Benfica vs Arouca Prediction 25 October 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Benfica and Arouca are gearing up for an exciting clash in the Primeira Liga, promising to capture the interest of both fans and analysts alike. The home side have been in fine form throughout the season, currently sitting third in the table, as they aim to close the gap on the league leaders. Meanwhile, Arouca are battling to break into the top ten, currently positioned 11th. Despite this, the visitors have shown decent form with two wins in their last five matches. Statistics suggest that Benfica have excellent chances for success at home, thanks to their potent attack and solid defense.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 13 April 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here is a comparison of the statistics from that encounter (with Benfica as the home side):

    • possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corners: 11 vs 5;
    • fouls: 6 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Benfica and Arouca:

    • 13 matches played;
    • home wins - 12, away wins - 0, draws - 1;
    • goals scored - 37 against 5;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.62, in the second half - 1.62;
    • average total goals per match - 3.23.

    Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Arouca

    93%
    14 Wins
    7%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    15
    Total Goals Avg
    3.33
    Both teams scored
    33%
    2.93
    Total average
    0.4
    1.73
    Yellow cards
    2.07
    Last matches
    14.03.26
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    1
    2.66
    2.27
    2
    15
    18
    11
    5
    5
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.66
    2.27
    2
    15
    18
    11
    5
    5
    25.10.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Arouca
    Arouca
    4.08
    0.4
    9
    1
    13
    18
    2
    2
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    4.08
    0.4
    9
    1
    13
    18
    2
    2
    13.04.25
    Primeira Liga
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.85
    1.36
    11
    5
    6
    12
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.85
    1.36
    11
    5
    6
    12
    1
    3
    01.12.24
    Примейра-лига
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    -
    -
    5
    6
    13
    10
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    13
    10
    2
    3
    12.05.24
    Примейра-лига
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Arouca
    Arouca
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    13
    2
    2
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    13
    2
    2
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    Benfica Lisbon Team Overview

    The last official match the team played was on in the Champions League, with Newcastle hosting Benfica. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory for Newcastle.

    Here are the game statistics (Benfica vs Newcastle):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corners: 8 vs 12;
    • fouls: 7 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 10.

    Benfica have been impressive this season, boasting five wins and three draws from eight matches-a clear sign of their consistency. Their strength lies in their defense, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game in the league. The Eagles often dominate possession and launch aggressive attacks down the flanks. Recent results suggest a slight dip in form, particularly with some underwhelming performances in the Champions League, but these challenges might be temporary. Notably, Benfica have kept a clean sheet against Arouca in eight of their last nine head-to-head encounters.

    Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

    Last matches
    20.08.26
    UEL
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    AGF Aarhus
    AGF Aarhus
    5.04
    0.46
    11
    1
    10
    17
    2
    1
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    5.04
    0.46
    11
    1
    10
    17
    2
    1
    W
    17.08.26
    liga portugal
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    0
    7
    0
    2
    0
    5
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    W
    13.08.26
    UEL
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.66
    1.39
    0
    11
    5
    13
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.66
    1.39
    0
    11
    5
    13
    1
    0
    D
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Academico Viseu
    Academico Viseu
    3.27
    0.97
    10
    2
    14
    13
    2
    4
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    3.27
    0.97
    10
    2
    14
    13
    2
    4
    D
    06.08.26
    UEL
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    4.04
    0.86
    6
    2
    12
    12
    2
    4
    6
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    4.04
    0.86
    6
    2
    12
    12
    2
    4
    W
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    Arouca Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Portuguese Cup, facing Portimonense away. The encounter ended with a 2-1 victory for Arouca.

    Here are the match statistics (Arouca vs Portimonense):

    • possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corners: 4 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    Aroke face a tough challenge as they go up against one of the league's powerhouses, Benfica. However, this team is capable of springing surprises; they've secured victories twice in their last five matches and have been finding the back of the net, albeit inconsistently. Their recent form reflects some instability, with two wins, one draw, and two losses, but they know how to defend compactly, especially when playing on the counter away from home. There's a catch, though: if they concede early, they usually lack a backup plan for the match.

