Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Bogang Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊 Two teams at opposite ends of the table meet today. Yunnan Yukun are still pushing for a top-three finish, while Shenzhen Peng City need points to put some distance between themselves and the danger zone. The head-to-head record adds another layer - so far, the home side have had it all their own way.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 12 April 2026 and ended 3:4. Here's how the stats looked that day (Shenzhen Peng City were the home side):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 8 vs 0;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 The two sides have met three times in official competition - Yunnan Yukun won all three. Earlier this season, the hosts came out on top away from home, 4-3, with Oscar Maritu grabbing a brace. One more thing worth flagging: both teams scored in all three meetings, and the total went over 3.5 goals every time.
Head-to-head statistics Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Bogang
Yunnan Yukun Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the FA Cup (home side - Yunnan Yukun, away side - Chengdu). The match ended 3-3.
Match stats (Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 9.
Yunnan Yukun sit fourth in the table and still have a real shot at breaking into the top three. Their recent matches have been high-scoring affairs: a 2-2 draw with Shanghai Port, a 3-4 defeat to Shandong Taishan, and a 2-1 win over Henan. A few days ago they also advanced in the Chinese Cup, beating Chengdu Qianbao on penalties.
Oscar Maritu is the key man - 13 goals in the current season. He's a big reason Yunnan are one of the league's more prolific sides, though they've been just as generous at the other end.
Match Results: Yunnan Yukun
Shenzhen Bogang Team Overview
The away side's last official match was played in the Football Association Cup (Shenzhen Peng City away at Shanghai Port). It finished 1-1.
Match stats (Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai Port):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 2 vs 15;
- fouls: 19 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Shenzhen Peng City are having a mixed season and sit tenth in the table. After a convincing 3-0 win over Qingdao West Coast, they've lost two in a row, scoring just one goal across those two matches. They're also out of the Chinese Cup, knocked out by Shanghai Port on penalties.
Defence has been one of the visitors' biggest problems - they've conceded 33 goals going into this round. Up front, a lot depends on Wesley Moraes, who has eight goals and remains Shenzhen Peng City's top scorer in the current campaign.
Match Results: Shenzhen Bogang
Prediction: Match Result
Head-to-head:
- played - 3;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 0, draws - 0.
Stats: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Peng City
- matches in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 7 vs 6;
- win rate: 37% vs 32%;
- losses: 8 vs 11;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Shenzhen Peng City have covered the +1.5 handicap in 13 of their last 15 matches.
Prediction: Total Goals
Head-to-head (average total):
- home team - 3.67, away team - 2.33;
- in head-to-head matches - 6;
- both teams scored: all time - 3 times; at the home team's ground - 1 time.
Average total stats: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Peng City
- in the tournament: 3.74 vs 3.05;
- goals scored: 1.89 vs 1.32;
- 1st half: 1.05 vs 0.74;
- 2nd half: 0.84 vs 0.58;
- Yunnan Yukun: at home in the tournament - 2;
- Shenzhen Peng City: away in the tournament - 0.56;
- last 10 matches: 2 (home - 2) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Shenzhen Peng City have scored under 1.5 goals away from home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Super League).
Prediction: Both Teams To Score
Head-to-head:
- played - 3;
- both teams scored all time - 3 times;
- at the home team's ground - 1 time.
Stats: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Peng City
- played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 15 vs 10;
- Yunnan Yukun: BTTS at home - 6 (67%);
- Shenzhen Peng City: BTTS away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- Yunnan Yukun: BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Shenzhen Peng City: BTTS away - 3 (50%).
- Yunnan Yukun have scored and conceded in 8 consecutive matches.
- Yunnan Yukun have scored and conceded in 6 consecutive matches (Super League).
Prediction: Correct Score
Most common scorelines this season:
- most frequent result in the tournament: 1:1 (22/148, 14.9%);
- Yunnan Yukun at home most often finish: 0:3, 1:0, 1:2, 2:1, 2:2, 2:3, 3:1, 3:3, 4:0 (1/9, 11.1%);
- Shenzhen Peng City away most often play: 1:0, 2:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on stats and probability distribution, the algorithm's top 3 predicted scorelines:
1:1 - 10.31% (odds 7.7)
2:1 - 9.82% (odds 8.2)
1:0 - 7.32% (odds 11.75)
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
Previous meetings between these two have almost always been high-scoring: both teams found the net in all three matches, and the total exceeded 3.5 goals each time. Yunnan Yukun are regularly involved in goal-heavy games, and Shenzhen Peng City have already shown they can score even against difficult opposition. Given all that, the most interesting option here is total goals over 3.
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Betting Tips: Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Bogang
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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