Novorizont. vs Vila Nova Prediction 26 June 2026
🔊 Both teams head into this clash in strong form and are currently near the top of the table. Novorizontino sit fourth, firmly in the hunt for automatic promotion to Serie A as they occupy a playoff spot. Vila Nova, meanwhile, lead the league and continue to impress with their consistent performances. This promises to be a tightly contested encounter: both sides rarely lose and have shown impressive stability throughout the campaign. Who will emerge victorious from this battle? Let's break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Novorizontino):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 21 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Novorizontino and Vila Nova:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 2, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 10 against 7;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.88, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
- average total goals in the match - 2.13.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Novorizontino Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Ponte Preta, away team - Novorizontino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta):
- ball possession: 74% vs 26%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
Novorizontino have showcased a well-balanced approach, with a particular emphasis on defensive solidity - conceding less than a goal per game on average (0.93) while scoring 1.57 goals. Over their last ten matches, they have suffered just one defeat, picking up five wins and four draws, underlining their consistency and ability to grind out results even against tough opposition.
Their primary objective - securing direct promotion to the top division - keeps the squad fully focused and maintains their excellent physical condition. This edge ensures the club rarely drops below a certain standard, consistently delivering high-quality performances.
Match Results: Novorizontino
Vila Nova Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Vila Nova, away - Nautico PE). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:3.
Here are the match stats (Vila Nova vs Nautico PE):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
Vila Nova currently sit atop the table, boasting the longest unbeaten streak in the competition - they've avoided defeat in 12 of their 14 league fixtures. Their attacking output matches that of their upcoming opponents, averaging 1.57 goals per game, while conceding 1.07 on average - slightly more than Novorizontino, but their superior attacking efficiency on the road has kept them in pole position.
Over their last five matches, Vila Nova have claimed four wins and suffered just one defeat - a strong run of form that underlines the squad’s confidence at this stage of the season. Notably, they’ve shown the versatility to both grind out low-scoring contests and triumph in high-scoring shootouts, as seen in their recent 4-3 win over Nautico. This adaptability is a key asset for a side currently leading the race for promotion to Serie A.
Match Results: Vila Nova
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 3.
Statistics: Novorizontino vs Vila Nova
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 6 vs 8;
- win percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- Vila Nova won with a +1.5 handicap in last 24 games.
- Vila Nova won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 0.88;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Novorizontino vs Vila Nova
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.64;
- average total goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.57;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.21 vs 0.86;
- Novorizontino: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Vila Nova: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.25) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Novorizontino games against Vila Nova (Serie B).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Novorizontino home games (Serie B).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Novorizontino games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Novorizontino games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Novorizontino vs Vila Nova
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Novorizontino at home - 5 (83%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vila Nova away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Novorizontino at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Vila Nova away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/140, 15.7%);
- Novorizontino at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Vila Nova away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.37% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.91% (odds 6)
0:0 - 9.26% (odds 7.3)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Vila Nova head into this fixture on the back of a confident run, having avoided defeat in 12 of their 14 Serie B outings this season. Their recent form underlines that trend, with four wins and just one loss in their last five matches, while their average goals conceded is on par with their upcoming opponents. Novorizontino have been consistently picking up points but tend to settle for draws and haven’t quite matched the leaders’ impressive form. Both sides have plenty to play for in the table, yet Vila Nova’s away record suggests they are a particularly reliable side on the road. Our well-founded prediction: the visitors will avoid defeat.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Novorizontino - Vila Nova
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
