Benfica vs Arouca Prediction 25 October 2025
🔊 Benfica and Arouca are gearing up for an exciting clash in the Primeira Liga, promising to capture the interest of both fans and analysts alike. The home side have been in fine form throughout the season, currently sitting third in the table, as they aim to close the gap on the league leaders. Meanwhile, Arouca are battling to break into the top ten, currently positioned 11th. Despite this, the visitors have shown decent form with two wins in their last five matches. Statistics suggest that Benfica have excellent chances for success at home, thanks to their potent attack and solid defense.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 13 April 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here is a comparison of the statistics from that encounter (with Benfica as the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 11 vs 5;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Benfica and Arouca:
- 13 matches played;
- home wins - 12, away wins - 0, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 37 against 5;
- average goals in the first half - 1.62, in the second half - 1.62;
- average total goals per match - 3.23.
Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Arouca

Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
The last official match the team played was on in the Champions League, with Newcastle hosting Benfica. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory for Newcastle.
Here are the game statistics (Benfica vs Newcastle):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 8 vs 12;
- fouls: 7 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 10.
Benfica have been impressive this season, boasting five wins and three draws from eight matches-a clear sign of their consistency. Their strength lies in their defense, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game in the league. The Eagles often dominate possession and launch aggressive attacks down the flanks. Recent results suggest a slight dip in form, particularly with some underwhelming performances in the Champions League, but these challenges might be temporary. Notably, Benfica have kept a clean sheet against Arouca in eight of their last nine head-to-head encounters.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon

Arouca Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Portuguese Cup, facing Portimonense away. The encounter ended with a 2-1 victory for Arouca.
Here are the match statistics (Arouca vs Portimonense):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Aroke face a tough challenge as they go up against one of the league's powerhouses, Benfica. However, this team is capable of springing surprises; they've secured victories twice in their last five matches and have been finding the back of the net, albeit inconsistently. Their recent form reflects some instability, with two wins, one draw, and two losses, but they know how to defend compactly, especially when playing on the counter away from home. There's a catch, though: if they concede early, they usually lack a backup plan for the match.
Match Results: Arouca
Latest news
Benfica Lisbon
📝 It's happening-something many have anticipated. It seems things aren't going smoothly for Mourinho. Benfica consistently pick up points in the league but look unconvincing in the Champions League. This week, they suffered a heavy defeat to Newcastle (0-3). Benfica were completely outplayed, as evidenced by their xG of just 0.3. The team posed unusually little threat, and their defensive "bus" strategy failed. Their upcoming match is a chance to channel all their frustration. The opponent seems quite suitable for that.
⚠️ Jose is making the team too defensive, stifling their attacking potential. This was evident not only against Newcastle but also in the game against Porto (0-0), where once again, few chances were created despite having fast and skillful players at his disposal.
❌ We don't expect Amar Dedic to be on the field. The player sustained an injury in that same Champions League match.
Arouca
📝 Arouca are essentially under siege with their frail defense. They've already conceded 19 goals in the league, and that number is likely to rise after the next matchday. It's tough to pinpoint any standout qualities, as the team lacks consistency. They might rely on sheer determination, but little else. A real test of their resilience lies ahead.
⚽️ The duo of Trezza and Djouahra has netted seven goals between them. This accounts for a significant portion of the team's total goals this season.
✅ There are no injury concerns.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.62;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.54, while the visitors net 0.08.
First-Half Stats: Benfica Lisbon (home) vs Arouca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- wins: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- draws: 2 (50%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 1.33.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7).
- Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have won the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games against Arouca.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- win percentage: 63% vs 25%;
- losses: 0 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Benfica Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.85, the guests - 0.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.23;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca
- average total in the tournament: 2.13 vs 3.63;
- average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 1.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.38;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.88;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Arouca: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Benfica Lisbon have not conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 5.75.
Arouca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.
- Under 11.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Benfica Lisbon games against Arouca.
- Under 11.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Benfica Lisbon games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.92 (1.46 for home team and 1.46 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.72 (1.43 for home team and 1.29 for away team).
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 1.75.
Arouca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.75, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 1.5.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 3 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Arouca away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Arouca away - 3 (75%).