Al-Ahli vs Al Gharafa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 October 2026
🔊 The reigning AFC Champions League winners host a side without a single point in this edition of the competition. Al-Ahli have won four matches in a row, scoring at least three goals in each. Al-Gharafa, meanwhile, have lost their last eight away matches. The favourite is clear enough - the question is whether the Qataris can offer any kind of response.
🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off to make sure you haven't missed any important changes.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two most recent meetings between these sides came in the AFC Champions League league phase, and Al-Ahli won both. In February 2025, the Saudi side beat Al-Gharafa 4-2, despite the Qatari club opening the scoring from the penalty spot. In October of the same year, Al-Ahli scored three times before half-time and four without reply in total. Before that, things were different: three meetings in 2013 and 2018 all ended in draws, with Al-Gharafa scoring in each of them.
Head-to-head statistics Al-Ahli - Al Gharafa
Al-Ahli are on a four-match winning streak, having scored 14 goals in the process.
Al-Ahli's start to the season has been nervy. Marino Pušić took charge of the club in the summer, following Matthias Jaissle's departure to Newcastle. In six matches during September, the Saudi side failed to win three times. October, however, brought a perfect record. Ivan Toney returned to form in attack: the striker recovered from injury and scored twice against Al-Khaleej in the latest round, with his second goal coming from the penalty spot in stoppage time.
In the Champions League, Al-Ahli have four points from two matches. At home they drew with Pakhtakor of Tashkent, then in October beat Al-Wasl away. At his press conference, Pušić described the upcoming match as a difficult one, though he said playing at home in front of their own supporters gives the team an extra boost.
Match Results: Al Ahli Jeddah
Al-Gharafa: Goals Flow, Points Don’t
Al-Gharafa are finding the net in almost every game but have nothing to show for it. In the Champions League, Pedro Martins's side have zero points. They lost away to Saudi Arabia's Al-Hilal and at home to Iran's Esteghlal, both times by a single goal. The picture in the Qatar Stars League is much the same: no wins since the end of August. Their most recent match only reinforced that. Against the other Al-Ahli, from Doha, Al-Gharafa were two goals up at half-time but ended up settling for a draw.
Martins is in his fifth season at the club. There is plenty of experience in the squad: Ismaël Bennacer controls the midfield, while Yacine Brahimi leads the attack. On the eve of the match, Brahimi acknowledged Al-Ahli's quality but promised that the Qatari side would play to win. Martins himself placed the opponents in the same bracket as Al-Hilal, saying that in fixtures like this, the small details decide everything. And those small details are precisely what Al-Gharafa have lacked in both of their Champions League defeats.
Match Results: Al Gharafa
Latest news
Al Ahli Jeddah
❓ Edouard Mendy and Galeno missed the match against Al-Khaleej, with Abdulrahman Al-Sanbi starting in goal. Merih Demiral was also absent - the club confirmed the Turkish defender has a foot injury.
Al Gharafa
❓ No injuries or suspensions have been reported at the Qatari club. Martins can count on his first-choice squad.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Al-Ahli: Al Sanbi - Baattia, Mohammed Sulaiman, Ibanez, Yaslam - Atangana, Bondarenko, Spertsyan - Trincao, Toney, Al Brikan.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Al-Gharafa: Ababacar - Sano, Traore, Fadlalla, Al Oui - Sassi, Bennacer, Fabricio Diaz - Ounas, Magri, Brahimi.
Total Goals Prediction
Al-Ahli have scored before half-time in five consecutive matches. Against Al-Khaleej, Ivan Toney opened the scoring as early as the 11th minute. On the other side, Al-Gharafa's defence has conceded in the first half in seven away matches in a row. In three of their last four away trips, the Qatari side have gone into the break trailing. We expect the hosts to score in the first half. The bet is Al-Ahli to Score in the First Half.
Corners Prediction
More than seven corners were recorded in 9 of Al-Gharafa's last 10 matches. The Qatari side take a fair number themselves, but their opponents take even more: 56 against 62 across ten official games. In September, Al-Hilal earned 14 corners to Al-Gharafa's two. Across Al-Ahli's last ten official matches, there have been 77 corners in total, 39 of them taken by the Saudi side themselves. We expect the tally to reach eight or more. The bet is Total Corners - Over 7.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
More than two yellow cards were shown in 15 of the last 20 matches involving these two teams. Over their last ten official matches, Al-Gharafa players received 19 bookings, while their opponents collected 21. Al-Ahli's figures are different: 14 cards for their own players and 25 for opponents - teams foul them readily. Even in Al-Gharafa's goalless draw with Al-Rayyan, the referee showed nine yellows. We're expecting at least three bookings. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5.
📌 Editorial Prediction
The hosts win often, but clean sheets are rare for them. In 7 of their last 8 matches, Al-Ahli both scored and conceded, with the only exception being their win over Al-Fath. Al-Gharafa lose away from home, but they don't leave empty-handed. In each of their last five away matches, the Qatari side have found the net themselves. We expect Al-Ahli to win, but Brahimi and company will get on the scoresheet at least once. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 3-1.
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Betting Tips: Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Gharafa
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