Vasco Da Gama vs Mirassol Prediction 25 July 2026
🔊 Vasco da Gama and Mirassol meet with both clubs sitting in the relegation zone, just one or two points off safety. Every result matters now - the table leaves no room for comfort. The hosts have won just once in their last five, while the visitors picked up a win in their first match back after the break. Both sides are under pressure to turn things around in the second half of the season.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the sides took place on 29 January 2026 and ended 2-1. Here's the key stats from that match (Mirassol were the home side):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 The two sides have met three times in official matches. Here's how the numbers break down:
- goals: 3 vs 7;
- average first-half total - 0.67, second-half - 2.67;
- average total goals per match - 3.33.
Head-to-head statistics Vasco Da Gama - Mirassol
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Copa Sudamericana (home side: Independiente Medellín, away side: Vasco da Gama). The match ended 2-2.
Match stats (Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Vasco da Gama are struggling to string results together - one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches tells the story. Attack isn't the strong suit either: 1.16 goals per game across the season, and in the league specifically they haven't scored more than once in five consecutive rounds. Defensively, things aren't much better - 1.58 goals conceded per game on average, and they've let in at least one in each of their last four matches. The table makes for grim reading: the club are right on the relegation line and losing ground on the teams around them.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Mirassol Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Série A (Mirassol at home, Grêmio away). The final score was 2-1.
Match stats (Mirassol vs Grêmio):
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 5 vs 4;
- Fouls: 14 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Mirassol arrive in better shape - three wins from their last five matches set them apart from the other teams at the bottom. The form is more convincing than their opponent's: 1.3 goals per game on average across the last ten, and defensively they've been reasonably solid, conceding around one per match in that same stretch. Away from home, though, it's a different story - six defeats in their last seven Serie A road trips. Coming back from the break, they beat fellow relegation candidate Grêmio 2-1 at home, which shows Mirassol can pick up points when they play teams around them in the table.
Match Results: Mirassol
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 3;
- home wins - 0, away wins - 3, draws - 0.
Stats: Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol
- matches in the tournament: 19 vs 18;
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- win rate: 26% vs 28%;
- losses: 9 vs 9;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Mirassol cover the +1.5 handicap in 19 of their last 20 matches (Série A).
- Mirassol cover the +1.5 handicap in 13 of their last 14 matches.
- Mirassol cover the +1.5 handicap away from home in 12 of their last 14 matches.
- Mirassol cover the +1.5 handicap away from home in 8 of their last 9 matches (Série A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total):
- home team - 1, away team - 2.33;
- in head-to-head matches - 3.33;
- both teams scored: all time - 2 times; at the home team's ground - 0 times.
Average total stats: Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol
- in the tournament: 2.74 vs 2.5;
- goals scored: 1.16 vs 1.11;
- 1st half: 0.32 vs 0.72;
- 2nd half: 0.84 vs 0.39;
- Vasco da Gama: at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Mirassol: away in the tournament - 0.88;
- last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
- Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals in 5 consecutive matches (Série A).
Corners Prediction
Head-to-head
- average corners total in head-to-head matches - 9.66 (6.33 for the home team, 3.33 for the away team);
- average corners total at the home team's ground - 11 (10 for the home team, 1 for the away team).
Vasco da Gama: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.16; at home - 5.8;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 5.2.
Mirassol: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.67, away - 4.63;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; away - 3.5.
- Mirassol have taken under 4.5 corners away from home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 3;
- both teams scored: all time - 2 times;
- at the home team's ground - 0 times.
Stats: Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 18;
- season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 13 vs 11;
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS at home - 6 (60%);
- Mirassol: BTTS away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 5 vs 6;
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Mirassol: BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines (current season):
- most frequent scoreline in the tournament: 1:1 (28/189, 14.8%);
- Vasco da Gama's most common home result: 2:1 (3/10, 30%);
- Mirassol's most common away result: 1:0 (4/8, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm's top 3 predicted outcomes are:
1:1 - 12.95% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.22% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.33% (odds 8.5)
- Mirassol have lost 0:1 away from home in 3 of their last 4 matches.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The pressure of the standings calls for caution from both sides, but Vasco da Gama's current form raises concerns - specifically in attack. They haven't scored more than one goal in any of their last five league matches.
High motivation alone isn't enough to fix that. Finishing problems don't disappear based on the opponent or the occasion. The pick here is Vasco da Gama team total under 1.5 goals - built entirely on the consistent drop-off in their attacking output. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Mirassol
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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