Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction
🔊 Will the "Violets" prove to be a stumbling block for Nantes in their survival battle? In Ligue 1's 31st round, Toulouse travel to the Beaujoire Stadium. Many might think the visitors have already wrapped up their season, seemingly surrendering match after match with five consecutive losses. However, if Nantes' players assume that three points are already secured, such overconfidence could backfire. Can Antoine Kombouaré rally his team effectively?
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 18 August 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 1-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter: Nantes vs Toulouse
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 10 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 11.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Nantes and Toulouse:
- 33 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away victories - 10, draws - 11;
- goals scored - 43 for Nantes, 36 for Toulouse;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.09, in the 2nd half - 1.3;
- average total goals per match - 2.39.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Nantes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in Ligue 1, featuring Nantes as the hosts and PSG as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Nantes vs PSG):
- possession: 25% vs 75%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 5 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
🟡 With four matches remaining, Nantes sit 14th in the Ligue 1 table, hoping their four-point cushion from the relegation zone and playoff spots will be enough. Their recent form (2-1-2) suggests the "Canaries" have what it takes to remain in Ligue 1 next season. They've secured impressive wins against top sides like Lille (1-0 at home) and Nice (2-1 away), and managed a draw against champions PSG in a rescheduled Matchday 29 fixture (1-1). Maintaining this level of performance in the season's final stretch will be crucial. Their schedule is favorable: Toulouse (home), Angers (home), Auxerre (away), and Montpellier (home).
🔗 The team's top scorers, striker Matthis Abline (8 goals, 2 assists) and left winger Moses Simon (7 goals, 9 assists), have each found the net just once in their last seven Ligue 1 outings.
❌ First-choice goalkeeper Anthony Lopes could return for the match against Toulouse after being sidelined since the derby loss to Rennes (2-1 on April 18) and missing Tuesday's draw with PSG (1-1). The participation of on-loan Strasbourg center-back Saïdou Sow is uncertain. Right-back Marcus Coco is suspended, while defensive midfielder Francis Coquelin and defender Sékou Doucouré are out due to injuries.
Match Results: Nantes
Toulouse Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Ligue 1 (Reims hosted Toulouse). The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Toulouse vs Reims):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
🔵 Toulouse hold a three-point advantage over Nantes, allowing the "Violets" to feel relatively secure in the battle for survival. Despite losing their last five matches, it's not a case of the team coasting through the remainder of the season. A deeper look reveals that Toulouse fought hard in each game, scored plenty of goals, and gave their fans no reason to be ashamed. Especially considering their opponents were formidable teams such as Strasbourg, Brest, Marseille, Lille, and Reims. Toulouse have no intention of handing Nantes three points easily.
🔗 In the previous round, during an away match against Reims (0-1), Toulouse played with ten men from the 27th minute following the sending-off of center-back Mark McKenzie. Despite this setback, the "Violets" outperformed in several metrics: xG (1.33-0.66), shots (18-8), corners (9-0), and more. However, luck was not on Toulouse's side.
❌ Carles Martinez will be unable to count on the suspended center-back Mark McKenzie and the long-injured midfielder Niklas Schmidt and center-back Rasmus Nicolaisen.
Match Results: Toulouse
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 10, draws - 11.
Statistics: Nantes vs Toulouse
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 7 vs 9;
- win percentage: 23% vs 30%;
- number of losses: 13 vs 14;
- number of draws: 10 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 2;
- number of losses: 6 vs 6;
- number of draws: 1 vs 2.
- Toulouse have not won in last 6 games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.3, the guests - 1.09;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.39;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Nantes vs Toulouse
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 2.57;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.27;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 0.8;
- Nantes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.14;
- Toulouse: average total away in the tournament - 1.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.7 (away - 2.17).
- Toulouse have scored under 1.5 goals in 17 of last 19 games against Nantes.
Prediction on corners
Nantes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.2; at home field - 4.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 4.8.
Toulouse: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.8, away - 4.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.
- Toulouse have taken over 4.5 corners in last 6 games against Nantes.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.72 (1.36 for home team and 1.36 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.89 (1.18 for home team and 1.71 for away team).
Nantes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.03; at home - 1.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 2.
Toulouse: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.53, away - 1.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Nantes vs Toulouse
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Nantes at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toulouse away - 6 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Nantes at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Toulouse away - 4 (67%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the recent form of both teams and Toulouse's lower-than-expected standing after a string of poor results, it's reasonable to anticipate a more cautious approach from the visitors in this matchup. However, historically, both teams frequently exchange goals when they face off; this trend makes the bet on both teams to score quite appealing for this game due to the likelihood of a goal exchange between the clubs. This bet is supported by recent trends: Nantes have seen both teams score in 6 of their last 10 matches, while Toulouse have had the same outcome in 7 out of their last 10 games.
Betting Tips: Nantes - Toulouse
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
