Arouca vs Benfica Prediction 14 March 2026
🔊 The match between Arouca and Benfica promises to be an intriguing clash of styles. Arouca have shown inconsistent results in recent games, alternating between wins and losses. Their attacking line is capable of creating chances, but their defense remains vulnerable. Meanwhile, Benfica are sitting comfortably in third place and continue to pick up points even away from home, showcasing a high level of play both defensively and offensively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 25 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 5-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Benfica as the home team):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Arouca and Benfica:
- 14 matches played;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 13, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 5 for Arouca, 42 for Benfica;
- average first-half total - 1.71, second-half - 1.64;
- average total goals per match - 3.36.
Head-to-head statistics Arouca - Benfica
Arouca Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Famalicão as the home side and Arouca as the visitors. The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Arouca vs Famalicão):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Arouca continue to display inconsistent form. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins and suffered three defeats. Currently sitting in 11th place in the league standings, their position underscores their average performance this season. Despite some success in attack, their defense remains a concern, conceding more than two goals per game on average. Nonetheless, home games occasionally yield positive outcomes, bolstered by fan support. However, against a formidable opponent like Benfica, their chances appear modest.
Match Results: Arouca
Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Benfica hosting Porto. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match stats (Benfica vs Porto):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Benfica are showcasing a confident performance this season, as evidenced by their current third place in the standings. The team have won 6 of their last 10 matches, displaying consistency both in attack and defense. They average 2 goals per game while conceding significantly fewer-just 0.64 goals. On the road, Benfica traditionally remain strong and rarely drop points. In their previous head-to-head against Arouca, Benfica secured a commanding 5-0 victory, underscoring their dominance over this opponent.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Latest news
Arouca
✅ All the home team's key players are fit and ready.
Benfica Lisbon
🎙 Benfica's head coach José Mourinho expressed his frustration over insults from Porto's coaching staff following a 2-2 draw in the Primeira Liga. Mourinho was sent off in the dying moments of the match, right after his team equalized in the 89th minute: "Regarding the sending-off, there are two points. The referee claims he dismissed me for kicking the ball towards Porto's bench. That's an outright lie. I don't know how many times it happened-three, four, or five-but I've done it many times: we score a goal, and I send the ball into the stands. It's my way of celebrating and giving a fan a souvenir. I know I'm not technically gifted, but my aim was for the stands. The second point about the sending-off: a person from Porto's bench, who was also sent off, shouted 'traitor' at me about 50 times in the tunnel. I'd like him to explain: traitor to what? I was at Porto and gave my soul to that club. I left for Chelsea, Inter, Real Madrid, Fenerbahçe-I’ve traveled the world, dedicating my life and soul to my work every single day. That's called professionalism."
❌ Bruma and João Veloso are sidelined for Benfica.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.71;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.07, while the visitors net 1.64.
First-Half Stats: Arouca (home) vs Benfica Lisbon (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 3 (25%) vs 6 (50%);
- losses: 6 (50%) vs 1 (8.33%);
- draws: 3 (25%) vs 5 (41.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.92 vs 0.17.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1) vs 1.6 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.5).
- Arouca have lost the 1st half in 10 of last 11 games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
- Arouca have lost the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games against Benfica Lisbon.
- Arouca have lost the 1st half in last 6 home games against Benfica Lisbon.
- Arouca have lost the 1st half in last 5 home games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 13, draws - 1.
Statistics: Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 7 vs 17;
- win percentage: 28% vs 68%;
- losses: 13 vs 0;
- draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Arouca won with a +2.5 handicap in last 13 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.36, the guests - 3;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.36;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon
- average total in the tournament: 3.4 vs 2.76;
- average total goals scored: 1.28 vs 2.12;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 1.08;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 1.04;
- Arouca: average total at home in the tournament - 1.42;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 1.92;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.25) vs 2 (away - 1.25).
- Arouca have not scored in 9 of last 10 games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
- Arouca have not scored in last 5 home games against Benfica Lisbon.
- Arouca have not scored in last 4 home games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Arouca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.6; at home field - 4.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 3.25.
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.44, away - 5.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.2; away - 7.5.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Arouca games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 6 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/225, 10.7%);
- Arouca at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 0:4 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Benfica Lisbon away most often play: 1:2 (4/12, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:2 - 11.19% (odds 5.98)
0:1 - 10.15% (odds 8)
1:2 - 10.1% (odds 8.75)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the current form and statistics of the teams, it's clear that Arouca are struggling defensively. They concede more than two goals on average per match and have been inconsistent at home. On the other hand, Benfica display solid performances both at home and away. Additionally, trends indicate confidence in the attacking capabilities of both teams: Arouca regularly find the net at home, while Benfica boast impressive away stats. Considering these factors and trends, a bet on over 2.5 total goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Arouca - Benfica Lisbon
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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