Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction 20 September 2026
🔊 Grêmio go into this match in a difficult position in the table, hovering near the relegation zone and fighting to stay in the league. Palmeiras are in the thick of the title race, sitting just one point off top spot, which makes every match crucial for the visitors. The contrast between two highly motivated sides is sharpened further by their current form: Grêmio are going through a dip in results, while Palmeiras are hitting their stride as the season approaches its end.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across all official meetings between Grêmio and Palmeiras, the two sides have faced each other 45 times. The hosts have won 11, the visitors 20, with 14 draws. The overall goal tally stands at 43 for Grêmio and 62 for Palmeiras. On average, 0.91 goals are scored in the first half and 1.42 in the second, giving an average match total of 2.33 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Gremio - Palmeiras
Gremio Team Overview
Grêmio have been far from consistent - three defeats and just two wins in their last five matches highlight the difficulties they are facing at this stage. Over their last ten games, the club have won four and lost five, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game while scoring 1.2. Worth noting is a steady attacking presence at home: they have scored at least once in ten of their previous eleven home matches, and in six consecutive home games both sides have found the net. Their league position demands activity going forward - every dropped point risks pushing them further into the relegation zone.
Match Results: Gremio
Palmeiras Team Overview
Palmeiras have been putting in a solid shift in the second half of the season: six wins and just one defeat in their last ten matches points to good form. They are averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game - the defence has been reliable even away from home. The club sit second in the table and are in the fight for top spot, so they cannot afford to ease off towards the end of the season, with every point critical to the final standings.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Total Goals Prediction
Grêmio have scored in 10 of their last 11 home matches, which points to a strong trend. Their average of 1.69 goals per home game this season gives reason to expect at least one goal from the hosts. We're backing Grêmio Team Total - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.46*.
Risky bet
Although the main scenario is a low-scoring game, a high-scoring outcome is possible: in head-to-head matches at Grêmio's ground, Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 7 of 8 meetings, while Grêmio's average home total is 1.69 and Palmeiras's average away total is 1.71. This option looks risky, but cannot be ruled out. The bet is Total Goals - Over 3 at odds of 2.50*.
Reliable Bet
Grêmio have conceded in 22 of their last 23 head-to-head meetings with Palmeiras, which points to a high likelihood of the visitors scoring at least once. Palmeiras also average a consistent 1.71 goals per away game this season. The reliable bet is Palmeiras Team Total - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.16*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (12.11%), 0-1 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.45%). A 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though a one-goal Palmeiras win also remains a possibility. All three options are fairly close in terms of likelihood.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Taking both trends into account - Grêmio consistently score at home against almost all opponents and regularly concede on their own ground - Both Teams to Score looks the most logical bet for this Série A match. The hosts' situation points to a need to push forward for a result, while their defence gives Palmeiras the opportunity to make use of their considerable attacking potential even away from home. The league positions of both sides further increase the likelihood of an open game without prolonged goalless spells. The editor's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Gremio - Palmeiras
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