Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Toulouse extend their winning streak in Ligue 1? On Sunday, in the final round of the French top flight, Les Violets travel to face Nantes, who are playing their last match in Ligue 1 before dropping down to Ligue 2. Check out our in-depth analysis of this head-to-head clash and our prediction for the outcome in this article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Nantes and Toulouse have often shared the spoils in recent years. Their last three head-to-head encounters all ended in draws, including a 2-2 stalemate in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    32%
    12 Wins
    41%
    15 Draws
    27%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    37
    Total Goals Avg
    2.24
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.03
    1.46
    Yellow cards
    1.59
    Last matches
    27.09.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2.25
    1.52
    1
    4
    18
    12
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2.25
    1.52
    1
    4
    18
    12
    2
    3
    27.04.25
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    1.07
    0.38
    3
    5
    13
    11
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.07
    0.38
    3
    5
    13
    11
    2
    3
    18.08.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    10
    5
    15
    11
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    5
    15
    11
    1
    3
    11.02.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    12
    0
    11
    13
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    12
    0
    11
    13
    2
    1
    13.08.23
    Ligue 1
    FC Nantes
    FC Nantes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    7
    5
    15
    12
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    5
    15
    12
    2
    2
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    Nantes Team Overview

    🟢 Nantes are bidding farewell to Ligue 1, and it’s a departure few would argue is undeserved. The Canaries have endured a dismal campaign, and even a managerial change failed to revive their fortunes. Under Vahid Halilhodžić, Nantes are set to finish second from bottom, regardless of how their final fixture plays out. They have managed just 23 points all season and hold a goal difference of -23.

    🟡 Over the last four rounds, Nantes have suffered three defeats, effectively ending any hopes of survival. Their recent losses came against PSG (0-3), Rennes (1-2), and Lens (0-1). The Canaries faced a brutal run-in, with all those defeats coming against clubs currently sitting in the league’s top five.

    Match Results: Nantes

    Last matches
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    L
    22.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    D
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse have endured a lackluster campaign, leaving little for fans to remember. Many pundits predicted a push for European qualification, but the reality proved more disappointing - a 10th-place finish and a modest +1 goal difference. Carles Martinez’s side still have a shot at climbing one spot higher, but to do so, they must beat Nantes and hope Lorient slip up.

    🔴 Over the last three rounds, Toulouse have picked up seven points, holding Monaco to a 2-2 draw and defeating both Strasbourg (2-1) and Lyon (2-1). Martinez’s modest squad managed to topple some top sides-raising the question: why couldn’t they play like this all season? The talent is there; it was just a matter of putting the pieces together, much like in a chess match.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
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    Latest news

    Nantes

    ❌ Nantes are dealing with a lengthy injury list, leaving several key players sidelined for a match that holds little significance for the team. Here’s who could have strengthened the Canaries’ starting XI but will instead be watching from the treatment room: Kelvin Amian Adou, Fabien Santons, Francis Coquelin, Frédéric Guilbert, and Davye Machado.

    Toulouse

    ❌ Toulouse will be without Aron Dønnum, who is suspended after picking up a red card (two bookings) in the previous round. Injured duo Frank Magri and Rafik Messali are also unavailable, though both have been sidelined for some time and were unlikely to feature in the coaching staff’s plans.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Stéphanie Frappart has been appointed as the referee for this match. Over her last 100 games, she averages 3.61 yellow cards per fixture, with 24 fouls per match. In Ligue 1, Nantes pick up an average of 2 yellows per game, while Toulouse see around 2.3. Both sides tend to find themselves in the referee’s book this season, so a solid bet would be on over 3.5 total yellow cards at odds of 1.92*.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Nantes average 0.9 goals per game in the French top flight, while Toulouse register 1.4. Matches involving these teams are generally open affairs: Nantes’ games average 2.5 goals, Toulouse’s 2.8. With those numbers in mind, backing over 2.5 total goals at 1.59* looks like good value.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    In recent Ligue 1 outings, Nantes have averaged just 3.7 corners per match, with Toulouse slightly higher at 4.5. Both clubs are below the league average when it comes to winning corners, so the recommendation here is under 9.5 total corners at odds of 1.81*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

    Editorial Prediction

    Nantes’ farewell fixture is unlikely to differ much from what we’ve seen all season: the team have struggled, particularly up front, and there’s little reason to expect a dramatic turnaround now. Toulouse are riding a two-match winning streak, and there’s every chance they extend that run here, even on the road. Our well-founded prediction is a 2-1 win for the visitors, and we recommend backing Toulouse double chance. 

    Our choice
    Toulouse will not lose at odds of -217*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 May 2026, 13:57)

    Nantes - Toulouse Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 12
    -5
    -7
    15 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    1
    6
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    15
    12
    Conceded
    22
    1.9
    Match goals average
    3.7
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    3
    Both teams scored
    7
    129'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats