursuit of the championship lead. The team exhibits consistency and high focus, positioning them as one of the main contenders for the trophy.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Gremio Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match on in the Round of 32 of the Copa Sudamericana (home team - Gremio, visitors - Alianza Lima). The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Gremio vs Alianza Lima):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 5 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
🔵 In their latest away fixture, Grêmio drew 1-1 with Vasco da Gama. The team initially trailed but managed to level the score in the 80th minute. Currently sitting 14th in the standings, Grêmio are just three points above the relegation zone. A victory against Palmeiras could help them climb closer to eighth place and steer clear of the league's lower end.
⚫ Midweek, the "Immortals" hosted the second leg of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 32 against Alianza Lima. After a 2-0 defeat in Peru, the Brazilian side couldn't overturn the deficit at home, drawing 1-1 and exiting the tournament with an aggregate score of 3-1.
Match Results: Gremio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- First half wins at home - 5; away - 2; draws - 13;
- Average first-half total: 0.88;
- Today's home team averages 0.5 goals, while the visitors average 0.38.
First Half Statistics: Palmeiras (home) vs Grêmio (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Draws: 6 (85.71%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- Average goals scored: 0.57 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.14 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 1 vs 2;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 6 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3).
- Palmeiras have drawn the first half at home in their last 5 Serie A matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- Home wins - 18, Away wins - 10, Draws - 14.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Grêmio
- Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Wins: 9 vs 4;
- Winning percentage: 64% vs 29%;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 4.
- Grêmio covers a +1.5 handicap in 17 of their last 19 matches.
- Grêmio covers a +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team averages - 1.36, away team - 0.93;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
- Both teams scored: overall - 22 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Grêmio
- Average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.43;
- Average goals scored: 1.29 vs 1;
- First-half average total: 0.43 vs 0.57;
- Second-half average total: 0.86 vs 0.43;
- Palmeiras: home average total in the tournament - 1;
- Grêmio: away average total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Palmeiras scores under 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 16 head-to-head meetings.
- Palmeiras scores under 2.5 goals at home in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
- Palmeiras scores under 2.5 goals at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
- Palmeiras scores under 2.5 goals in 20 of their last 21 matches (Serie A).
- Palmeiras scores under 2.5 goals at home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
- Palmeiras scores under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Corner Prediction
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.29; at home - 5.43;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.2; at home - 7.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.14, away - 4.86;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.3; away - 4.
- Palmeiras takes fewer than 7.5 corners at home in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings.
- Palmeiras takes fewer than 7.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.66 (1.83 for the home team and 1.83 for the away team);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 4.05 (1.85 for the home team and 2.2 for the away team).
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.86;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.57.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.14, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; away - 2.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- Both teams scored overall - 22 times;
- At the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Grêmio
- Total matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Palmeiras - 7 vs Grêmio - 9;
- BTTS for Palmeiras at home - 2 (29%);
- BTTS for Grêmio away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Palmeiras - 6 vs Grêmio - 4;
- BTTS for Palmeiras at home - 3 (43%);
- BTTS for Grêmio away - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Palmeiras head into the match against Gremio in excellent form. Conversely, Gremio are struggling with their results. Considering the current performance of both teams and Palmeiras' ambitions, the hosts are expected to set the pace and fight for the three points to solidify their title challenge. The final bet is Palmeiras to win with a -1 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Gremio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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