    Match Results: Arouca

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    W
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lusitania
    Lusitania
    Arouca
    Arouca
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Arouca
    Arouca
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Benfica Lisbon

    📝 It's happening-something many have anticipated. It seems things aren't going smoothly for Mourinho. Benfica consistently pick up points in the league but look unconvincing in the Champions League. This week, they suffered a heavy defeat to Newcastle (0-3). Benfica were completely outplayed, as evidenced by their xG of just 0.3. The team posed unusually little threat, and their defensive "bus" strategy failed. Their upcoming match is a chance to channel all their frustration. The opponent seems quite suitable for that.

    ⚠️ Jose is making the team too defensive, stifling their attacking potential. This was evident not only against Newcastle but also in the game against Porto (0-0), where once again, few chances were created despite having fast and skillful players at his disposal.

    ❌ We don't expect Amar Dedic to be on the field. The player sustained an injury in that same Champions League match.

    Arouca

    📝 Arouca are essentially under siege with their frail defense. They've already conceded 19 goals in the league, and that number is likely to rise after the next matchday. It's tough to pinpoint any standout qualities, as the team lacks consistency. They might rely on sheer determination, but little else. A real test of their resilience lies ahead.

    ⚽️ The duo of Trezza and Djouahra has netted seven goals between them. This accounts for a significant portion of the team's total goals this season.

    ✅ There are no injury concerns.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 13;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 1.62;
    • Today's home team scores on average 1.54, while the visitors net 0.08.

    First-Half Stats: Benfica Lisbon (home) vs Arouca (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
    • wins: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • draws: 2 (50%) vs 2 (66.67%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.67;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 1.33.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 5 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    • Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games against Arouca.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Benfica Lisbon Win(odds: 1.59)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • home team wins - 12, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca

    • matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • wins: 5 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 63% vs 25%;
    • losses: 0 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Benfica Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Benfica Lisbon Handicap (-1,5)(odds: 1.52)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.85, the guests - 0.38;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.23;
    • both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca

    • average total in the tournament: 2.13 vs 3.63;
    • average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 1.25;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.38;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.88;
    • Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament -  1.75;
    • Arouca: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Benfica Lisbon have not conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Arouca will not score goal(odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on corners

    Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75; at home field - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 5.75.

    Arouca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 2.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.
    Trends
    • Under 11.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Benfica Lisbon games against Arouca.
    • Under 11.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Benfica Lisbon games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (11,5)(odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.92 (1.46 for home team and 1.46 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.72 (1.43 for home team and 1.29 for away team).

    Benfica Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 1.75.

    Arouca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.75, away - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 1.5.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
    • number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 3 (75%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Arouca away - 2 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 4 (100%);
    • BTTS matches for Arouca away - 3 (75%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.1)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Considering the current form and statistics, Benfica appear to be the favorites in this match. The team is sitting third in the league table and has consistently displayed confident performances throughout the season. Their defense remains one of the best in the league, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game, making it a fortress for opponents to breach. Arouca, although showing some stability with two wins in their last five games, struggle with an inconsistent defense, allowing an average of 2.38 goals per match. The head-to-head record also favors the hosts: they have kept clean sheets against Arouca in eight of their last nine encounters. Betting on Benfica to win with a -1.5 handicap seems reasonable given their home dominance and ability to score more than one goal against their opponents.

    Benfica Lisbon Handicap (-1,5)
    Published: 23/10/2025, 07:45

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    Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Arouca

    Benfica Lisbon have won:
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain 12 of last 13 games against Arouca.
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain 9 of last 10 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain 6 of last 7 home games against Arouca.
    Benfica Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    -667
    Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half:
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain 9 of last 10 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain 8 of last 9 games against Arouca.
    1st Half Benfica Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    -192
    Benfica Lisbon have won the 2nd half:
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain 7 of last 8 games against Arouca.
    2nd Half Benfica Lisbon Win
    Everygame
    -286
    Benfica Lisbon have not lost:
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain last 13 games against Arouca.
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain last 10 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    benfica-lisbonfc-aroucain last 7 home games against Arouca.
    benfica-lisbonin last 23 games (Primeira Liga).
    benfica-lisbonin last 12 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Benfica Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -3333
    View more facts

    Benfica - Arouca Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    34257289-2482
    3.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    342311074-2580
    4.
    Braga
    Braga
    341611764-3659
    7.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    341271537-4943
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 32
    Conceded - 12
    +20
    +7
    18 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    1
    1
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    32
    Scored
    18
    12
    Conceded
    11
    4.4
    Match goals average
    2.9
    3.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    8
    Both teams scored
    5
    28'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats